Fluminense host Coritiba at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro on 9 October 2026 at 01:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Fluminense's last five results: W W L L W (3 wins and 2 losses). Coritiba's last five: W W L D L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 5 meetings, Fluminense have won 2, Coritiba 2, with 1 draw.
Fluminense vs Coritiba kicks off at 01:30 UK time on Friday 9 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro.
Fluminense vs Coritiba is being played at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Rio de Janeiro, the home ground of Fluminense.
Fluminense's last five results read W W L L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Coritiba's last five results read W W L D L (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Across the last 5 meetings Fluminense have won 2, Coritiba have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Coritiba 1-1 Fluminense on 5 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Hulk leads Fluminense with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Pedro Rocha leads Coritiba with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Rodrigo Pereira is the referee for Fluminense vs Coritiba.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Fluminense and Coritiba are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Fluminense the favourite with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Coritiba and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Fluminense 2.1 - 0.9 Coritiba.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Fluminense win, at 11%. Both teams to score is 52% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Fluminense | 1-1 |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense vs Coritiba | 2-1 |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Fluminense | 2-0 |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense vs Coritiba | 5-2 |
| 1 May 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Fluminense | 3-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Fluminense 2.1 - 0.9 Coritiba in goals. It gives Fluminense a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coritiba 14%. Both teams to score is 52% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%), 3-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Fluminense win | 11% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Fluminense win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Fluminense win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Fluminense win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Fluminense vs Coritiba, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Fluminense | Fouls committed | Coritiba | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Canobbio | 15 | T. Santos | 18 |
| 2 | Nonato | 13 | T. Cóser | 11 |
| 3 | Renê | 10 | J. Lavega | 10 |
| 4 | Martinelli | 9 | J. Chermont | 10 |
| 5 | Hércules | 8 | Jacy | 7 |
| # | Fluminense | Shots | Coritiba | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hulk | 34 | P. Rocha | 22 |
| 2 | A. Canobbio | 17 | Josué | 14 |
| 3 | Hércules | 11 | J. Lavega | 13 |
| 4 | K. Serna | 11 | B. Lopes | 8 |
| 5 | G. Cano | 8 | T. Cóser | 8 |
| # | Fluminense | Shots on target | Coritiba | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hulk | 16 | P. Rocha | 11 |
| 2 | K. Serna | 8 | T. Cóser | 6 |
| 3 | A. Canobbio | 7 | Josué | 5 |
| 4 | Hércules | 5 | P. Roberto | 3 |
| 5 | Ignácio | 3 | R. Moledo | 3 |
| # | Fluminense | Goals | Coritiba | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hulk | 6 | P. Rocha | 4 |
| 2 | K. Serna | 3 | T. Cóser | 3 |
| 3 | Ignácio | 3 | R. Moledo | 2 |
| 4 | R. Castillo | 1 | P. Roberto | 2 |
| 5 | L. Acosta | 1 | Fabinho | 1 |
| # | Fluminense | Yellow cards | Coritiba | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignácio | 4 | T. Santos | 4 |
| 2 | A. Canobbio | 3 | J. Chermont | 2 |
| 3 | Nonato | 3 | T. Cóser | 2 |
| 4 | J. Freytes | 2 | N. Fonseca | 1 |
| 5 | Guga | 2 | P. Roberto | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Fluminense vs Coritiba: Hulk 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.17); Pedro Rocha 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.73); Josué 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.30); Breno Lopes 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 3.07 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 5 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 13 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15 | 12 of 20 |
| Passes | 527.3 | 2 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 7 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 10 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 17 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 | 19 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 18 of 20 |
| Passes | 322.9 | 20 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 20 of 20 |