Bahia have recorded 45 expected goals (xG) across 28 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, averaging 1.6 per match. W. José leads the squad with 5 expected goals (xG) - 0.41 per game. A. Veliz is next with 5.
Over their last 10 games, Bahia are averaging 1.8 expected goals (xG) per match - A. Veliz leads that period with 5. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Bahia vs Palmeiras on 09.10.2026.
Bahia average 1.6 expected goals (xG) per Campeonato Brasileiro game in 2026, based on 28 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.8 per match.
W. José leads Bahia for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 5 in Campeonato Brasileiro - an average of 0.41 per game. A. Veliz is second with 5.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Bahia's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.
Bahia's results and their chances agree, within 1.8 points of xPts over 28 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 28 | 44.69 | 43 | -1.69 | 35.72 | 35 | +0.72 | 44.25 | 46 | +1.75 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.67 | 16 | -1.67 | 12.15 | 12 | +0.15 | 16.70 | 17 | +0.30 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.96 | 11 | -0.96 | 6.20 | 7 | -0.80 | 10.05 | 12 | +1.95 |
| Home | 14 | 22.41 | 22 | -0.41 | 14.56 | 14 | +0.56 | 24.69 | 24 | -0.69 |
| Away | 14 | 22.28 | 21 | -1.28 | 21.16 | 21 | +0.16 | 19.56 | 22 | +2.44 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (A) | 2-1 | 1.35 | 0.80 | 1.77 | 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (H) | 2-1 | 2.82 | 1.47 | 2.13 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (A) | 2-3 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 1.70 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (H) | 3-2 | 2.10 | 1.49 | 1.76 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (A) | 0-2 | 3.39 | 0.67 | 2.69 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (A) | 3-3 | 2.35 | 1.46 | 1.91 | 1 | W |
| 9 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (H) | 0-0 | 0.80 | 0.85 | 1.28 | 1 | D |
| 30 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (A) | 0-0 | 0.57 | 1.95 | 0.50 | 1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 1-1 | 0.60 | 0.26 | 1.61 | 1 | D |
| 21 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (A) | 1-1 | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.35 | 1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (H) | 2-0 | 1.50 | 0.62 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| 30 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (H) | 2-1 | 2.25 | 1.22 | 2.01 | 3 | W |
| 25 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba (A) | 3-2 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 17 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (H) | 1-1 | 1.63 | 0.17 | 2.47 | 1 | W |
| 10 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 1-2 | 1.19 | 1.86 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 2-2 | 2.32 | 1.45 | 1.90 | 1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (H) | 2-2 | 1.29 | 2.35 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (A) | 2-0 | 0.57 | 2.01 | 0.47 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (A) | 1-2 | 1.65 | 1.67 | 1.37 | 3 | L |
| 5 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (H) | 1-2 | 1.28 | 0.34 | 2.12 | 0 | W |
| 1 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (H) | 3-0 | 1.15 | 0.62 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (A) | 4-1 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 1.44 | 0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (H) | 2-0 | 2.19 | 1.25 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (A) | 0-1 | 0.89 | 1.63 | 0.86 | 3 | L |
| 11 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (H) | 1-1 | 1.92 | 0.46 | 2.37 | 1 | W |
| 12 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (A) | 0-1 | 0.46 | 2.14 | 0.36 | 3 | L |
| 5 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (H) | 1-1 | 1.69 | 1.60 | 1.44 | 1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (A) | 1-2 | 1.92 | 1.25 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano Juba | defender | 24 | 1969 | 4.89 | 9 | +4.11 | 0.22 |
| Jean Lucas | midfielder | 24 | 1638 | 2.58 | 4 | +1.43 | 0.14 |
| David Duarte | defender | 21 | 1887 | 1.60 | 3 | +1.40 | 0.08 |
| Everaldo | attacker | 18 | 637 | 3.16 | 4 | +0.84 | 0.45 |
| Erick | midfielder | 21 | 1304 | 3.18 | 4 | +0.82 | 0.22 |
| Mateo Sanabria | attacker | 14 | 326 | 1.37 | 2 | +0.63 | 0.38 |
| Román Gómez | defender | 13 | 1060 | 0.96 | 1 | +0.04 | 0.08 |
| Erick Pulga | attacker | 27 | 1999 | 4.10 | 4 | -0.10 | 0.18 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | midfielder | 26 | 2252 | 1.49 | 1 | -0.49 | 0.06 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | defender | 24 | 2116 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.03 |
| Ademir | attacker | 26 | 1038 | 1.75 | 1 | -0.75 | 0.15 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | midfielder | 21 | 1309 | 2.45 | 1 | -1.45 | 0.17 |
| Cristian Olivera | attacker | 20 | 1288 | 2.69 | 1 | -1.69 | 0.19 |
| Everton Ribeiro | midfielder | 19 | 1048 | 1.94 | 0 | -1.94 | 0.17 |
| Alejo Veliz | attacker | 9 | 774 | 5.24 | 3 | -2.24 | 0.61 |
| Willian José | attacker | 22 | 1184 | 5.37 | 3 | -2.37 | 0.41 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 37 | 47 | 28.5 | 21 | 43.6 | 57 | +13.4 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 28 | 48.1 | 55 | 27.7 | 23 | 50.8 | 60 | +9.2 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 28 | 37.2 | 43 | 33 | 32 | 41 | 49 | +8 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 29.1 | 37 | 44 | 43 | 30.1 | 38 | +7.9 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 28 | 38.5 | 44 | 34.1 | 36 | 41 | 48 | +7 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 38.2 | 42 | 34.9 | 40 | 41.6 | 45 | +3.4 |
| 7 | Atlético Mineiro | 28 | 37.8 | 37 | 35.1 | 32 | 40 | 43 | +3 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 35.3 | 43 | 34.6 | 41 | 38.8 | 41 | +2.2 |
| 9 | Vitória | 28 | 27.2 | 28 | 41 | 42 | 31 | 33 | +2 |
| 10 | Bahia | 28 | 44.7 | 43 | 35.7 | 35 | 44.3 | 46 | +1.7 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 28 | 27 | 30 | 46.8 | 38 | 27.3 | 29 | +1.7 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 35.6 | 41 | 39.2 | 45 | 36.6 | 35 | -1.6 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 28 | 34.8 | 33 | 41.5 | 42 | 34.8 | 32 | -2.8 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 25.1 | 29 | 29.2 | 32 | 35.4 | 32 | -3.4 |
| 15 | Bragantino | 28 | 38.3 | 33 | 35.2 | 32 | 40.6 | 36 | -4.6 |
| 16 | São Paulo | 28 | 41.5 | 33 | 32.5 | 32 | 42.6 | 36 | -6.6 |
| 17 | Remo | 28 | 31.4 | 32 | 41 | 47 | 31.8 | 23 | -8.8 |
| 18 | Chapecoense | 27 | 31.4 | 29 | 47.1 | 53 | 29.3 | 18 | -11.3 |
| 19 | Internacional | 28 | 38.1 | 30 | 32.1 | 36 | 41.4 | 28 | -13.4 |
| 20 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 47.8 | 34 | 30.8 | 41 | 44.9 | 31 | -13.9 |