Botafogo have recorded 33 expected goals (xG) across 28 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, averaging 1.2 per match. A. Cabral leads the squad with 4 expected goals (xG) - 0.22 per game. Danilo is next with 3.
Over their last 10 games, Botafogo are averaging 1.3 expected goals (xG) per match - A. Cabral leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Botafogo vs Vasco on 07.10.2026.
Botafogo average 1.2 expected goals (xG) per Campeonato Brasileiro game in 2026, based on 28 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.3 per match.
A. Cabral leads Botafogo for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 4 in Campeonato Brasileiro - an average of 0.22 per game. Danilo is second with 3.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Botafogo's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.
Botafogo's results and their chances agree, within 1.6 points of xPts over 28 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 28 | 35.55 | 41 | +5.45 | 39.17 | 45 | -5.83 | 36.63 | 35 | -1.63 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.45 | 8 | -6.45 | 11.48 | 13 | -1.52 | 15.62 | 10 | -5.62 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.83 | 4 | -2.83 | 5.58 | 8 | -2.42 | 7.73 | 5 | -2.73 |
| Home | 14 | 20.79 | 24 | +3.21 | 15.35 | 20 | -4.65 | 22.62 | 21 | -1.62 |
| Away | 14 | 14.76 | 17 | +2.24 | 23.82 | 25 | -1.18 | 14.01 | 14 | -0.01 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (A) | 2-0 | 1.62 | 1.17 | 1.68 | 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (H) | 3-2 | 1.04 | 0.64 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (H) | 1-1 | 1.89 | 1.02 | 1.96 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (H) | 0-0 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.37 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (A) | 3-0 | 1.16 | 1.65 | 1.05 | 0 | L |
| 24 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (H) | 2-3 | 2.91 | 0.49 | 2.67 | 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (A) | 1-0 | 1.07 | 2.36 | 0.66 | 0 | L |
| 9 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (H) | 1-1 | 1.78 | 1.10 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 26 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (A) | 0-1 | 0.53 | 1.58 | 0.61 | 3 | L |
| 23 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (H) | 0-0 | 1.33 | 0.37 | 2.12 | 1 | W |
| 16 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (H) | 2-1 | 1.77 | 2.00 | 1.26 | 3 | L |
| 30 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (A) | 2-1 | 1.22 | 2.25 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 23 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 1-1 | 1.04 | 1.65 | 0.96 | 1 | L |
| 17 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 3-1 | 0.95 | 0.90 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (A) | 1-1 | 1.31 | 1.15 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (H) | 1-2 | 0.86 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (H) | 2-2 | 1.47 | 0.77 | 1.88 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (A) | 1-4 | 0.97 | 0.27 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba (H) | 2-2 | 1.81 | 0.77 | 2.09 | 1 | W |
| 5 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (A) | 1-2 | 1.36 | 2.34 | 0.84 | 3 | L |
| 1 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (H) | 3-2 | 2.37 | 1.09 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 29 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (A) | 4-1 | 0.99 | 1.24 | 1.17 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (A) | 1-2 | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.47 | 3 | W |
| 18 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (A) | 2-1 | 0.57 | 2.03 | 0.47 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (H) | 0-3 | 0.65 | 1.61 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 12 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (A) | 1-0 | 0.36 | 1.53 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 5 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (A) | 5-3 | 1.14 | 3.32 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 30 Jan | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 4-0 | 0.84 | 1.79 | 0.75 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo | midfielder | 21 | 1764 | 3.07 | 9 | +5.93 | 0.16 |
| Arthur Cabral | attacker | 23 | 1856 | 4.92 | 7 | +2.08 | 0.24 |
| Matheus Martins | attacker | 21 | 1135 | 2.21 | 4 | +1.79 | 0.18 |
| Santiago Rodríguez | midfielder | 15 | 574 | 0.37 | 2 | +1.64 | 0.06 |
| Edenilson | midfielder | 18 | 821 | 1.73 | 3 | +1.27 | 0.19 |
| Gabriel Justino | defender | 13 | 900 | 0.20 | 1 | +0.80 | 0.02 |
| Alex Telles | defender | 25 | 1947 | 2.33 | 3 | +0.67 | 0.11 |
| Artur | attacker | 4 | 191 | 0.46 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.22 |
| Huguinho | defender | 13 | 976 | 0.48 | 1 | +0.52 | 0.04 |
| Lucas Villalba | attacker | 17 | 727 | 0.60 | 1 | +0.40 | 0.07 |
| Alexander Barboza | defender | 12 | 1035 | 0.63 | 1 | +0.37 | 0.05 |
| Vitinho | defender | 26 | 2090 | 1.02 | 1 | -0.02 | 0.04 |
| Jordan Barrera | midfielder | 12 | 395 | 1.14 | 1 | -0.14 | 0.26 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | defender | 21 | 1728 | 1.33 | 1 | -0.33 | 0.07 |
| Júnior Santos | attacker | 16 | 743 | 1.70 | 1 | -0.70 | 0.21 |
| Álvaro Montoro | attacker | 25 | 1690 | 1.90 | 1 | -0.90 | 0.10 |
| Kauan Toledo | midfielder | 9 | 416 | 1.11 | 0 | -1.11 | 0.24 |
| Danilo | attacker | 8 | 430 | 1.16 | 0 | -1.16 | 0.24 |
| Kadir Barría | attacker | 14 | 372 | 2.50 | 1 | -1.50 | 0.60 |
| Cristian Medina | midfielder | 20 | 1467 | 2.80 | 1 | -1.80 | 0.17 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 37 | 47 | 28.5 | 21 | 43.6 | 57 | +13.4 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 28 | 48.1 | 55 | 27.7 | 23 | 50.8 | 60 | +9.2 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 28 | 37.2 | 43 | 33 | 32 | 41 | 49 | +8 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 29.1 | 37 | 44 | 43 | 30.1 | 38 | +7.9 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 28 | 38.5 | 44 | 34.1 | 36 | 41 | 48 | +7 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 38.2 | 42 | 34.9 | 40 | 41.6 | 45 | +3.4 |
| 7 | Atlético Mineiro | 28 | 37.8 | 37 | 35.1 | 32 | 40 | 43 | +3 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 35.3 | 43 | 34.6 | 41 | 38.8 | 41 | +2.2 |
| 9 | Vitória | 28 | 27.2 | 28 | 41 | 42 | 31 | 33 | +2 |
| 10 | Bahia | 28 | 44.7 | 43 | 35.7 | 35 | 44.3 | 46 | +1.7 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 28 | 27 | 30 | 46.8 | 38 | 27.3 | 29 | +1.7 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 35.6 | 41 | 39.2 | 45 | 36.6 | 35 | -1.6 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 28 | 34.8 | 33 | 41.5 | 42 | 34.8 | 32 | -2.8 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 25.1 | 29 | 29.2 | 32 | 35.4 | 32 | -3.4 |
| 15 | Bragantino | 28 | 38.3 | 33 | 35.2 | 32 | 40.6 | 36 | -4.6 |
| 16 | São Paulo | 28 | 41.5 | 33 | 32.5 | 32 | 42.6 | 36 | -6.6 |
| 17 | Remo | 28 | 31.4 | 32 | 41 | 47 | 31.8 | 23 | -8.8 |
| 18 | Chapecoense | 27 | 31.4 | 29 | 47.1 | 53 | 29.3 | 18 | -11.3 |
| 19 | Internacional | 28 | 38.1 | 30 | 32.1 | 36 | 41.4 | 28 | -13.4 |
| 20 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 47.8 | 34 | 30.8 | 41 | 44.9 | 31 | -13.9 |