Italy have recorded 7 expected goals (xG) across 4 UEFA Nations League games in 2026, averaging 1.8 per match. M. Kean leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.56 per game. D. Frattesi is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Italy are averaging 1.8 expected goals (xG) per match - M. Kean leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Italy vs France on 12.11.2026.
Italy average 1.8 expected goals (xG) per UEFA Nations League game in 2026, based on 4 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.8 per match.
M. Kean leads Italy for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 1 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.56 per game. D. Frattesi is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Italy's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.
Italy have taken 1.7 points more than their chances warranted over 8 games: +3.1 goals against their xG, and -2.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 8 | 8 | 13.90 | 17 | +3.10 | 8.79 | 11 | -2.21 | 14.31 | 16 | +1.69 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.79 | 10 | +0.21 | 5.90 | 7 | -1.10 | 9.31 | 9 | -0.31 |
| Home | 4 | 6.90 | 7 | +0.10 | 4.57 | 8 | -3.43 | 7.05 | 4 | -3.05 |
| Away | 4 | 7.00 | 10 | +3.00 | 4.22 | 3 | +1.22 | 7.26 | 12 | +4.74 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Turkey (A) | 1-4 | 1.79 | 1.80 | 1.38 | 3 | L |
| 25 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Belgium (H) | 0-2 | 2.01 | 1.98 | 1.42 | 0 | W |
| 17 Nov | UEFA Nations League | France (H) | 1-3 | 0.99 | 0.50 | 1.75 | 0 | W |
| 14 Nov | UEFA Nations League | Belgium (A) | 0-1 | 2.62 | 0.81 | 2.42 | 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | UEFA Nations League | Israel (H) | 4-1 | 2.38 | 0.81 | 2.34 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | UEFA Nations League | Belgium (H) | 2-2 | 1.52 | 1.28 | 1.54 | 1 | W |
| 9 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Israel (A) | 1-2 | 1.33 | 0.75 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | UEFA Nations League | France (A) | 1-3 | 1.26 | 0.86 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davide Frattesi | midfielder | 8 | 592 | 2.63 | 4 | +1.37 | 0.40 |
| Federico Dimarco | defender | 6 | 446 | 0.25 | 1 | +0.76 | 0.05 |
| Alessandro Bastoni | defender | 7 | 630 | 0.31 | 1 | +0.69 | 0.04 |
| Andrea Cambiaso | defender | 6 | 456 | 1.38 | 2 | +0.62 | 0.27 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | defender | 7 | 548 | 1.41 | 2 | +0.59 | 0.23 |
| Mateo Retegui | attacker | 6 | 383 | 1.79 | 2 | +0.21 | 0.42 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | attacker | 7 | 271 | 1.04 | 1 | -0.04 | 0.35 |
| Moise Kean | attacker | 5 | 231 | 1.29 | 1 | -0.29 | 0.50 |
| Sandro Tonali | midfielder | 8 | 710 | 1.45 | 1 | -0.45 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 3.2 | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | 2.4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| 2 | Greece | 2 | 3.6 | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2.6 | 5 | 2.2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| 4 | France | 2 | 2.6 | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Ukraine | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.1 | 0 | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Spain | 2 | 3.1 | 7 | 2.1 | 3 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Northern Ireland | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.7 | 0 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Austria | 2 | 4.6 | 6 | 1.7 | 2 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 9 | Montenegro | 2 | 4.6 | 5 | 1.9 | 3 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Albania | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1.5 | 0 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Slovakia | 2 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.7 | 1 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2 | 2.3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 13 | Luxembourg | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | 3.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 14 | Slovenia | 2 | 2.2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 15 | Republic of Ireland | 2 | 1.3 | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 | Switzerland | 2 | 3.8 | 6 | 0.2 | 0 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Belgium | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | 3.5 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 18 | Malta | 1 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 19 | Croatia | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.4 | 5 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 20 | Italy | 2 | 3.8 | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 21 | Estonia | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 22 | Gibraltar | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 23 | Lithuania | 2 | 2.9 | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 24 | Armenia | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.9 | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 25 | Kazakhstan | 2 | 0.8 | 2 | 2.9 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Iceland | 2 | 3.7 | 4 | 1.6 | 1 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 27 | Denmark | 2 | 3.2 | 4 | 2.5 | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 28 | Liechtenstein | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 29 | Azerbaijan | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | England | 2 | 3.2 | 4 | 2.2 | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Latvia | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | Belarus | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 33 | Netherlands | 2 | 6.6 | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 34 | San Marino | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 5.6 | 10 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 35 | Finland | 2 | 4.7 | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 36 | North Macedonia | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 37 | Kosovo | 2 | 3.8 | 2 | 1.9 | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 38 | Faroe Islands | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | 2.4 | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 39 | Serbia | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | 6.7 | 4 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 40 | Norway | 2 | 4.4 | 4 | 2.2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
| 41 | Israel | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 42 | Andorra | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | 3.6 | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 43 | Moldova | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 44 | Czech Republic | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 3.7 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 45 | Scotland | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 46 | Cyprus | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4.2 | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 47 | Wales | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | 4.2 | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 48 | Germany | 2 | 3.1 | 1 | 3.4 | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 49 | Poland | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 50 | Romania | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2.9 | 6 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 52 | Hungary | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 2.1 | 1 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 53 | Georgia | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 54 | Turkey | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | 2.8 | 5 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |