Atlético host Real Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid on 20 September 2026 at 15:15 in La Liga. Atlético's last five results: W L L W W (3 wins and 2 losses). Real Madrid's last five: W L W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Atlético have won 2, Real Madrid 2, with 2 draws.
Atlético vs Real Madrid kicks off at 15:15 UK time on Sunday 20 September 2026 in La Liga, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid.
Atlético vs Real Madrid is being played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid, the home ground of Atlético.
Atlético's last five results read W L L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Real Madrid's last five results read W L W W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Atlético have won 2, Real Madrid have won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Real Madrid 3-2 Atlético Madrid on 22 March 2026 in the La Liga.
Álex Baena leads Atlético with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Kylian Mbappé leads Real Madrid with 8 goals across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Atlético vs Real Madrid appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Real Madrid the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for Atlético and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Atlético 1.5 - 1.7 Real Madrid.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 64% likely and over 2.5 goals 61%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid | 3-2 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid | 5-2 |
| 12 Mar 2025 | Champions League | Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1-0 |
| 4 Mar 2025 | Champions League | Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid | 2-1 |
| 8 Feb 2025 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid | 1-1 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Atlético 1.5 - 1.7 Real Madrid in goals. It gives Atlético a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 43%. Both teams to score is 64% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 61%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 0-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Real Madrid win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Atlético win | 8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 0-1 | Real Madrid win | 6% |
| # | Atlético | Fouls committed | Real Madrid | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pubill | 12 | V. Junior | 10 |
| 2 | A. Lookman | 11 | J. Bellingham | 9 |
| 3 | Á. Baena | 10 | E. Camavinga | 8 |
| 4 | M. Llorente | 10 | K. Mbappé | 7 |
| 5 | R. Normand | 7 | I. Konaté | 7 |
| # | Atlético | Shots | Real Madrid | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Baena | 20 | K. Mbappé | 54 |
| 2 | K. Lee | 18 | V. Junior | 25 |
| 3 | A. Lookman | 17 | J. Bellingham | 19 |
| 4 | G. Simeone | 10 | A. Güler | 10 |
| 5 | A. Sørloth | 9 | A. Tchouaméni | 7 |
| # | Atlético | Shots on target | Real Madrid | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Baena | 7 | K. Mbappé | 24 |
| 2 | A. Lookman | 5 | J. Bellingham | 10 |
| 3 | K. Lee | 5 | V. Junior | 8 |
| 4 | J. David | 5 | B. Díaz | 3 |
| 5 | A. Sørloth | 4 | C. Espí | 3 |
| # | Atlético | Goals | Real Madrid | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Baena | 4 | K. Mbappé | 8 |
| 2 | A. Lookman | 3 | J. Bellingham | 5 |
| 3 | M. Pubill | 2 | V. Junior | 2 |
| 4 | K. Lee | 2 | C. Espí | 2 |
| 5 | J. David | 2 | B. Díaz | 1 |
| # | Atlético | Yellow cards | Real Madrid | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Baena | 2 | E. Camavinga | 3 |
| 2 | M. Llorente | 2 | I. Konaté | 3 |
| 3 | M. Pubill | 2 | J. Bellingham | 2 |
| 4 | R. Normand | 2 | V. Junior | 2 |
| 5 | Koke | 1 | T. Alexander-Arnold | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Atlético vs Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.14); Álex Baena 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.62); Ademola Lookman 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Ibrahima Konaté 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 2.89 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 5 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 17.3 | 8 of 20 |
| Passes | 553.7 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 7 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.8 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots | 20.7 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 8.3 | 2 of 20 |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14 | 18 of 20 |
| Passes | 548.5 | 5 of 20 |
| Corners | 7.8 | 2 of 20 |