S'oton host Bolton at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. S'oton's last five results: W W L W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Bolton's last five: L W W L W (3 wins and 2 losses).
S'oton vs Bolton kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Championship, at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
S'oton vs Bolton is being played at St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, the home ground of S'oton.
S'oton's last five results read W W L W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Bolton's last five results read L W W L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Cyle Larin leads S'oton with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
S. Dalby leads Bolton with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Matt Donohue is the referee for S'oton vs Bolton, averaging 19.2 fouls and 4.4 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for S'oton and Bolton are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes S'oton the favourite with a 67% chance of winning, against 14% for Bolton and 18% for the draw. Projected goals are S'oton 2.5 - 1.1 Bolton.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1, a S'oton win, at 9%. Both teams to score is 63% likely and over 2.5 goals 71%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects S'oton 2.5 - 1.1 Bolton in goals. It gives S'oton a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bolton 14%. Both teams to score is 63% likely, over 1.5 goals 89% and over 2.5 goals 71%. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | S'oton win | 9% |
| 2-0 | S'oton win | 8% |
| 3-1 | S'oton win | 8% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 8% |
| 3-0 | S'oton win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for S'oton vs Bolton, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | S'oton | Fouls committed | Bolton | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Larin | 17 | J. Sheehan | 13 |
| 2 | F. Downes | 11 | G. Larrazabal | 11 |
| 3 | K. Matsuki | 10 | S. Dalby | 10 |
| 4 | R. Manning | 9 | E. Erhahon | 9 |
| 5 | J. Bree | 5 | R. Rodrigues | 9 |
| # | S'oton | Shots | Bolton | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Larin | 35 | J. Sheehan | 20 |
| 2 | F. Azaz | 22 | S. Dalby | 17 |
| 3 | L. Scienza | 14 | T. Gale | 13 |
| 4 | K. Matsuki | 13 | K. Dong | 10 |
| 5 | J. Ward-Prowse | 13 | S. Iling-Junior | 10 |
| # | S'oton | Shots on target | Bolton | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Larin | 13 | J. Sheehan | 7 |
| 2 | L. Scienza | 6 | S. Dalby | 7 |
| 3 | K. Matsuki | 6 | T. Gale | 5 |
| 4 | F. Azaz | 5 | S. Iling-Junior | 5 |
| 5 | J. Ward-Prowse | 5 | R. Rodrigues | 4 |
| # | S'oton | Goals | Bolton | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Larin | 7 | S. Dalby | 4 |
| 2 | F. Azaz | 3 | T. Gale | 3 |
| 3 | K. Matsuki | 2 | A. Ito | 2 |
| 4 | L. Scienza | 2 | J. Sheehan | 1 |
| 5 | J. Bree | 1 | T. Bair | 1 |
| # | S'oton | Yellow cards | Bolton | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Manning | 4 | G. Larrazabal | 2 |
| 2 | C. Larin | 3 | T. Gale | 2 |
| 3 | F. Downes | 3 | E. Erhahon | 1 |
| 4 | N. Wood | 2 | M. Conway | 1 |
| 5 | J. Bree | 2 | B. Davies | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for S'oton vs Bolton: Ryan Manning 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.50); Ethan Erhahon 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.30); Keven Schlotterbeck 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.40); Samuel Iling-Junior 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 2.94 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 2 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1 | 4 of 24 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 7 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 11 of 24 |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 24 of 24 |
| Tackles | 11.5 | 24 of 24 |
| Passes | 495 | 6 of 24 |
| Corners | 5 | 14 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 12 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 19 of 24 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 12 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 4.9 | 7 of 24 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 17 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 6 of 24 |
| Passes | 412.1 | 13 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 9 of 24 |