Updated 31 October 2026.
Marseille host Toulouse at Stade Vélodrome, Marseille on 1 November 2026 at 19:45 in Ligue 1. Marseille's last five results: W L W L W (3 wins and 2 losses). Toulouse's last five: D W D W D (2 wins and 3 draws). In their last 6 meetings, Marseille have won 3, Toulouse 0, with 3 draws.
Marseille vs Toulouse kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 1 November 2026 in Ligue 1, at Stade Vélodrome, Marseille. Stade Vélodrome holds 67,395 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Marseille vs Toulouse is being played at Stade Vélodrome in Marseille on Sunday 1 November 2026, the home ground of Marseille, which holds 67,395 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of Ligue 1.
Marseille have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8, with results reading L L W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 4-3 win at home to Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 25 October.
Toulouse have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6, with results reading D W D W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw at home to Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 25 October.
Across the last 6 meetings Marseille have won 3, Toulouse have won 0 and 3 were drawn, with Marseille scoring 11 goals to Toulouse's 7. The most recent was Toulouse 0-1 Olympique Marseille on 7 March 2026 in the Ligue 1.
Amine Gouiri leads Marseille with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Marseille player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Marseille player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Casper Tengstedt leads Toulouse with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Toulouse player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Toulouse player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Hakim Ben El Hadj is the referee for Marseille vs Toulouse, averaging 26.5 fouls and 4.8 yellow cards per game across 4 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Marseille vs Toulouse with 11 starters a side: Marseille line up 4-2-3-1 and Toulouse 4-4-2, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Sunday 1 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Marseille the favourite with a 46% chance of winning, against 30% for Toulouse and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Marseille 1.8 - 1.4 Toulouse.
The most likely score in Marseille vs Toulouse is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 63% likely and over 2.5 goals 62%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Marseille vs Toulouse, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Olympique Marseille | 0-1 |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse | 2-2 |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse | 3-2 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Olympique Marseille | 1-3 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Olympique Marseille | 2-2 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse | 0-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Marseille 1.8 - 1.4 Toulouse in goals. It gives Marseille a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toulouse 30%. Both teams to score is 63% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 62%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%), 1-0 (7%), 2-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Marseille win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Toulouse win | 7% |
| 1-0 | Marseille win | 7% |
| 2-0 | Marseille win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Marseille vs Toulouse, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Marseille | Fouls committed | Toulouse | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Højbjerg | 13 | C. Jr. | 16 |
| 2 | H. Abdelli | 11 | M. McKenzie | 12 |
| 3 | T. Weah | 10 | R. Messali | 12 |
| 4 | T. Nnadi | 9 | C. Tapé | 11 |
| 5 | I. Paixão | 9 | I. Azizi | 11 |
| # | Marseille | Shots | Toulouse | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gouiri | 20 | C. Tengstedt | 22 |
| 2 | I. Paixão | 20 | T. Jørgensen | 15 |
| 3 | P. Højbjerg | 15 | J. Russell-Rowe | 13 |
| 4 | A. Gomes | 10 | S. Hidalgo | 9 |
| 5 | T. Weah | 9 | I. Azizi | 9 |
| # | Marseille | Shots on target | Toulouse | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gouiri | 10 | C. Tengstedt | 8 |
| 2 | I. Paixão | 8 | J. Russell-Rowe | 7 |
| 3 | P. Højbjerg | 6 | T. Jørgensen | 7 |
| 4 | A. Harit | 4 | S. Hidalgo | 5 |
| 5 | A. Gomes | 3 | C. Tapé | 2 |
| # | Marseille | Goals | Toulouse | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gouiri | 6 | C. Tengstedt | 5 |
| 2 | H. Abdelli | 3 | J. Russell-Rowe | 2 |
| 3 | P. Højbjerg | 2 | T. Jørgensen | 2 |
| 4 | I. Paixão | 2 | A. Dønnum | 1 |
| 5 | A. Harit | 2 | S. Oppong | 1 |
| # | Marseille | Yellow cards | Toulouse | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gomes | 2 | C. Jr. | 3 |
| 2 | T. Weah | 2 | N. Sigur | 2 |
| 3 | A. Gouiri | 1 | N. Schmidt | 2 |
| 4 | P. Højbjerg | 1 | M. McKenzie | 1 |
| 5 | B. Pavard | 1 | A. Vossah | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 2 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 11 of 18 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 8 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.9 | 8 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13.4 | 18 of 18 |
| Passes | 574.5 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 10 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 8 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 8 of 18 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 11 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 13 of 18 |
| Fouls | 16 | 1 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15.1 | 12 of 18 |
| Passes | 514.5 | 6 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 12 of 18 |