Cuiabá have taken 10.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 38 games: -6.0 goals against their xG, and +3.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/ | 38 | 35.01 | 29 | -6.01 | 51.98 | 49 | +2.98 | 40.39 | 30 | -10.39 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.26 | 4 | -3.26 | 14.61 | 10 | +4.61 | 8.69 | 4 | -4.69 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.66 | 4 | -0.66 | 6.72 | 8 | -1.28 | 5.34 | 1 | -4.34 |
| Home | 19 | 20.09 | 16 | -4.09 | 22.87 | 23 | -0.13 | 23.66 | 14 | -9.66 |
| Away | 19 | 14.92 | 13 | -1.92 | 29.11 | 26 | +3.11 | 16.73 | 16 | -0.73 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Dec | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (H) | 1-2 | 2.07 | 0.70 | 2.27 | 0 | W |
| 5 Dec | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (A) | 1-0 | 0.05 | 1.96 | 0.17 | 0 | L |
| 30 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (H) | 1-2 | 1.69 | 1.18 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| 23 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Juventude (A) | 1-1 | 0.56 | 1.39 | 0.72 | 1 | L |
| 20 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (H) | 1-2 | 0.29 | 1.49 | 0.46 | 0 | L |
| 9 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (A) | 0-0 | 0.22 | 2.28 | 0.21 | 1 | L |
| 2 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (A) | 0-0 | 0.37 | 1.01 | 0.75 | 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 0-1 | 0.81 | 2.45 | 0.47 | 0 | L |
| 24 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (A) | 1-0 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 1.18 | 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético GO (A) | 0-0 | 0.60 | 1.42 | 0.74 | 1 | L |
| 5 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (H) | 2-0 | 0.86 | 0.58 | 1.56 | 3 | W |
| 29 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fortaleza (A) | 1-0 | 0.05 | 0.93 | 0.46 | 0 | L |
| 22 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 0-0 | 0.40 | 1.11 | 0.73 | 1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (A) | 3-0 | 0.16 | 2.75 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Juventude (H) | 0-0 | 0.90 | 0.71 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Criciúma (H) | 2-1 | 1.97 | 0.54 | 2.34 | 3 | W |
| 24 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (A) | 5-0 | 0.67 | 1.87 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 17 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (A) | 1-1 | 1.27 | 1.70 | 1.10 | 1 | L |
| 10 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (H) | 1-3 | 0.65 | 1.73 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 3 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (A) | 1-0 | 0.98 | 2.01 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 28 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (H) | 1-2 | 1.39 | 1.66 | 1.21 | 0 | L |
| 21 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (H) | 0-1 | 0.89 | 1.31 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 13 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (A) | 1-2 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 6 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (A) | 1-1 | 0.51 | 1.70 | 0.55 | 1 | L |
| 3 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (H) | 1-2 | 1.69 | 0.87 | 1.95 | 0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (H) | 1-1 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 1.14 | 1 | D |
| 26 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (A) | 1-1 | 1.93 | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1 | W |
| 22 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético GO (H) | 0-0 | 0.90 | 1.04 | 1.23 | 1 | L |
| 19 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 0-1 | 0.76 | 1.07 | 1.09 | 3 | L |
| 16 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fortaleza (H) | 5-0 | 2.67 | 0.10 | 2.81 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isidro Pitta | attacker | 34 | 2757 | 0.00 | 8 | +8.00 | 0.00 |
| Clayson | attacker | 32 | 2006 | 0.00 | 5 | +5.00 | 0.00 |
| Derik Lacerda | attacker | 26 | 1413 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Eliel | attacker | 22 | 464 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Ramon | defender | 30 | 2641 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Marllon | defender | 32 | 2792 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jonathan Cafu | attacker | 27 | 1316 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Max | midfielder | 22 | 1212 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Deyverson | attacker | 4 | 218 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Fernando Sobral | midfielder | 32 | 1948 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Matheus Alexandre | defender | 30 | 2416 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Fernandes | midfielder | 21 | 1032 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Bruno Alves | defender | 28 | 2011 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza | 38 | 42.1 | 53 | 47.7 | 39 | 50.2 | 68 | +17.8 |
| 2 | Botafogo | 38 | 56.3 | 59 | 37.7 | 29 | 62.7 | 79 | +16.3 |
| 3 | Flamengo | 38 | 56.5 | 61 | 38.7 | 42 | 62.9 | 70 | +7.1 |
| 4 | São Paulo | 38 | 42.6 | 53 | 39.7 | 43 | 53.4 | 59 | +5.6 |
| 5 | Vasco da Gama | 38 | 39.9 | 43 | 53 | 56 | 44.5 | 50 | +5.5 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 38 | 65.3 | 60 | 35.4 | 33 | 69.7 | 73 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 38 | 51 | 54 | 45 | 45 | 55.7 | 56 | +0.3 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 37 | 43.1 | 41 | 43.1 | 39 | 50.7 | 51 | +0.3 |
| 9 | Juventude | 38 | 45.1 | 48 | 58.9 | 59 | 45.2 | 45 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Internacional | 38 | 56.2 | 53 | 33.8 | 36 | 65.9 | 65 | -0.9 |
| 11 | Vitória | 37 | 41.3 | 43 | 48.3 | 50 | 47.2 | 46 | -1.2 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 38 | 40.3 | 33 | 46.1 | 39 | 47.4 | 46 | -1.4 |
| 13 | Bragantino | 38 | 40.6 | 44 | 51.3 | 48 | 45.6 | 44 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 38 | 45.8 | 44 | 51.6 | 50 | 48.9 | 45 | -3.9 |
| 15 | Bahia | 38 | 51.9 | 49 | 44.2 | 49 | 57.4 | 53 | -4.4 |
| 16 | Atlético Mineiro | 38 | 47.7 | 47 | 47.1 | 54 | 52.4 | 47 | -5.4 |
| 17 | Criciúma | 38 | 41.1 | 42 | 57.1 | 61 | 43.4 | 38 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Cuiabá | 38 | 35 | 29 | 52 | 49 | 40.4 | 30 | -10.4 |
| 19 | Athletico PR | 38 | 47.4 | 40 | 46.5 | 46 | 52.6 | 42 | -10.6 |
| 20 | Atlético GO | 38 | 42.9 | 29 | 55.3 | 58 | 44.4 | 30 | -14.4 |