Sweden xG 2026

Sweden Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026

Sweden have recorded 5 expected goals (xG) across 4 UEFA Nations League games in 2026, averaging 1.3 per match. V. Gyökeres leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.47 per game.

Sweden Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Sweden are averaging 1.3 expected goals (xG) per match - V. Gyökeres leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Sweden vs Bosnia on 14.11.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xG) do Sweden average per game?

Sweden average 1.3 expected goals (xG) per UEFA Nations League game in 2026, based on 4 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.3 per match.

Who leads Sweden for expected goals (xG)?

V. Gyökeres leads Sweden for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 1 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.47 per game.

How do Sweden's expected goals (xG) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Sweden's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.

Sweden expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 24.83
Goals scored: 24
Goals minus xG: -0.83
Expected goals against (xGA): 10.02
Goals conceded: 6
xGA minus goals conceded: +4.02
Expected points (xPts): 16.80
Points: 22
Points minus xPts: +5.20
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are Sweden overperforming their expected goals?

Sweden have taken 5.2 points more than their chances warranted over 8 games: -0.8 goals against their xG, and +4.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Bosnia expected goals

Games: 8
Bosnia xG per game: 0.78
Bosnia xGA per game: 2.01
Points minus xPts: +0.25
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Sweden results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	24.83	24	-0.83	10.02	6	+4.02	16.80	22	+5.20
Last 5	5	13.38	16	+2.62	3.07	3	+0.07	10.97	15	+4.03
Home	5	14.90	16	+1.10	3.67	3	+0.67	10.84	15	+4.16
Away	3	9.93	8	-1.93	6.35	3	+3.35	5.96	7	+1.04

Sweden expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
28 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Poland (H)	3-1	1.67	1.25	1.65	3	W
25 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Romania (H)	2-1	0.91	0.95	1.31	3	L
19 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Azerbaijan (H)	6-0	5.27	0.08	2.72	3	W
16 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Slovakia (H)	2-1	2.32	0.59	2.45	3	W
14 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Estonia (A)	0-3	3.21	0.20	2.84	3	W
11 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Slovakia (A)	2-2	2.34	1.42	1.93	1	W
8 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Estonia (H)	3-0	4.73	0.80	2.71	3	W
5 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Azerbaijan (A)	1-3	4.38	4.73	1.19	3	L

Sweden players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Viktor Gyökeres	attacker	8	693	8.26	11	+2.74	1.07
Yasin Ayari	midfielder	8	591	1.01	2	+0.99	0.15
Sebastian Nanasi	midfielder	5	287	1.79	2	+0.21	0.56
Ken Sema	defender	6	468	0.91	1	+0.09	0.17
Alexander Isak	attacker	5	439	5.44	5	-0.44	1.12
Dejan Kulusevski	midfielder	6	540	3.82	2	-1.82	0.64

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

Sweden stats & bet builder pages

Sweden recent matches

Sweden next match

Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina - match preview, projections & bet builder