Botafogo host Vasco at Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro on 8 October 2026 at 00:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Botafogo's last five results: L D D W L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Vasco's last five: L D W W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Botafogo have won 4, Vasco 1, with 1 draw.
Botafogo vs Vasco kicks off at 00:30 UK time on Thursday 8 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.
Botafogo vs Vasco is being played at Estádio Nilton Santos in Rio de Janeiro, the home ground of Botafogo.
Botafogo's last five results read L D D W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Vasco's last five results read L D W W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Botafogo have won 4, Vasco have won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Vasco da Gama 1-2 Botafogo on 5 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Arthur Cabral leads Botafogo with 10 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Facundo Colidio leads Vasco with 10 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Bruno Arleu de Araujo is the referee for Botafogo vs Vasco.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Botafogo and Vasco are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Botafogo the favourite with a 38% chance of winning, against 35% for Vasco and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Botafogo 1.5 - 1.5 Vasco.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo | 1-2 |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama | 3-0 |
| 12 Jul 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo | 0-2 |
| 6 Nov 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama | 3-0 |
| 29 Jun 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo | 1-1 |
| 6 Nov 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Botafogo 1.5 - 1.5 Vasco in goals. It gives Botafogo a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vasco 35%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-0 (7%), 0-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Botafogo win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Vasco win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Botafogo win | 7% |
| 0-1 | Vasco win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Botafogo vs Vasco, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Botafogo | Fouls committed | Vasco | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huguinho | 14 | S. Sosa | 15 |
| 2 | Vitinho | 13 | Cuiabano | 11 |
| 3 | A. Cabral | 11 | P. Henrique | 11 |
| 4 | N. Ferraresi | 11 | R. Renan | 10 |
| 5 | A. Telles | 9 | C. Cuesta | 9 |
| # | Botafogo | Shots | Vasco | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Cabral | 24 | F. Colidio | 27 |
| 2 | Á. Montoro | 16 | T. Tchê | 14 |
| 3 | Danilo | 14 | C. Spinelli | 10 |
| 4 | A. Telles | 12 | T. Mendes | 10 |
| 5 | Huguinho | 12 | Cuiabano | 9 |
| # | Botafogo | Shots on target | Vasco | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Cabral | 10 | F. Colidio | 10 |
| 2 | Á. Montoro | 8 | T. Tchê | 5 |
| 3 | Danilo | 4 | C. Spinelli | 4 |
| 4 | Danilo | 4 | Cuiabano | 3 |
| 5 | J. Santos | 3 | T. Mendes | 3 |
| # | Botafogo | Goals | Vasco | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danilo | 2 | F. Colidio | 3 |
| 2 | Vitinho | 1 | B. Duarte | 1 |
| 3 | A. Telles | 1 | A. Lescano | 1 |
| 4 | Á. Montoro | 1 | R. Barros | 1 |
| 5 | G. Justino | 1 | T. Mendes | 1 |
| # | Botafogo | Yellow cards | Vasco | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huguinho | 3 | R. Renan | 3 |
| 2 | N. Ferraresi | 3 | Cuiabano | 2 |
| 3 | Marçal | 3 | P. Henrique | 2 |
| 4 | L. Monzón | 2 | T. Mendes | 2 |
| 5 | K. Barría | 2 | T. Tchê | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Botafogo vs Vasco: Facundo Colidio 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.30); Thiago Mendes 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.62); Santiago Sosa 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.62); Arthur Cabral 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.11). Combined odds 3.79 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 7 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 18 of 20 |
| Shots | 14 | 9 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 4 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 7 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 5 of 20 |
| Passes | 374.3 | 14 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 17 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.9 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.4 | 2 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Passes | 433.6 | 8 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5 of 20 |