Updated 6 November 2026.
Mainz host Bayern at Mewa Arena, Mainz on 7 November 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. Mainz's last five results: W L W L L (2 wins and 3 losses). Bayern's last five: W D W D W (3 wins and 2 draws). In their last 6 meetings, Mainz have won 1, Bayern 4, with 1 draw.
Mainz vs Bayern kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Mewa Arena, Mainz. Mewa Arena holds 34,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 14:30.
Mainz vs Bayern is being played at Mewa Arena in Mainz on Saturday 7 November 2026, the home ground of Mainz, which holds 34,000 people. Kick-off is at 14:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Bundesliga.
Mainz have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 14, with results reading W L W L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-4 defeat away to Elversberg in the Bundesliga on 30 October.
Bayern have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 20 and conceding 6, with results reading W D W W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-2 draw at home to Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 31 October.
Across the last 6 meetings Mainz have won 1, Bayern have won 4 and 1 was drawn, with Mainz scoring 9 goals to Bayern's 21. The most recent was FSV Mainz 05 3-4 FC Bayern München on 25 April 2026 in the Bundesliga.
Phillip Tietz leads Mainz with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Mainz player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Mainz player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Michael Olise leads Bayern with 7 goals across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any Bayern player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bayern player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Robert Schröder is the referee for Mainz vs Bayern, averaging 21.3 fouls and 3.7 yellow cards per game across 3 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Mainz vs Bayern with 11 starters a side: Mainz line up 3-5-2 and Bayern 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 14:30 UK time kick-off on Saturday 7 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bayern the favourite with a 71% chance of winning, against 14% for Mainz and 15% for the draw. Projected goals are Mainz 1.4 - 3.1 Bayern.
The most likely score in Mainz vs Bayern is 1-3, a Bayern win, at 8%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 72% likely and over 2.5 goals 82%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Mainz vs Bayern, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München | 3-4 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 | 2-2 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 | 3-0 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München | 2-1 |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 | 8-1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München | 1-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Mainz 1.4 - 3.1 Bayern in goals. It gives Mainz a 14% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bayern 71%. Both teams to score is 72% likely, over 1.5 goals 94% and over 2.5 goals 82%. The most likely scorelines are 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (6%), 0-3 (6%), 0-2 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Bayern win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Bayern win | 8% |
| 1-4 | Bayern win | 6% |
| 0-3 | Bayern win | 6% |
| 0-2 | Bayern win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Mainz vs Bayern, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Mainz | Fouls committed | Bayern | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Tietz | 20 | K. Laimer | 14 |
| 2 | K. Potulski | 19 | D. Upamecano | 12 |
| 3 | A. Caci | 15 | A. Pavlovic | 11 |
| 4 | S. Posch | 14 | L. DÃaz | 9 |
| 5 | P. Mwene | 9 | M. Kim | 8 |
| # | Mainz | Shots | Bayern | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Tietz | 32 | H. Kane | 45 |
| 2 | S. Becker | 25 | M. Olise | 39 |
| 3 | N. Amiri | 16 | L. DÃaz | 22 |
| 4 | K. Potulski | 13 | I. Saibari | 22 |
| 5 | K. Sano | 9 | J. Musiala | 10 |
| # | Mainz | Shots on target | Bayern | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Becker | 13 | M. Olise | 20 |
| 2 | P. Tietz | 13 | H. Kane | 14 |
| 3 | K. Potulski | 4 | L. DÃaz | 12 |
| 4 | N. Amiri | 4 | I. Saibari | 9 |
| 5 | A. Caci | 4 | D. Upamecano | 6 |
| # | Mainz | Goals | Bayern | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Tietz | 6 | M. Olise | 7 |
| 2 | S. Becker | 3 | H. Kane | 7 |
| 3 | A. Caci | 3 | L. DÃaz | 4 |
| 4 | B. Hollerbach | 2 | D. Upamecano | 3 |
| 5 | N. Amiri | 1 | A. Pavlovic | 2 |
| # | Mainz | Yellow cards | Bayern | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Mwene | 5 | K. Laimer | 3 |
| 2 | S. Becker | 3 | D. Upamecano | 2 |
| 3 | J. Lee | 2 | J. Stanisic | 1 |
| 4 | A. Caci | 2 | J. Tah | 1 |
| 5 | S. Posch | 2 | A. Pavlovic | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Mainz vs Bayern: Phillip Tietz 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.67); Joshua Kimmich 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.44); Dayot Upamecano 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.73); Konrad Laimer 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.18). Combined odds 5.11 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.4 | 3 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.1 | 14 of 18 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 7 of 18 |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 3 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16 | 10 of 18 |
| Passes | 445.6 | 11 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.9 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots | 23.3 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 9.5 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 17 of 18 |
| Passes | 670.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Corners | 8.6 | 1 of 18 |