Criciúma's results and their chances agree, within 5.4 points of xPts over 38 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/ | 38 | 41.11 | 42 | +0.89 | 57.03 | 61 | -3.97 | 43.42 | 38 | -5.42 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.66 | 8 | -0.66 | 16.82 | 19 | -2.18 | 9.13 | 6 | -3.13 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.47 | 3 | -1.47 | 8.43 | 13 | -4.57 | 4.51 | 1 | -3.51 |
| Home | 19 | 22.27 | 22 | -0.27 | 24.69 | 27 | -2.31 | 24.92 | 23 | -1.92 |
| Away | 19 | 18.84 | 20 | +1.16 | 32.34 | 34 | -1.66 | 18.50 | 15 | -3.50 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Dec | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (A) | 5-1 | 0.33 | 2.66 | 0.19 | 0 | L |
| 4 Dec | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (H) | 0-3 | 0.68 | 1.57 | 0.73 | 0 | L |
| 30 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 2-4 | 0.86 | 1.87 | 0.72 | 0 | L |
| 26 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (A) | 0-0 | 1.77 | 1.40 | 1.62 | 1 | W |
| 20 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (H) | 0-1 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 1.25 | 0 | L |
| 9 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (A) | 2-1 | 1.28 | 2.65 | 0.66 | 0 | L |
| 6 Nov | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (A) | 2-0 | 0.14 | 1.65 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 27 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (H) | 1-1 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 1.33 | 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (A) | 1-1 | 0.44 | 2.73 | 0.23 | 1 | L |
| 3 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético GO (H) | 2-0 | 1.44 | 0.46 | 2.11 | 3 | W |
| 29 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (A) | 1-0 | 0.12 | 2.58 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| 25 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (A) | 1-2 | 0.98 | 1.97 | 0.76 | 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (H) | 0-0 | 1.47 | 0.60 | 2.02 | 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (A) | 5-0 | 0.76 | 1.93 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 31 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cuiabá (A) | 2-1 | 0.54 | 1.97 | 0.46 | 0 | L |
| 28 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (H) | 1-0 | 1.09 | 1.54 | 1.06 | 3 | L |
| 25 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (H) | 0-1 | 1.24 | 1.76 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 18 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (H) | 2-2 | 1.34 | 0.72 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fortaleza (A) | 1-0 | 0.75 | 1.55 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 3 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (H) | 2-1 | 1.43 | 1.54 | 1.31 | 3 | L |
| 27 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Juventude (A) | 1-2 | 1.88 | 0.54 | 2.30 | 3 | W |
| 24 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fortaleza (H) | 1-1 | 0.50 | 1.22 | 0.76 | 1 | L |
| 20 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (A) | 2-1 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 17 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (A) | 2-1 | 1.12 | 0.87 | 1.54 | 0 | W |
| 11 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (H) | 1-1 | 0.96 | 2.67 | 0.48 | 1 | L |
| 7 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (A) | 2-1 | 1.42 | 1.73 | 1.18 | 0 | L |
| 3 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 1-0 | 1.53 | 1.40 | 1.46 | 3 | W |
| 30 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (H) | 1-1 | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.38 | 1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 2-1 | 0.78 | 0.63 | 1.44 | 0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (H) | 2-1 | 1.35 | 0.70 | 1.85 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yannick Bolasie | attacker | 34 | 2381 | 0.00 | 8 | +8.00 | 0.00 |
| Matheusinho | midfielder | 28 | 1592 | 0.00 | 5 | +5.00 | 0.00 |
| Arthur Caíke | attacker | 33 | 1673 | 0.00 | 5 | +5.00 | 0.00 |
| Rodrigo Fagundes | defender | 32 | 2880 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Fellipe Mateus | midfielder | 31 | 1896 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Meritão | midfielder | 17 | 1042 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Miguel Trauco | defender | 24 | 1447 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Marcelo Hermes | defender | 36 | 3208 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Claudinho | defender | 34 | 2054 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Barreto | midfielder | 30 | 2294 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Felipe Vizeu | attacker | 17 | 446 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Wilker Ángel | defender | 13 | 986 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Newton | midfielder | 30 | 2301 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Allano | attacker | 24 | 1311 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ronald | midfielder | 31 | 1522 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Tobias Figueiredo | defender | 25 | 2063 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza | 38 | 42.1 | 53 | 47.7 | 39 | 50.2 | 68 | +17.8 |
| 2 | Botafogo | 38 | 56.3 | 59 | 37.7 | 29 | 62.7 | 79 | +16.3 |
| 3 | Flamengo | 38 | 56.5 | 61 | 38.7 | 42 | 62.9 | 70 | +7.1 |
| 4 | São Paulo | 38 | 42.6 | 53 | 39.7 | 43 | 53.4 | 59 | +5.6 |
| 5 | Vasco da Gama | 38 | 39.9 | 43 | 53 | 56 | 44.5 | 50 | +5.5 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 38 | 65.3 | 60 | 35.4 | 33 | 69.7 | 73 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 38 | 51 | 54 | 45 | 45 | 55.7 | 56 | +0.3 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 37 | 43.1 | 41 | 43.1 | 39 | 50.7 | 51 | +0.3 |
| 9 | Juventude | 38 | 45.1 | 48 | 58.9 | 59 | 45.2 | 45 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Internacional | 38 | 56.2 | 53 | 33.8 | 36 | 65.9 | 65 | -0.9 |
| 11 | Vitória | 37 | 41.3 | 43 | 48.3 | 50 | 47.2 | 46 | -1.2 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 38 | 40.3 | 33 | 46.1 | 39 | 47.4 | 46 | -1.4 |
| 13 | Bragantino | 38 | 40.6 | 44 | 51.3 | 48 | 45.6 | 44 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 38 | 45.8 | 44 | 51.6 | 50 | 48.9 | 45 | -3.9 |
| 15 | Bahia | 38 | 51.9 | 49 | 44.2 | 49 | 57.4 | 53 | -4.4 |
| 16 | Atlético Mineiro | 38 | 47.7 | 47 | 47.1 | 54 | 52.4 | 47 | -5.4 |
| 17 | Criciúma | 38 | 41.1 | 42 | 57.1 | 61 | 43.4 | 38 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Cuiabá | 38 | 35 | 29 | 52 | 49 | 40.4 | 30 | -10.4 |
| 19 | Athletico PR | 38 | 47.4 | 40 | 46.5 | 46 | 52.6 | 42 | -10.6 |
| 20 | Atlético GO | 38 | 42.9 | 29 | 55.3 | 58 | 44.4 | 30 | -14.4 |