Updated 6 November 2026.
Valencia host Real Madrid at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia on 7 November 2026 at 20:00 in La Liga. Valencia's last five results: L D D L W (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Real Madrid's last five: W W W W W (5 wins). In their last 6 meetings, Valencia have won 1, Real Madrid 4, with 1 draw.
Valencia vs Real Madrid kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026 in La Liga, at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia. Estadio de Mestalla holds 55,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 20:00.
Valencia vs Real Madrid is being played at Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia on Saturday 7 November 2026, the home ground of Valencia, which holds 55,000 people. Kick-off is at 20:00 UK time, and the match is part of La Liga.
Valencia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7, with results reading L D D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-0 win away to Elche in the La Liga on 1 November.
Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4, with results reading L W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-0 win away to Racing in the La Liga on 1 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Valencia have won 1, Real Madrid have won 4 and 1 was drawn, with Valencia scoring 6 goals to Real Madrid's 16. The most recent was Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid on 8 February 2026 in the La Liga.
Pablo Maffeo leads Valencia with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Valencia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Valencia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Kylian Mbappé leads Real Madrid with 12 goals across their last 10 games, 1.2 a game, the most of any Real Madrid player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Real Madrid player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Valencia vs Real Madrid with 11 starters a side: Valencia line up 4-3-3 and Real Madrid 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 20:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 7 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Real Madrid the favourite with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Valencia and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Valencia 1.0 - 2.1 Real Madrid.
The most likely score in Valencia vs Real Madrid is 0-2, a Real Madrid win, at 10%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 59%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Valencia vs Real Madrid, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | La Liga | Valencia vs Real Madrid | 0-2 |
| 1 Nov 2025 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Valencia | 4-0 |
| 5 Apr 2025 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Valencia | 1-2 |
| 3 Jan 2025 | La Liga | Valencia vs Real Madrid | 1-2 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | La Liga | Valencia vs Real Madrid | 2-2 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Valencia | 5-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Valencia 1.0 - 2.1 Real Madrid in goals. It gives Valencia a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Madrid 63%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 59%. The most likely scorelines are 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%), 0-3 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Real Madrid win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Real Madrid win | 10% |
| 0-1 | Real Madrid win | 9% |
| 0-3 | Real Madrid win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Valencia vs Real Madrid, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Valencia | Fouls committed | Real Madrid | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. RodrÃguez | 13 | I. Konaté | 11 |
| 2 | J. Guerra | 12 | M. Cucurella | 11 |
| 3 | Pepelu | 10 | Y. Diomande | 10 |
| 4 | P. Maffeo | 10 | K. Mbappé | 9 |
| 5 | C. Tárrega | 8 | J. Bellingham | 8 |
| # | Valencia | Shots | Real Madrid | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Guerra | 16 | K. Mbappé | 48 |
| 2 | A. Danjuma | 15 | A. Güler | 23 |
| 3 | H. Duro | 10 | V. Junior | 22 |
| 4 | D. Otorbi | 8 | J. Bellingham | 21 |
| 5 | C. Tárrega | 7 | Y. Diomande | 13 |
| # | Valencia | Shots on target | Real Madrid | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Sadiq | 6 | K. Mbappé | 27 |
| 2 | A. Danjuma | 6 | A. Güler | 10 |
| 3 | J. Guerra | 3 | J. Bellingham | 8 |
| 4 | F. Ugrinic | 2 | V. Junior | 7 |
| 5 | D. Otorbi | 2 | Y. Diomande | 4 |
| # | Valencia | Goals | Real Madrid | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Sadiq | 2 | K. Mbappé | 12 |
| 2 | Pepelu | 1 | J. Bellingham | 3 |
| 3 | D. Raba | 1 | Y. Diomande | 3 |
| 4 | D. Otorbi | 1 | A. Güler | 2 |
| 5 | A. Cueva | 1 | A. Rüdiger | 1 |
| # | Valencia | Yellow cards | Real Madrid | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. RodrÃguez | 3 | I. Konaté | 4 |
| 2 | D. Raba | 3 | K. Mbappé | 2 |
| 3 | P. Maffeo | 3 | A. Tchouaméni | 2 |
| 4 | J. Guerra | 2 | M. Cucurella | 2 |
| 5 | Pepelu | 2 | D. Huijsen | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Valencia vs Real Madrid: Guido RodrÃguez 2+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.33); Aaron Ndive Mayol de la Cueva 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.18); Kylian Mbappé 1+ goals (100% hit rate at 1.40); Arda Güler 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.53). Combined odds 3.36 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 18 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 2.9 | 19 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.5 | 10 of 20 |
| Passes | 401.6 | 14 of 20 |
| Corners | 4 | 14 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.3 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 7 | 2 of 20 |
| Fouls | 8.7 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.5 | 9 of 20 |
| Passes | 515.1 | 5 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 4 of 20 |