Updated 13 November 2026.
Croatia host Czech Republic in the UEFA Nations League League A on Sunday 15 November, kick-off 19:45 UK. Croatia sit 3rd in their group with 3 points from five games and a goal difference of minus 11, while the Czechs are 4th with no points from five. Croatia's only win came in the opening round, 2-1 away to Czech Republic on 26 September.
Croatia have lost four of their last five, including a 0-7 home defeat to England and a 4-1 loss away to Spain. The latest was a 2-1 defeat at England on 12 November, and before that a 1-2 home loss to Spain. They have conceded 16 goals in five games, 3.2 a game, which is the 3rd most in the competition, and all five of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in four of the five. Across their last ten matches in all competitions they have won four and lost six.
Czech Republic have lost all five and sit 4th in their group, with a goal difference of minus 10. They have scored two goals in five games, 0.4 a game, the 7th fewest in the competition, and manage just 1.2 shots on target a game, the 3rd fewest. Their 0-2 home loss to Spain on 12 November followed a 3-0 defeat at England, and they have not scored in three of their last four. They have also conceded 12 goals, 2.4 a game, the 6th most in the competition, and across their last ten matches in all competitions they have won two, drawn one and lost seven.
Croatia possible starting lineup:
Livakovic; Stanisic, Vuskovic, Gvardiol; Smolcic, Misic, Kovacic, Vlašić; Sucic, Baturina; Matanovic
Czech Republic possible starting lineup:
Kovar; Jurásek, Vlcek, Zima, Coufal; Král, Cerv; Provod, Hlozek, Ambros; Naderi
Luka Vuskovic has committed a foul in five straight games, averaging 1.2 a game, and he is 1.40 at bet365 to make it six.
Adam Hlozek has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 1.4 a game, and he is 1.11 at bet365 to keep that going.
Igor Matanovic has committed a foul in four straight games, averaging 1.5 a game, and is 1.29 at bet365 for another. He has also had a shot on target in four of his last five and is 1.25 at Ladbrokes for one more.
Mateo Kovacic has had a shot in three straight games, averaging 1.7 a game, and is 1.33 at bet365 for another. Josip Misic has made a tackle in three straight games, averaging 1.7 a game, and is 1.25.
For Czech Republic, Lukas Cerv has made a tackle in four straight games, averaging 1.3 a game, and is 1.14 at bet365. Lukas Ambros has made a tackle in four straight games and committed a foul in three straight, at 1.44 and 1.33 at bet365.
We back Croatia to win, and bet365 have them at 1.57. Ladbrokes have the draw at 4.33 and both teams to score at 1.75, while bet365 have Czech Republic at 5.75 and over 2.5 goals at 1.67.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Croatia win | 1.57 (bet365) | 63% |
| Draw | 4.33 (Ladbrokes) | 21% |
| Czech Republic win | 5.75 (bet365) | 16% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 55% |
We predict a 1-0 Croatia win, with 2-0 almost as likely and 1-1 and 2-1 next. We give Croatia a 41% chance of a clean sheet and project them at 2.00 goals to the Czechs' 0.90. A draw is 21%.
In the player markets, Matanovic is 1.25 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target, and Vuskovic is 1.40 at bet365 to commit a foul.
Croatia vs Czech Republic in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League A kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026, with Croatia at home. Croatia are 3rd in their group on 3 points from 5 games, and we make them 63% to win.
We predict a 1-0 win for Croatia in this 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League A game, with a 63% chance of a home win. A draw is 21% and a Czech Republic win 16%.
Croatia are favourites in this 2026/27 UEFA Nations League game, priced at 1.57 with bet365. Czech Republic are 5.75 at bet365 and the draw is 4.33 at Ladbrokes, and we give Croatia a 63% chance of winning.
We give both teams to score a 51% chance in this 2026/27 UEFA Nations League tie, and Ladbrokes offer 1.75. Both teams have scored in four of Croatia's five games, but Czech Republic have scored just 2 goals all campaign.
In Croatia vs Czech Republic in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, Luka Vuskovic has committed a foul in 5 straight games, averaging 1.2 a game. Igor Matanovic has committed a foul in 4 straight games, averaging 1.5 a game.
Croatia are 3rd in their 2026/27 UEFA Nations League group on 3 points from 5 games, while Czech Republic are 4th with 0 points. Croatia have 1 win and 4 defeats; the Czechs have lost all 5.
Predicted lineups for Croatia vs Czech Republic in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Sunday 15 November 2026: Croatia may start Livakovic; Stanisic, Vuskovic, Gvardiol; Smolcic, Misic, Kovacic, Vlašić; Sucic, Baturina; Matanovic. Czech Republic may start Kovar; Jurásek, Vlcek, Zima, Coufal; Král, Cerv; Provod, Hlozek, Ambros; Naderi.