Updated 5 November 2026.
Valencia host Real Madrid at the Estadio de Mestalla on Saturday 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UK. Valencia have scored 8 goals in 11 games, while Real Madrid are scoring 2.55 a game.
Valencia have won two of their 11 La Liga games and sit 19th. Real Madrid arrive with nine wins from 11, three goals at Racing last weekend and a Champions League win at AEK Athens in midweek. We make Madrid 63% to win.
Valencia sit 19th of 20 with 9 points, 8 goals scored and 17 conceded. Their attack ranks as the 3rd fewest goals for in the division at 0.73 a game, and they manage the 2nd fewest shots on target at 2.91 a game. They have kept a clean sheet in 36% of games, the 5th highest rate in La Liga, although they concede 1.55 a game, the 10th most.
They won 1-0 at Elche on 1 November, after having lost 1-2 to Villarreal and drawn 0-0 with Athletic Club in the two games before, part of a run of four without a win.
Real Madrid are 3rd on 27 points with 28 goals scored and 10 conceded, and they have won nine of their last ten in all competitions. Their last five games were all wins: they have beaten Sevilla 4-1, RB Leipzig 4-1, Barcelona 2-1 away, Racing 3-0 away and AEK Athens 3-2 away.
Madrid average 7 shots on target a game, the 2nd most in La Liga, and 82% of their league games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd highest rate. They concede 0.91 a game, the 2nd fewest. Madrid are 18 points and 16 places above Valencia in the La Liga table.
Valencia possible starting lineup:
Dimitrievski; Arnau MartÃnez, Tárrega, Guido RodrÃguez, Gayà ; Pepelu, Guerra, Maffeo; Rioja, Mayol de la Cueva, Sadiq
Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Valverde, Huijsen, Konaté, Cucurella; Tchouaméni, Bellingham; Bernardo Silva, Güler, Diomande; Mbappé
Arda Güler has had a shot in ten straight La Liga games, averaging 2.3 a game over the run. He is 1.11 at bet365 for another.
Kylian Mbappé has had three or more shots in four straight games, averaging 4.3, and a shot on target in four straight. He's 1.07 at bet365 for another shot on target and 1.50 at bet365 to score. He has scored in each of his last five games.
Guido RodrÃguez has made two or more tackles in seven straight games for Valencia, averaging 3.6, and is 1.33 at bet365 to do it again.
Marc Cucurella has made two or more tackles in six straight games, averaging 3.5, and is 1.40 at bet365 to do it again. Yan Diomande has had a shot in seven in a row and is 1.13 at bet365 for another.
We back Real Madrid, who are 1.30 at Coral. Valencia are 10.00 at bet365 and the draw is 6.00 at Ladbrokes. For goals, both teams to score is 1.80 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.44.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia win | 10.00 (bet365) | 15% |
| Draw | 6.00 (Ladbrokes) | 22% |
| Real Madrid win | 1.30 (Coral) | 63% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 58% |
We predict Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid, the likeliest single score, though only just ahead of 1-1 and 1-2. Madrid have a 39% chance of a clean sheet and Valencia 12%.
We project Madrid at 2.09 goals and 5.80 shots on target, against 0.94 and 3.26 for Valencia. In the player markets, César Tárrega is 3.00 for a shot, and Dean Huijsen is 1.50 to commit a foul and 3.40 to commit two.
A builder from the player markets: RodrÃguez to make two tackles at 1.33, Mbappé to score at 1.50 and Güler to have a shot on target at 1.53, all at bet365.
Valencia vs Real Madrid in La Liga 2026/27 kicks off at 20:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia are 19th with 9 points from 11 games and Real Madrid 3rd with 27, and we make Madrid 63% to win.
We predict Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid in La Liga 2026/27, and we give Real Madrid a 63% chance of winning. A 1-1 draw is the next likeliest scoreline at 10%, and a draw in any form is 22%.
Real Madrid are the favourites to beat Valencia in La Liga 2026/27 at 1.30 with Coral, against 10.00 for Valencia and 6.00 for the draw. We make Madrid 63%, and they have won nine of their 11 league games.
We give both teams to score a 54% chance in Valencia vs Real Madrid in La Liga 2026/27, with bet365 offering 1.80. Valencia have scored 8 goals in 11 games, and Real Madrid concede 0.91 a game, the 2nd fewest.
Arda Güler has had a shot in ten straight La Liga games going into Valencia vs Real Madrid in 2026/27, averaging 2.3 a game, and is 1.11 at bet365 to extend the run. Kylian Mbappé has had 3+ shots in four straight games, averaging 4.3.
Valencia are 19th of 20 in La Liga 2026/27 with 9 points from 11 games, while Real Madrid are 3rd with 27 points from 11 ahead of their meeting on 7 November. Valencia have scored 8 and conceded 17, against 28 and 10 for Madrid.
Predicted lineups for Valencia vs Real Madrid in the 2026/27 La Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026: Valencia may start Dimitrievski; Arnau MartÃnez, Tárrega, Guido RodrÃguez, Gayà ; Pepelu, Guerra, Maffeo; Rioja, Mayol de la Cueva, Sadiq. Real Madrid may start Courtois; Valverde, Huijsen, Konaté, Cucurella; Tchouaméni, Bellingham; Bernardo Silva, Güler, Diomande; Mbappé.