Molde xG 2026

Molde xG Questions

Are Molde overperforming their xG this season?

No, Molde have taken 40 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, within 0.46 of the 40.46 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is Molde's xG per game this season?

Molde create 2.11 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 48.48 in all, and have scored 52 goals from those chances, 3.52 more than that xG would expect.

What is Molde's xGA per game this season?

Molde allow 1.41 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 32.39 in all, and have conceded 35 goals from those chances, 2.61 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Molde this season?

Emil Breivik has the most expected goals (xG) for Molde over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 6.29 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 9 goals; Jalal Abdullai is next with 5.56 xG.

Molde expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 23
Expected goals (xG): 48.48
Goals scored: 52
Goals minus xG: +3.52
Expected goals against (xGA): 32.39
Goals conceded: 35
xGA minus goals conceded: -2.61
Expected points (xPts): 40.46
Points: 40
Points minus xPts: -0.46
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Molde overperforming their expected goals?

Molde's results and their chances agree, within 0.5 points of xPts over 23 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Fredrikstad expected goals

Games: 23
Fredrikstad xG per game: 1.24
Fredrikstad xGA per game: 1.89
Points minus xPts: +4.90
Verdict: Running a little hot

Molde results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	23	48.48	52	+3.52	32.39	35	-2.61	40.46	40	-0.46
Last 10	10	26.36	31	+4.64	12.64	18	-5.36	20.84	20	-0.84
Last 5	5	13.70	16	+2.30	6.75	6	+0.75	10.69	10	-0.69
Home	12	24.02	30	+5.98	15.26	14	+1.26	21.43	25	+3.57
Away	11	24.46	22	-2.46	17.13	21	-3.87	19.03	15	-4.03

Molde expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Eliteserien	Start (H)	6-1	4.09	1.96	2.28	3	W
11 Oct	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (A)	2-2	2.87	1.76	1.99	1	W
19 Sep	Eliteserien	Aalesund (H)	1-2	1.96	1.30	1.80	0	W
13 Sep	Eliteserien	HamKam (A)	1-5	2.48	1.47	1.97	3	W
6 Sep	Eliteserien	KFUM (H)	2-0	2.30	0.26	2.65	3	W
30 Aug	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (A)	3-4	1.23	2.07	0.88	3	L
16 Aug	Eliteserien	Tromsø (H)	3-2	2.34	1.08	2.15	3	W
9 Aug	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (A)	2-1	3.98	0.80	2.71	0	W
2 Aug	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (H)	3-3	1.86	1.34	1.72	1	W
26 Jul	Eliteserien	KFUM (A)	2-4	3.25	0.60	2.69	3	W
18 Jul	Eliteserien	Brann (H)	1-2	1.24	0.78	1.71	0	W
11 Jul	Eliteserien	Aalesund (A)	2-2	2.13	0.69	2.30	1	W
30 May	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (H)	2-1	1.39	1.46	1.33	3	L
25 May	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (A)	2-1	1.71	1.40	1.59	0	W
16 May	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (H)	1-0	1.41	1.52	1.30	3	L
10 May	Eliteserien	Tromsø (A)	2-0	1.60	1.96	1.17	0	L
4 May	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (A)	0-1	0.57	2.72	0.29	3	L
26 Apr	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (H)	5-1	3.05	1.29	2.31	3	W
19 Apr	Eliteserien	Start (A)	1-1	2.19	0.94	2.17	1	W
12 Apr	Eliteserien	HamKam (H)	4-1	1.83	1.43	1.63	3	W
6 Apr	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (H)	0-1	1.05	1.61	0.99	0	L
21 Mar	Eliteserien	Viking (A)	4-1	2.45	2.72	1.27	0	L
14 Mar	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (H)	2-0	1.50	1.23	1.56	3	W

Molde players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Eirik Hestad	attacker	16	1159	4.73	8	+3.27	0.37
Emil Breivik	midfielder	23	2065	6.29	9	+2.71	0.27
Fredrik Gulbrandsen	attacker	11	591	2.07	4	+1.93	0.31
S. Kilen	attacker	5	214	2.08	4	+1.92	0.88
Kristian Lonebu	attacker	4	194	2.05	3	+0.95	0.95
Trent Kone Doherty	attacker	19	626	5.06	6	+0.94	0.73
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter	attacker	16	746	2.46	3	+0.54	0.30
Samukelo Kabini	defender	17	1336	0.97	1	+0.03	0.07
Vebjørn Hoff	midfielder	12	910	1.02	1	-0.02	0.10
Daniel Daga	midfielder	11	815	2.09	2	-0.09	0.23
Caleb Zady Sery	attacker	17	797	2.14	2	-0.14	0.24
Martin Linnes	defender	17	995	1.21	1	-0.21	0.11
Viktor Bender	midfielder	11	175	0.54	0	-0.54	0.28
Jacob Christensen	midfielder	10	485	0.88	0	-0.88	0.16
S. Hansen	defender	18	1556	1.08	0	-1.08	0.06
Sondre Granaas	midfielder	20	1412	4.14	3	-1.14	0.26
N. Ødegård	midfielder	7	336	1.40	0	-1.40	0.37
Jalal Abdullai	attacker	15	990	5.56	3	-2.56	0.51

Eliteserien 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Viking	23	55	59	32.8	22	43.7	56	+12.3
2	KFUM	22	27.2	27	41.5	36	22.5	28	+5.5
3	Fredrikstad	23	28.6	28	43.4	36	24.1	29	+4.9
4	Lillestrøm	23	37.7	32	38.7	31	31.4	36	+4.6
5	Bodø / Glimt	23	65.1	58	21.8	20	52.5	56	+3.5
6	Tromsø	22	37.9	41	31.5	30	35.5	39	+3.5
7	Rosenborg	23	42.7	43	35	31	37	37	0
8	HamKam	23	31.8	33	42.9	48	26	26	-0
9	Molde	23	48.5	52	32.4	35	40.4	40	-0.4
10	Aalesund	23	37.1	39	50.2	51	25.6	24	-1.6
11	Sandefjord	23	30.4	22	43.2	30	25.9	24	-1.9
12	Brann	23	43.5	40	41.4	37	33	29	-4
13	Sarpsborg 08	23	39	28	38.6	34	32.2	28	-4.2
14	Kristiansund	23	27.6	23	47	47	23.8	19	-4.8
15	Vålerenga	23	42.2	38	42	46	32.1	26	-6.1
16	Start	23	34.9	25	46.5	54	26.2	16	-10.2

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