Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Bayern win | 9.4% |
| 4-0 | Bayern win | 8.2% |
| 2-0 | Bayern win | 8.1% |
| 3-1 | Bayern win | 7.8% |
| 4-1 | Bayern win | 6.8% |
| 2-1 | Bayern win | 6.7% |
| 5-0 | Bayern win | 5.8% |
| 5-1 | Bayern win | 4.8% |
| 1-0 | Bayern win | 4.4% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 4.1% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63% |
| Bayern clean sheet | 44% |
| Koln clean sheet | 3% |
The most likely score in Bayern vs Koln is 3-0, a 9% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 4-0 at 8%. The Bundesliga game kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Bayern 3.49 - 0.83 Koln in goals for Bayern vs Koln, with over 2.5 goals 80% likely and both teams to score 55%.
Statz projects 22 players for Bayern vs Koln on Friday 20 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:30 UK time kick-off.
Bayern host Koln at Allianz Arena, Munich on 20 November 2026 at 19:30 in the Bundesliga. Bayern's last five results: D W D W W (3 wins and 2 draws). Koln's last five: W L D D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Bayern have won 5, Koln 0, with 1 draw.
Bayern vs Koln kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Allianz Arena, Munich. Allianz Arena holds 75,024 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:30.
Bayern vs Koln is being played at Allianz Arena in Munich on Friday 20 November 2026, the home ground of Bayern, which holds 75,024 people. Kick-off is at 19:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Bundesliga.
Bayern have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 7, with results reading D W W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win away to Mainz in the Bundesliga on 7 November.
Koln have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5, with results reading W L D D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat at home to Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 8 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Bayern have won 5, Koln have won 0 and 1 was drawn, with Bayern scoring 14 goals to Koln's 4. The most recent was FC Bayern München 5-1 FC Köln on 16 May 2026 in the Bundesliga.
Harry Kane leads Bayern with 7 goals across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any Bayern player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bayern player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Said El Mala leads Koln with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Koln player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Koln player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Bayern vs Koln with 11 starters a side: Bayern line up 4-2-3-1 and Koln 4-4-2, ahead of the 19:30 UK time kick-off on Friday 20 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bayern the favourite with a 86% chance of winning, against 5% for Koln and 10% for the draw. Projected goals are Bayern 3.5 - 0.8 Koln.
The most likely score in Bayern vs Koln is 3-0, a Bayern win, at 9%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 80%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Bayern vs Koln, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs FC Köln | 5-1 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Bundesliga | FC Köln vs FC Bayern München | 1-3 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs FC Köln | 2-0 |
| 24 Nov 2023 | Bundesliga | FC Köln vs FC Bayern München | 0-1 |
| 27 May 2023 | Bundesliga | FC Köln vs FC Bayern München | 1-2 |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs FC Köln | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Bayern 3.5 - 0.8 Koln in goals. It gives Bayern a 86% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Koln 5%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 93% and over 2.5 goals 80%. The most likely scorelines are 3-0 (9%), 4-0 (8%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Bayern win | 9% |
| 4-0 | Bayern win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Bayern win | 8% |
| 3-1 | Bayern win | 8% |
| 4-1 | Bayern win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bayern vs Koln, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bayern | Fouls committed | Koln | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Laimer | 17 | T. Krauß | 12 |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | 14 | P. Okon-Engstler | 9 |
| 3 | A. Pavlovic | 11 | Í. Jóhannesson | 8 |
| 4 | L. Díaz | 9 | S. Mala | 8 |
| 5 | M. Kim | 8 | M. Bülter | 8 |
| # | Bayern | Shots | Koln | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Kane | 48 | S. Mala | 33 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 41 | M. Moore | 16 |
| 3 | I. Saibari | 22 | M. Bülter | 13 |
| 4 | L. Díaz | 21 | L. Maina | 10 |
| 5 | L. Karl | 13 | T. Dallinga | 9 |
| # | Bayern | Shots on target | Koln | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Olise | 19 | S. Mala | 9 |
| 2 | H. Kane | 14 | M. Bülter | 7 |
| 3 | L. Díaz | 12 | M. Moore | 5 |
| 4 | I. Saibari | 9 | Í. Jóhannesson | 4 |
| 5 | D. Upamecano | 7 | L. Maina | 4 |
| # | Bayern | Goals | Koln | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Kane | 7 | S. Mala | 4 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 6 | T. Dallinga | 2 |
| 3 | L. Díaz | 4 | M. Mala | 1 |
| 4 | D. Upamecano | 3 | Í. Jóhannesson | 1 |
| 5 | L. Karl | 2 | R. Ache | 1 |
| # | Bayern | Yellow cards | Koln | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Laimer | 4 | T. Krauß | 3 |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | 2 | J. Simpson-Pusey | 3 |
| 3 | J. Stanisic | 1 | J. Schmied | 2 |
| 4 | J. Tah | 1 | B. Sosa | 2 |
| 5 | A. Pavlovic | 1 | L. Maina | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bayern vs Koln: Joshua Kimmich 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Said El Mala 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.67). Combined odds 2.04 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots | 23.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 9.4 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 14 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 676 | 1 of 18 |
| Corners | 8.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 14 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 7 of 18 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 13 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 8 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16 | 10 of 18 |
| Passes | 452.7 | 10 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 7 of 18 |