Juventude xG 2025

Juventude expected goals 2025: 2025

Games: 38
Expected goals (xG): 34.81
Goals scored: 35
Goals minus xG: +0.19
Expected goals against (xGA): 61.96
Goals conceded: 69
xGA minus goals conceded: -7.04
Expected points (xPts): 36.00
Points: 35
Points minus xPts: -1.00
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Juventude overperforming their expected goals?

Juventude's results and their chances agree, within 1.0 points of xPts over 38 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Juventude results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/	38	34.81	35	+0.19	61.96	69	-7.04	36.00	35	-1.00
Last 10	10	11.02	13	+1.98	16.49	16	+0.49	10.87	12	+1.13
Last 5	5	6.46	6	-0.46	9.51	10	-0.49	5.01	3	-2.01
Home	19	20.25	21	+0.75	26.95	26	+0.95	21.64	23	+1.36
Away	19	14.56	14	-0.56	35.01	43	-7.99	14.36	12	-2.36

Juventude expected goals match by match, 2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
7 Dec	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (A)	1-1	1.80	1.68	1.46	1	W
3 Dec	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (H)	0-3	0.60	1.95	0.51	0	L
28 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	1-1	1.60	2.07	1.11	1	L
23 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (A)	2-1	1.07	2.08	0.77	0	L
20 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (H)	3-3	1.39	1.73	1.16	1	L
8 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (A)	1-3	1.18	1.56	1.12	3	L
5 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Sport Recife (A)	0-2	1.36	0.95	1.66	3	W
2 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (H)	0-2	0.69	1.28	0.89	0	L
26 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	3-1	0.27	2.96	0.13	0	L
20 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (H)	1-0	1.06	0.23	2.06	3	W
17 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (A)	1-0	0.72	0.72	1.31	0	D
11 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (A)	4-1	0.57	1.57	0.65	0	L
5 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fortaleza (H)	1-2	2.08	1.39	1.82	0	W
1 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (A)	0-0	0.27	1.53	0.43	1	L
27 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (H)	1-1	0.84	1.21	1.07	1	L
21 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (A)	2-0	0.65	1.98	0.53	0	L
14 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (H)	0-2	0.31	1.58	0.44	0	L
30 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Ceará (A)	0-1	0.55	0.74	1.12	3	D
24 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	1-3	1.35	1.77	1.11	0	L
20 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (H)	2-0	1.26	0.65	1.83	3	W
16 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	2-2	1.73	1.85	1.32	1	L
11 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (H)	2-1	1.80	0.59	2.22	3	W
4 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (A)	3-1	2.38	2.76	1.21	0	L
27 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (A)	3-0	0.16	2.04	0.21	0	L
24 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (H)	0-1	0.47	1.47	0.62	0	L
20 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (A)	4-0	0.35	3.11	0.14	0	L
14 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Sport Recife (H)	2-0	0.23	1.05	0.59	3	L
1 Jun	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (H)	0-2	0.70	2.32	0.45	0	L
26 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (A)	1-0	0.34	0.90	0.78	0	L
18 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (H)	1-1	0.58	1.87	0.53	1	L

Juventude players: goals against expected goals, 2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Emerson Batalla	attacker	22	1326	1.33	4	+2.67	0.09
Igor Formiga	defender	19	1423	0.55	2	+1.45	0.03
Gabriel Taliari	attacker	34	2310	6.97	8	+1.03	0.27
Marcelo Hermes	defender	22	1859	1.00	2	+1.00	0.05
Marcos Paulo	defender	19	1370	0.23	1	+0.77	0.01
Wilker Ángel	defender	18	1425	0.47	1	+0.54	0.03
Daniel Peixoto	midfielder	13	733	0.59	1	+0.41	0.07
Rafael Bilu	attacker	15	693	0.59	1	+0.41	0.08
Rodrigo Sam	defender	18	1455	0.69	1	+0.31	0.04
Edison Negueba	attacker	5	102	0.92	1	+0.08	0.82
Ênio	attacker	26	1098	2.97	3	+0.03	0.24
Ewerthon	defender	18	1153	0.99	1	+0.01	0.08
Matheus Babi	attacker	20	470	2.10	2	-0.10	0.40
Nenê	midfielder	25	1008	3.16	3	-0.16	0.28
Giovanny	attacker	19	643	0.90	0	-0.90	0.13
Jádson	midfielder	35	2834	0.98	0	-0.98	0.03
Gilberto	attacker	23	1106	3.31	2	-1.31	0.27
Mandaca	midfielder	32	2461	4.22	2	-2.22	0.15

Campeonato Brasileiro 2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	38	57.1	66	38.6	33	63.9	76	+12.1
2	Cruzeiro	38	48.2	55	39.2	31	58.1	70	+11.9
3	Mirassol	38	60.2	63	50.6	39	58.4	67	+8.6
4	Flamengo	38	64.2	78	33.8	27	71.2	79	+7.8
5	Fluminense	38	43.6	50	34.5	39	57	64	+7
6	Botafogo	38	53.2	58	41.9	38	58.3	63	+4.7
7	Bahia	38	54.9	50	49.4	46	55.4	60	+4.6
8	Grêmio	38	47.3	47	58.9	50	46.7	49	+2.3
9	São Paulo	38	45.5	43	48.9	47	51	51	-0
10	Vitória	38	41.1	35	52.8	52	45.2	45	-0.2
11	Bragantino	38	46.6	45	52.1	57	48.7	48	-0.7
12	Juventude	38	34.8	35	62	69	36	35	-1
13	Vasco da Gama	38	46.8	55	56.3	60	46.8	45	-1.8
14	Fortaleza	38	47	43	57.2	58	45.3	43	-2.3
15	Corinthians	38	47	42	47.2	47	51	47	-4
16	Atlético Mineiro	38	46.6	43	43.4	44	53.3	48	-5.3
17	Santos	38	50.2	45	49.4	50	53.7	47	-6.7
18	Ceará	38	38.3	34	41	40	49.7	43	-6.7
19	Internacional	38	54.7	44	44.9	57	58.2	44	-14.2
20	Sport Recife	38	39.1	28	64.2	75	38	17	-21