Salzburg host AC Milan at Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim on 15 October 2026 at 17:45 in the Europa League. Salzburg's last five results: W D W W D (3 wins and 2 draws). AC Milan's last five: D D L W D (1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss).
Salzburg vs AC Milan kicks off at 17:45 UK time on Thursday 15 October 2026 in the Europa League, at Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim.
Salzburg vs AC Milan is being played at Red Bull Arena in Wals-Siezenheim, the home ground of Salzburg.
Salzburg's last five results read W D W W D (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
AC Milan's last five results read D D L W D (oldest to newest): 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss.
Haris Tabakovic leads Salzburg with 8 goals across their last 10 games.
Strahinja Pavlović leads AC Milan with 5 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Horatiu Fesnic is the referee for Salzburg vs AC Milan, averaging 25.0 fouls and 5.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Predicted lineups for Salzburg vs AC Milan appear on the Lineups tab once the team news is in. Until then the tab shows the XI each side last started with: Salzburg's XI from their 1-0 win at Levski Sofia on Thu 17 Sep 2026, and AC Milan's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Benfica at home on Wed 16 Sep 2026.
Statz's projection model makes AC Milan the favourite with a 53% chance of winning, against 24% for Salzburg and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Salzburg 1.2 - 1.9 AC Milan.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Salzburg 1.2 - 1.9 AC Milan in goals. It gives Salzburg a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AC Milan 53%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%), 0-2 (8%), 2-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | AC Milan win | 10% |
| 0-1 | AC Milan win | 8% |
| 0-2 | AC Milan win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Salzburg win | 6% |
Predicted lineups for Salzburg vs AC Milan are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Salzburg's XI from their 1-0 win at Levski Sofia on Thu 17 Sep 2026, and AC Milan's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Benfica at home on Wed 16 Sep 2026.
| # | Salzburg | Fouls committed | AC Milan | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Barry | 12 | K. Winter | 14 |
| 2 | H. Tabakovic | 10 | S. Pavlović | 14 |
| 3 | E. Baidoo | 10 | G. Ramos | 11 |
| 4 | S. Kitano | 8 | A. Rabiot | 9 |
| 5 | B. Mazurek | 8 | A. Saelemaekers | 7 |
| # | Salzburg | Shots | AC Milan | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Tabakovic | 24 | G. Ramos | 21 |
| 2 | Y. Vertessen | 20 | A. Rabiot | 16 |
| 3 | K. Konaté | 20 | S. Pavlović | 11 |
| 4 | N. Veratschnig | 16 | C. Pulisic | 10 |
| 5 | S. Kitano | 15 | A. Cissè | 9 |
| # | Salzburg | Shots on target | AC Milan | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Tabakovic | 12 | G. Ramos | 6 |
| 2 | K. Konaté | 9 | C. Pulisic | 5 |
| 3 | Y. Vertessen | 8 | S. Pavlović | 4 |
| 4 | E. Baidoo | 8 | A. Rabiot | 4 |
| 5 | N. Veratschnig | 6 | S. Chukwueze | 4 |
| # | Salzburg | Goals | AC Milan | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Tabakovic | 8 | A. Rabiot | 3 |
| 2 | K. Konaté | 5 | D. Moreira | 3 |
| 3 | N. Veratschnig | 2 | A. Cissè | 2 |
| 4 | A. Camara | 1 | S. Pavlović | 1 |
| 5 | K. Boma | 1 | A. Saelemaekers | 1 |
| # | Salzburg | Yellow cards | AC Milan | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Barry | 3 | S. Pavlović | 5 |
| 2 | S. Kitano | 2 | P. Estupiñán | 3 |
| 3 | N. Veratschnig | 2 | K. Winter | 2 |
| 4 | T. Drexler | 1 | A. Rabiot | 1 |
| 5 | D. Schmid | 1 | A. Saelemaekers | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Salzburg vs AC Milan: Strahinja Pavlović 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.50); Koni De Winter 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.40); Edmund Baidoo 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.53); Bartosz Mazurek 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.13). Combined odds 4.28 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.6 | 2 of 12 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 1 of 12 |
| Shots | 19.4 | 2 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 7.5 | 1 of 12 |
| Fouls | 6.5 | 12 of 12 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 8 of 12 |
| Passes | 595.3 | 1 of 12 |
| Corners | 7.4 | 3 of 12 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.5 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10 | 14 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 581.3 | 3 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.2 | 19 of 20 |