Viking xG 2026/2027

Viking xG Questions

Are Viking overperforming their xG this season?

Yes, Viking have taken 56 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 12.27 more than the 43.73 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Viking's xG per game this season?

Viking create 2.39 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 55.02 in all, and have scored 59 goals from those chances, 3.98 more than that xG would expect.

What is Viking's xGA per game this season?

Viking allow 1.43 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 32.85 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 10.85 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Viking this season?

Peter Christiansen has the most expected goals (xG) for Viking over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 11.57 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 14 goals; Zlatko Tripic is next with 6.29 xG.

Viking expected goals 2026/2027: 2026/2027

Games: 23
Expected goals (xG): 55.02
Goals scored: 59
Goals minus xG: +3.98
Expected goals against (xGA): 32.85
Goals conceded: 22
xGA minus goals conceded: +10.85
Expected points (xPts): 43.73
Points: 56
Points minus xPts: +12.27
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are Viking overperforming their expected goals?

Viking have taken 12.3 points more than their chances warranted over 23 games: +4.0 goals against their xG, and +10.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Viking results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	23	55.02	59	+3.98	32.85	22	+10.85	43.73	56	+12.27
Last 10	10	25.83	26	+0.17	17.19	9	+8.19	18.10	23	+4.90
Last 5	5	14.75	17	+2.25	6.89	4	+2.89	10.63	13	+2.37
Home	11	31.14	41	+9.86	15.11	12	+3.11	23.54	33	+9.46
Away	12	23.88	18	-5.88	17.74	10	+7.74	20.19	23	+2.81

Viking expected goals match by match, 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 Oct	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (H)	3-2	2.39	0.58	2.48	3	W
9 Oct	Eliteserien	Brann (A)	0-2	1.70	2.84	0.82	3	L
20 Sep	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (H)	3-0	3.39	1.64	2.25	3	W
13 Sep	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (H)	8-1	4.70	1.06	2.65	3	W
4 Sep	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (A)	1-1	2.57	0.77	2.43	1	W
30 Aug	Eliteserien	Aalesund (H)	2-1	2.56	1.17	2.19	3	W
14 Aug	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (A)	2-1	1.41	1.64	1.23	0	L
8 Aug	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (H)	2-1	2.85	2.65	1.50	3	W
1 Aug	Eliteserien	Start (A)	0-3	1.40	3.06	0.58	3	L
26 Jul	Eliteserien	Aalesund (A)	1-1	2.86	1.78	1.97	1	W
22 Jul	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (A)	1-2	1.17	1.43	1.19	3	L
18 Jul	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (H)	2-1	2.65	0.61	2.55	3	W
12 Jul	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (A)	1-0	0.98	1.71	0.88	0	L
24 May	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (A)	1-2	1.48	1.12	1.62	3	W
16 May	Eliteserien	Start (H)	6-3	2.18	1.48	1.81	3	W
10 May	Eliteserien	KFUM (A)	0-2	2.46	0.19	2.73	3	W
1 May	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (H)	3-0	2.61	1.18	2.21	3	W
25 Apr	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (A)	1-2	2.60	1.05	2.28	3	W
18 Apr	Eliteserien	Brann (H)	3-2	2.29	1.40	1.92	3	W
11 Apr	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (H)	5-0	2.80	0.89	2.44	3	W
6 Apr	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (A)	0-1	3.08	0.87	2.53	3	W
21 Mar	Eliteserien	Molde (H)	4-1	2.72	2.45	1.54	3	W
14 Mar	Eliteserien	HamKam (A)	2-1	2.17	1.28	1.93	0	W

Viking players: goals against expected goals, 2026/2027

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Simen Kvia-Egeskog	midfielder	23	1567	4.50	9	+4.50	0.26
Henrik Heggheim	defender	22	1681	3.23	6	+2.77	0.17
Peter Christiansen	attacker	22	1889	11.57	14	+2.43	0.55
Henrik Bjørdal	midfielder	5	335	0.73	2	+1.27	0.20
Kristoffer Haugen	defender	17	1351	2.13	3	+0.87	0.14
Henrik Falchener	defender	16	1292	1.18	2	+0.82	0.08
Gianni Stensness	defender	21	1845	3.29	4	+0.71	0.16
Niklas Fuglestad	attacker	19	756	2.72	3	+0.28	0.32
Edvin Austbø	attacker	11	665	1.74	2	+0.26	0.24
Kristoffer Askildsen	midfielder	21	1700	4.81	5	+0.19	0.25
Sondre Bjørshol	defender	12	395	1.01	1	-0.01	0.23
Zlatko Tripic	attacker	22	1763	6.29	6	-0.29	0.32
Herman Haugen	defender	18	524	0.68	0	-0.68	0.12
Anders Bærtelsen	defender	11	510	0.68	0	-0.68	0.12
Joe Bell	midfielder	17	1170	0.91	0	-0.91	0.07
Ola Visted	midfielder	12	256	1.06	0	-1.06	0.37
Tobias Moi	midfielder	16	962	1.11	0	-1.11	0.10
Erik Botheim	attacker	5	323	3.65	2	-1.65	1.02

Eliteserien 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Viking	23	55	59	32.8	22	43.7	56	+12.3
2	KFUM	22	27.2	27	41.5	36	22.5	28	+5.5
3	Fredrikstad	23	28.6	28	43.4	36	24.1	29	+4.9
4	Lillestrøm	23	37.7	32	38.7	31	31.4	36	+4.6
5	Bodø / Glimt	23	65.1	58	21.8	20	52.5	56	+3.5
6	Tromsø	22	37.9	41	31.5	30	35.5	39	+3.5
7	Rosenborg	23	42.7	43	35	31	37	37	0
8	HamKam	23	31.8	33	42.9	48	26	26	-0
9	Molde	23	48.5	52	32.4	35	40.4	40	-0.4
10	Aalesund	23	37.1	39	50.2	51	25.6	24	-1.6
11	Sandefjord	23	30.4	22	43.2	30	25.9	24	-1.9
12	Brann	23	43.5	40	41.4	37	33	29	-4
13	Sarpsborg 08	23	39	28	38.6	34	32.2	28	-4.2
14	Kristiansund	23	27.6	23	47	47	23.8	19	-4.8
15	Vålerenga	23	42.2	38	42	46	32.1	26	-6.1
16	Start	23	34.9	25	46.5	54	26.2	16	-10.2

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