Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Croatia win | 10.5% |
| 2-0 | Croatia win | 10.4% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | Croatia win | 10.0% |
| 3-0 | Croatia win | 6.9% |
| 3-1 | Croatia win | 6.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.3% |
| 0-1 | Czech Republic win | 5.0% |
| 1-2 | Czech Republic win | 4.8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Croatia clean sheet | 39% |
| Czech Republic clean sheet | 14% |
The most likely score in Croatia vs Czech Republic is 1-0, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-0 at 10%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Croatia 1.99 - 0.95 Czech Republic in goals for Croatia vs Czech Republic, with over 2.5 goals 56% likely and both teams to score 53%.
Statz projects 22 players for Croatia vs Czech Republic on Sunday 15 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Croatia host Czech Republic at Stadion Poljud, Split on 15 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Croatia's last five results: W L L L L (1 win and 4 losses). Czech Republic's last five: L L L L L (5 losses). In their last 3 meetings, Croatia have won 2, Czech Republic 0, with 1 draw.
Croatia vs Czech Republic kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Poljud, Split. Stadion Poljud holds 34,198 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Croatia vs Czech Republic is being played at Stadion Poljud in Split on Sunday 15 November 2026, the home ground of Croatia, which holds 34,198 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Croatia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 16, with results reading W L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to England in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Czech Republic have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 12, with results reading L L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat at home to Spain in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Croatia have won 2, Czech Republic have won 0 and 1 was drawn, with Croatia scoring 7 goals to Czech Republic's 2. The most recent was Czech Republic 1-2 Croatia on 26 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Ivan Perišić leads Croatia with 4 assists across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Croatia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Croatia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Adam Hlozek leads Czech Republic with 10 shots across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any Czech Republic player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Czech Republic player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho is the referee for Croatia vs Czech Republic, averaging 22.7 fouls and 2.7 yellow cards per game across 3 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Croatia vs Czech Republic with 11 starters a side: Croatia line up 4-2-3-1 and Czech Republic 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Sunday 15 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Croatia the favourite with a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for Czech Republic and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Croatia 2.0 - 1.0 Czech Republic.
The most likely score in Croatia vs Czech Republic is 1-0, a Croatia win, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 56%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Croatia vs Czech Republic, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Czech Republic vs Croatia | 1-2 |
| 9 Oct 2025 | WC Qualification Europe | Czech Republic vs Croatia | 0-0 |
| 9 Jun 2025 | WC Qualification Europe | Croatia vs Czech Republic | 5-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Croatia 2.0 - 1.0 Czech Republic in goals. It gives Croatia a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Czech Republic 17%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 56%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Croatia win | 11% |
| 2-0 | Croatia win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Croatia win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Croatia win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Croatia vs Czech Republic, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Croatia | Fouls committed | Czech Republic | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Sučić | 12 | L. Krejci | 10 |
| 2 | I. Matanovic | 10 | R. Hranac | 9 |
| 3 | A. Budimir | 9 | A. Hlozek | 7 |
| 4 | I. Perišić | 9 | L. Ambros | 7 |
| 5 | M. Kovacic | 7 | L. Cerv | 6 |
| # | Croatia | Shots | Czech Republic | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Matanovic | 19 | A. Hlozek | 10 |
| 2 | M. Kovacic | 13 | L. Krejci | 9 |
| 3 | A. Budimir | 11 | M. Sadílek | 8 |
| 4 | I. Perišić | 10 | L. Cerv | 6 |
| 5 | N. Vlašić | 8 | P. Sulc | 5 |
| # | Croatia | Shots on target | Czech Republic | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Perišić | 7 | A. Hlozek | 3 |
| 2 | M. Kovacic | 5 | M. Sadílek | 3 |
| 3 | A. Budimir | 5 | L. Cerv | 2 |
| 4 | P. Sučić | 5 | L. Krejci | 1 |
| 5 | I. Matanovic | 5 | P. Schick | 1 |
| # | Croatia | Goals | Czech Republic | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Perišić | 2 | L. Krejci | 1 |
| 2 | P. Sučić | 2 | M. Sadílek | 1 |
| 3 | L. Modrić | 2 | J. Slama | 1 |
| 4 | M. Baturina | 1 | A. Karabec | 1 |
| 5 | P. Musa | 1 | A. Hlozek | 1 |
| # | Croatia | Yellow cards | Czech Republic | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Perišić | 3 | L. Krejci | 2 |
| 2 | L. Modrić | 2 | M. Sadílek | 2 |
| 3 | P. Sučić | 2 | M. Vitík | 1 |
| 4 | I. Smolcic | 1 | S. Chaloupek | 1 |
| 5 | M. Kovacic | 1 | O. Lingr | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Croatia vs Czech Republic: Petar Sučić 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.20); Martin Baturina 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.36); Mateo Kovacic 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33); Luka Vuskovic 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 3.05 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 33 of 54 |
| Goals against | 3.2 | 53 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 36 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 37 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10 | 45 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.2 | 21 of 54 |
| Passes | 419.6 | 39 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 35 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.4 | 49 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2.4 | 49 of 54 |
| Shots | 6.8 | 51 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 1.2 | 52 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 42 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12.6 | 42 of 54 |
| Passes | 352.8 | 48 of 54 |
| Corners | 1.6 | 53 of 54 |