Palmeiras host Bahia at Allianz Parque, São Paulo on 9 October 2026 at 01:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Palmeiras's last five results: D W W L D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Bahia's last five: W W W W L (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Palmeiras have won 4, Bahia 2, with 0 draws.
Palmeiras vs Bahia kicks off at 01:30 UK time on Friday 9 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Allianz Parque, São Paulo.
Palmeiras vs Bahia is being played at Allianz Parque in São Paulo, the home ground of Palmeiras.
Palmeiras's last five results read D W W L D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Bahia's last five results read W W W W L (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Palmeiras have won 4, Bahia have won 2 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Bahia 1-2 Palmeiras on 5 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Mauricio leads Palmeiras with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Rodrigo Nestor leads Bahia with 4 assists across their last 10 games.
Braulio da Silva Machado is the referee for Palmeiras vs Bahia.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Palmeiras and Bahia are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Palmeiras the favourite with a 56% chance of winning, against 19% for Bahia and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Palmeiras 1.8 - 1.0 Bahia.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 52% likely and over 2.5 goals 52%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia vs Palmeiras | 1-2 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia vs Palmeiras | 1-0 |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Bahia | 0-1 |
| 20 Nov 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia vs Palmeiras | 1-2 |
| 7 Jul 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Bahia | 2-0 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Bahia | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Palmeiras 1.8 - 1.0 Bahia in goals. It gives Palmeiras a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bahia 19%. Both teams to score is 52% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 52%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-0 | Palmeiras win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Palmeiras win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Palmeiras win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Palmeiras vs Bahia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Palmeiras | Fouls committed | Bahia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murilo | 12 | N. Acevedo | 18 |
| 2 | A. Barboza | 11 | R. Nestor | 18 |
| 3 | J. Arias | 10 | A. Veliz | 12 |
| 4 | M. Freitas | 10 | R. Gómez | 10 |
| 5 | J. López | 9 | E. Pulga | 9 |
| # | Palmeiras | Shots | Bahia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mauricio | 22 | R. Nestor | 27 |
| 2 | J. López | 21 | A. Veliz | 27 |
| 3 | V. Roque | 20 | E. Pulga | 21 |
| 4 | J. Arias | 18 | C. Olivera | 10 |
| 5 | A. Pereira | 15 | R. Gómez | 9 |
| # | Palmeiras | Shots on target | Bahia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mauricio | 13 | E. Pulga | 9 |
| 2 | V. Roque | 8 | R. Nestor | 7 |
| 3 | J. López | 8 | A. Veliz | 7 |
| 4 | R. Sosa | 4 | L. Juba | 4 |
| 5 | A. Pereira | 4 | C. Olivera | 4 |
| # | Palmeiras | Goals | Bahia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mauricio | 6 | E. Pulga | 3 |
| 2 | V. Roque | 2 | A. Veliz | 3 |
| 3 | J. López | 2 | J. Lucas | 2 |
| 4 | R. Sosa | 2 | L. Juba | 2 |
| 5 | Murilo | 1 | Erick | 2 |
| # | Palmeiras | Yellow cards | Bahia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Barboza | 3 | E. Pulga | 3 |
| 2 | M. Freitas | 3 | N. Acevedo | 2 |
| 3 | A. Giay | 2 | C. Olivera | 2 |
| 4 | R. Sosa | 2 | Erick | 2 |
| 5 | J. Piquerez | 2 | D. Duarte | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Palmeiras vs Bahia: Marlon Freitas 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.44); Erick 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.62); Marcos Victor 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.25); Alejo Veliz 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.29). Combined odds 3.76 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots | 15 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.9 | 8 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 8 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.8 | 13 of 20 |
| Passes | 444.8 | 5 of 20 |
| Corners | 6 | 3 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 3 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 6 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 8 of 20 |
| Passes | 439.4 | 7 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6 of 20 |