Paderborn host Hoffenheim at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn on 20 September 2026 at 18:30 in the Bundesliga. Paderborn's last five results: D L L (1 draw and 2 losses). Hoffenheim's last five: L L L W L (1 win and 4 losses).
Paderborn vs Hoffenheim kicks off at 18:30 UK time on Sunday 20 September 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn.
Paderborn vs Hoffenheim is being played at Home Deluxe Arena in Paderborn, the home ground of Paderborn.
Paderborn's last five results read D L L (oldest to newest): 1 draw and 2 losses.
Hoffenheim's last five results read L L L W L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Steffen Tigges leads Paderborn with 5 shots across their last 10 games.
Andrej Kramaric leads Hoffenheim with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Daniel Schlager is the referee for Paderborn vs Hoffenheim, averaging 13.0 fouls and 2.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Paderborn and Hoffenheim are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Hoffenheim the favourite with a 55% chance of winning, against 21% for Paderborn and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Paderborn 1.1 - 1.9 Hoffenheim.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Paderborn 1.1 - 1.9 Hoffenheim in goals. It gives Paderborn a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hoffenheim 55%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%), 1-3 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Hoffenheim win | 10% |
| 0-2 | Hoffenheim win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Hoffenheim win | 9% |
| 1-3 | Hoffenheim win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Paderborn vs Hoffenheim, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Paderborn | Fouls committed | Hoffenheim | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pieringer | 8 | T. Lemperle | 20 |
| 2 | L. Curda | 5 | O. Kabak | 18 |
| 3 | S. Castaneda | 3 | W. Burger | 16 |
| 4 | J. Horst | 3 | A. Hajdari | 14 |
| 5 | T. Scheller | 2 | V. Coufal | 9 |
| # | Paderborn | Shots | Hoffenheim | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Ulrich | 5 | T. Lemperle | 21 |
| 2 | S. Tigges | 5 | F. Asllani | 17 |
| 3 | L. Curda | 4 | O. Kabak | 15 |
| 4 | S. Marino | 4 | A. Kramaric | 14 |
| 5 | M. Pieringer | 4 | A. Hlozek | 13 |
| # | Paderborn | Shots on target | Hoffenheim | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Castaneda | 1 | T. Lemperle | 8 |
| 2 | R. Philippe | 1 | A. Kramaric | 8 |
| 3 | M. Pieringer | 1 | F. Asllani | 7 |
| 4 | O. Kabak | 5 | ||
| 5 | A. Hlozek | 4 |
| # | Paderborn | Goals | Hoffenheim | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Kramaric | 4 | ||
| 2 | F. Asllani | 2 | ||
| 3 | T. Lemperle | 2 | ||
| 4 | A. Hlozek | 2 | ||
| 5 | R. Hranac | 1 |
| # | Paderborn | Yellow cards | Hoffenheim | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Ulrich | 1 | O. Kabak | 5 |
| 2 | L. Curda | 1 | W. Burger | 5 |
| 3 | J. Horst | 1 | A. Hajdari | 3 |
| 4 | T. Scheller | 1 | O. Baumann | 2 |
| 5 | S. Castaneda | 1 | A. Prass | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Paderborn vs Hoffenheim: Laurin Ulrich 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Tim Lemperle 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.20); Adam Hlozek 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.62); Albian Hajdari 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 2.96 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0 | 17 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 7 of 18 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 1 | 18 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10 | 11 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15 | 10 of 18 |
| Passes | 486.7 | 4 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 16 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 10 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 13 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.7 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 7 of 18 |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 3 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15.3 | 9 of 18 |
| Passes | 456.7 | 8 of 18 |
| Corners | 7.3 | 3 of 18 |