Atlético Mineiro xG 2026

Atlético-MG Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026

Atlético-MG have recorded 37 expected goals (xG) across 28 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, averaging 1.3 per match. M. Cassierra leads the squad with 5 expected goals (xG) - 0.3 per game. T. Cuello is next with 5.

Atlético-MG Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Atlético-MG are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - M. Cassierra leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Atlético-MG vs Athletico PR on 08.10.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xG) do Atlético-MG average per game?

Atlético-MG average 1.3 expected goals (xG) per Campeonato Brasileiro game in 2026, based on 28 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.

Who leads Atlético-MG for expected goals (xG)?

M. Cassierra leads Atlético-MG for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 5 in Campeonato Brasileiro - an average of 0.3 per game. T. Cuello is second with 5.

How do Atlético-MG's expected goals (xG) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Atlético-MG's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.

Atlético-MG expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 28
Expected goals (xG): 37.78
Goals scored: 37
Goals minus xG: -0.78
Expected goals against (xGA): 35.13
Goals conceded: 32
xGA minus goals conceded: +3.13
Expected points (xPts): 40.04
Points: 43
Points minus xPts: +2.96
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Atlético-MG overperforming their expected goals?

Atlético-MG's results and their chances agree, within 3.0 points of xPts over 28 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Athletico PR expected goals

Games: 28
Athletico PR xG per game: 1.33
Athletico PR xGA per game: 1.18
Points minus xPts: +8.00
Verdict: Running a little hot

Atlético-MG results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	28	37.78	37	-0.78	35.13	32	+3.13	40.04	43	+2.96
Last 10	10	14.28	15	+0.72	12.05	9	+3.05	15.16	19	+3.84
Last 5	5	7.07	7	-0.07	5.89	5	+0.89	7.64	10	+2.36
Home	14	22.07	24	+1.93	16.59	16	+0.59	22.65	29	+6.35
Away	14	15.71	13	-2.71	18.54	16	+2.54	17.39	14	-3.39

Atlético-MG expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
3 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (H)	1-0	0.52	1.30	0.74	3	L
19 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Chapecoense (H)	1-1	2.53	1.49	1.98	1	W
12 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (H)	3-1	1.72	0.41	2.31	3	W
5 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (A)	2-0	0.64	2.04	0.51	0	L
29 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (H)	2-1	1.66	0.65	2.10	3	W
22 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (A)	0-0	0.90	1.47	0.95	1	L
16 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (H)	3-0	2.47	0.50	2.56	3	W
8 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (A)	2-2	1.28	0.69	1.81	1	W
26 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (A)	1-2	1.13	2.11	0.80	3	L
21 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	1-1	1.43	1.39	1.40	1	W
31 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (A)	0-1	0.58	1.48	0.70	3	L
24 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (A)	1-0	1.49	0.71	1.94	0	W
16 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (H)	3-1	2.24	1.30	1.95	3	W
10 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	1-1	1.15	1.31	1.25	1	L
3 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (A)	1-3	1.52	1.30	1.53	3	W
26 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (H)	0-4	1.37	2.39	0.82	0	L
19 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (A)	2-0	1.09	0.84	1.54	0	W
11 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (A)	1-0	0.83	1.39	0.95	0	L
5 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (H)	2-1	1.45	0.54	2.05	3	W
2 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Chapecoense (A)	0-4	2.39	2.98	1.12	3	L
21 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (A)	1-0	1.63	0.73	2.02	0	W
18 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (H)	1-0	1.07	0.56	1.76	3	W
14 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	2-0	1.22	0.57	1.87	0	W
11 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (H)	1-0	1.02	1.71	0.92	3	L
26 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	2-1	0.39	0.94	0.82	0	L
11 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (H)	3-3	2.81	1.63	2.03	1	W
4 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (A)	1-0	0.62	1.29	0.83	0	L
28 Jan	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (H)	2-2	0.63	1.41	0.78	1	L

Atlético-MG players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Victor Hugo	midfielder	21	1579	2.39	4	+1.61	0.14
Vitor Hugo	defender	15	931	0.80	2	+1.20	0.08
Tomás Cuello	attacker	24	1753	5.09	6	+0.91	0.26
Reinier	midfielder	20	969	3.22	4	+0.78	0.30
Igor Gomes	midfielder	10	325	0.22	1	+0.78	0.06
Ruan	defender	20	1753	1.44	2	+0.56	0.07
Thiago Borbas	attacker	3	156	0.44	1	+0.56	0.25
Vitão	defender	5	450	0.52	1	+0.48	0.10
Dudu	attacker	17	411	1.56	2	+0.44	0.34
Mamady Cissé	midfielder	16	632	0.70	1	+0.30	0.10
Iván Román	defender	6	443	0.70	1	+0.30	0.14
Maycon	midfielder	17	1260	1.82	2	+0.18	0.13
Gustavo Scarpa	midfielder	13	378	0.84	1	+0.16	0.20
Bernard	attacker	24	1341	2.86	3	+0.14	0.19
Alan Minda	attacker	16	679	2.25	2	-0.25	0.30
Natanael	defender	19	1594	0.57	0	-0.57	0.03
Fred	midfielder	5	358	0.61	0	-0.61	0.15
Alan Franco	midfielder	20	1621	0.64	0	-0.64	0.04
Hulk	attacker	12	912	1.75	1	-0.75	0.17
Renan Lodi	defender	24	2062	1.88	0	-1.88	0.08
Mateo Cassierra	attacker	22	1085	5.10	3	-2.10	0.42

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	28	37	47	28.5	21	43.6	57	+13.4
2	Flamengo	28	48.1	55	27.7	23	50.8	60	+9.2
3	Athletico PR	28	37.2	43	33	32	41	49	+8
4	Coritiba	28	29.1	37	44	43	30.1	38	+7.9
5	Fluminense	28	38.5	44	34.1	36	41	48	+7
6	Cruzeiro	28	38.2	42	34.9	40	41.6	45	+3.4
7	Atlético Mineiro	28	37.8	37	35.1	32	40	43	+3
8	Santos	28	35.3	43	34.6	41	38.8	41	+2.2
9	Vitória	28	27.2	28	41	42	31	33	+2
10	Bahia	28	44.7	43	35.7	35	44.3	46	+1.7
11	Grêmio	28	27	30	46.8	38	27.3	29	+1.7
12	Botafogo	28	35.6	41	39.2	45	36.6	35	-1.6
13	Mirassol	28	34.8	33	41.5	42	34.8	32	-2.8
14	Corinthians	28	25.1	29	29.2	32	35.4	32	-3.4
15	Bragantino	28	38.3	33	35.2	32	40.6	36	-4.6
16	São Paulo	28	41.5	33	32.5	32	42.6	36	-6.6
17	Remo	28	31.4	32	41	47	31.8	23	-8.8
18	Chapecoense	27	31.4	29	47.1	53	29.3	18	-11.3
19	Internacional	28	38.1	30	32.1	36	41.4	28	-13.4
20	Vasco da Gama	27	47.8	34	30.8	41	44.9	31	-13.9

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