Sport Recife xG 2025

Sport Recife expected goals 2025: 2025

Games: 38
Expected goals (xG): 39.05
Goals scored: 28
Goals minus xG: -11.05
Expected goals against (xGA): 64.27
Goals conceded: 75
xGA minus goals conceded: -10.73
Expected points (xPts): 38.02
Points: 17
Points minus xPts: -21.02
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Sport Recife overperforming their expected goals?

Sport Recife have taken 21.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 38 games: -11.1 goals against their xG, and -10.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Sport Recife results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/	38	39.05	28	-11.05	64.27	75	-10.73	38.02	17	-21.02
Last 10	10	6.83	7	+0.17	20.13	31	-10.87	6.55	0	-6.55
Last 5	5	4.01	3	-1.01	9.40	15	-5.60	3.91	0	-3.91
Home	19	19.07	17	-2.07	28.61	39	-10.39	20.20	10	-10.20
Away	19	19.98	11	-8.98	35.66	36	-0.34	17.82	7	-10.82

Sport Recife expected goals match by match, 2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
7 Dec	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (H)	0-4	0.73	1.32	0.91	0	L
3 Dec	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (A)	2-0	0.32	3.27	0.11	0	L
29 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (A)	3-0	0.57	1.58	0.64	0	L
23 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (H)	1-3	0.97	0.98	1.34	0	L
18 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (A)	3-2	1.42	2.25	0.91	0	L
15 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (H)	1-5	0.62	3.76	0.15	0	L
8 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (H)	2-4	0.40	2.25	0.30	0	L
5 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Juventude (H)	0-2	0.95	1.36	1.06	0	L
2 Nov	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (A)	3-0	0.18	2.14	0.21	0	L
25 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (H)	1-2	0.67	1.22	0.92	0	L
19 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (A)	2-0	1.30	2.23	0.85	0	L
15 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Ceará (H)	1-1	1.82	1.12	1.84	1	W
8 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (A)	3-1	2.63	2.20	1.63	0	W
5 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (A)	1-1	1.43	1.68	1.22	1	L
1 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (H)	2-2	1.10	1.83	0.91	1	L
27 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fortaleza (A)	1-0	0.80	0.85	1.29	0	D
21 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (H)	1-0	0.84	1.09	1.15	3	L
14 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (A)	1-1	1.44	3.52	0.47	1	L
31 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (H)	2-3	1.85	1.88	1.37	0	L
25 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (A)	3-0	0.70	2.83	0.32	0	L
16 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (H)	2-2	0.45	1.59	0.55	1	L
10 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	0-1	1.37	1.17	1.51	3	W
2 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	0-0	0.51	1.05	0.87	1	L
26 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (H)	2-2	2.22	0.92	2.19	1	W
24 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	2-2	2.00	2.94	0.93	1	L
20 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	0-1	1.08	1.24	1.24	0	L
14 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Juventude (A)	2-0	1.05	0.23	2.06	0	W
1 Jun	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (A)	1-0	0.73	1.17	0.99	0	L
25 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (H)	1-1	0.95	1.49	0.98	1	L
17 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Ceará (A)	2-0	0.60	0.39	1.48	0	D

Sport Recife players: goals against expected goals, 2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Pablo	attacker	20	1082	2.41	3	+0.59	0.20
Romarinho	attacker	25	873	1.44	2	+0.56	0.15
Léo Pereira	attacker	15	1049	2.77	3	+0.23	0.24
Rafael Thyere	defender	24	2108	1.01	1	-0.01	0.04
Igor Cariús	defender	28	1733	1.15	1	-0.15	0.06
Luan Cândido	defender	16	1319	1.15	1	-0.15	0.08
Sérgio Oliveira	midfielder	19	994	1.45	1	-0.45	0.13
Lenny Lobato	attacker	7	268	0.53	0	-0.53	0.18
Arthur Sousa	attacker	6	196	0.55	0	-0.55	0.25
Matheus Alexandre	defender	25	1689	0.58	0	-0.58	0.03
Du Queiroz	midfielder	11	633	0.58	0	-0.58	0.08
Lucas Lima	midfielder	32	2488	2.60	2	-0.60	0.09
Chico	defender	13	1060	0.68	0	-0.68	0.06
Matheusinho	midfielder	24	1594	2.84	2	-0.84	0.16
Hyoran	midfielder	12	399	0.86	0	-0.86	0.19
Gonçalo Paciência	attacker	6	196	0.88	0	-0.88	0.40
Ignacio Ramírez	attacker	8	288	0.93	0	-0.93	0.29
Ramon Menezes	defender	22	1788	0.97	0	-0.97	0.05
Rodrigo Atencio	attacker	18	516	1.02	0	-1.02	0.18
Derik Lacerda	attacker	16	1361	7.15	6	-1.15	0.47
Chrystian Barletta	attacker	33	1480	3.51	2	-1.51	0.21
Zé Lucas	midfielder	22	1536	1.56	0	-1.56	0.09

Campeonato Brasileiro 2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	38	57.1	66	38.6	33	63.9	76	+12.1
2	Cruzeiro	38	48.2	55	39.2	31	58.1	70	+11.9
3	Mirassol	38	60.2	63	50.6	39	58.4	67	+8.6
4	Flamengo	38	64.2	78	33.8	27	71.2	79	+7.8
5	Fluminense	38	43.6	50	34.5	39	57	64	+7
6	Botafogo	38	53.2	58	41.9	38	58.3	63	+4.7
7	Bahia	38	54.9	50	49.4	46	55.4	60	+4.6
8	Grêmio	38	47.3	47	58.9	50	46.7	49	+2.3
9	São Paulo	38	45.5	43	48.9	47	51	51	-0
10	Vitória	38	41.1	35	52.8	52	45.2	45	-0.2
11	Bragantino	38	46.6	45	52.1	57	48.7	48	-0.7
12	Juventude	38	34.8	35	62	69	36	35	-1
13	Vasco da Gama	38	46.8	55	56.3	60	46.8	45	-1.8
14	Fortaleza	38	47	43	57.2	58	45.3	43	-2.3
15	Corinthians	38	47	42	47.2	47	51	47	-4
16	Atlético Mineiro	38	46.6	43	43.4	44	53.3	48	-5.3
17	Santos	38	50.2	45	49.4	50	53.7	47	-6.7
18	Ceará	38	38.3	34	41	40	49.7	43	-6.7
19	Internacional	38	54.7	44	44.9	57	58.2	44	-14.2
20	Sport Recife	38	39.1	28	64.2	75	38	17	-21