Cruzeiro host São Paulo at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte on 8 October 2026 at 01:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Cruzeiro's last five results: W L W L W (3 wins and 2 losses). São Paulo's last five: L L D W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Cruzeiro have won 1, São Paulo 4, with 1 draw.
Cruzeiro vs São Paulo kicks off at 01:30 UK time on Thursday 8 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte.
Cruzeiro vs São Paulo is being played at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto in Belo Horizonte, the home ground of Cruzeiro.
Cruzeiro's last five results read W L W L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
São Paulo's last five results read L L D W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Cruzeiro have won 1, São Paulo have won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was São Paulo 4-1 Cruzeiro on 4 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Matheus Pereira leads Cruzeiro with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Jonathan Calleri leads São Paulo with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Wilton Pereira Sampaio is the referee for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo, averaging 22.8 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Cruzeiro and São Paulo are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Cruzeiro the favourite with a 47% chance of winning, against 26% for São Paulo and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Cruzeiro 1.6 - 1.1 São Paulo.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 50%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Cruzeiro | 4-1 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs São Paulo | 1-0 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs São Paulo | 0-1 |
| 2 Jun 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| 2 Nov 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Cruzeiro 1.6 - 1.1 São Paulo in goals. It gives Cruzeiro a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and São Paulo 26%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 50%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Cruzeiro win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Cruzeiro win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Cruzeiro win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Cruzeiro | Fouls committed | São Paulo | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Rojas | 12 | P. Maia | 14 |
| 2 | J. Jesus | 12 | Wendell | 11 |
| 3 | Gerson | 11 | J. Calleri | 11 |
| 4 | J. Marcelo | 10 | L. Ramon | 10 |
| 5 | L. Romero | 9 | Danielzinho | 8 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Shots | São Paulo | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pereira | 23 | Artur | 25 |
| 2 | K. Arroyo | 23 | Luciano | 24 |
| 3 | K. Jorge | 16 | P. Maia | 16 |
| 4 | Fagner | 9 | Ferreirinha | 11 |
| 5 | M. Henrique | 7 | G. Santana | 9 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Shots on target | São Paulo | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pereira | 10 | Luciano | 6 |
| 2 | K. Arroyo | 7 | Artur | 6 |
| 3 | K. Jorge | 6 | J. Calleri | 4 |
| 4 | J. Costa | 4 | G. Santana | 4 |
| 5 | G. Pec | 2 | R. Arboleda | 3 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Goals | São Paulo | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pereira | 6 | Luciano | 3 |
| 2 | K. Jorge | 3 | J. Calleri | 2 |
| 3 | K. Arroyo | 2 | G. Santana | 1 |
| 4 | L. Villalba | 1 | P. Maia | 1 |
| 5 | L. Romero | 1 | Artur | 1 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Yellow cards | São Paulo | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Jesus | 4 | J. Calleri | 3 |
| 2 | Gerson | 3 | Luciano | 3 |
| 3 | F. Bruno | 3 | P. Maia | 2 |
| 4 | J. Marcelo | 3 | A. Silva | 2 |
| 5 | F. Morais | 2 | Djhordney | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: Matheus Pereira 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.44); Jonathan Jesus 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.20); Gerson 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.14); Keny Arroyo 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 2.62 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 8 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 14 | 2 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Passes | 449.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 11 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 17 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 460.6 | 3 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 1 of 20 |