Statz FPL projections put a modelled points figure on every Premier League player for the upcoming gameweek. The model blends expected goals and assists, clean-sheet probability, saves, defensive contributions and bonus tendencies, then scores it all under Fantasy Premier League rules. Every row carries the player's live FPL price and ownership, so value per £1m and true differentials are one tap away.
Use the projections to settle your captain, compare transfer targets over their next fixtures, and find low-owned players with big projected hauls — the picks that move you up a mini league rather than tracking the template.
Each projection is modelled from team and player data for the fixture: expected goals and assists, clean-sheet probability, saves, defensive contributions and bonus tendencies, all scored under the official FPL points rules. The headline number is the points we expect if the player starts.
Projections are regenerated regularly between deadlines, so they reflect the latest fixtures, prices, team news and predicted lineups. The page always shows the next gameweek once its deadline is upcoming.
Value ranks players by projected points per £1m of their current FPL price. It is the quickest way to find budget enablers and mid-price picks that out-score their cost.
The Differentials quick view keeps only players owned by fewer than 5% of FPL managers, ranked by projected points — genuine punts that can move you up your mini-league rather than just tracking the template.
Projections assume the player starts. Rotation risk is not baked into the number — instead, use the In Lineup toggle to hide anyone left out of a predicted or confirmed XI, and check the lineup pill on each row.
Explore the rest of the Statz Fantasy Premier League section: