SC Heerenveen xG 2026/2027

Heerenveen xG Questions

Are Heerenveen overperforming their xG?

Yes, Heerenveen have taken 32 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 4.11 more than the 27.89 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Heerenveen's xG per game?

Heerenveen create 1.77 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 35.49 in all, and have scored 33 goals from those chances, 2.49 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Heerenveen's xGA per game?

Heerenveen allow 1.76 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 35.27 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 10.27 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Heerenveen?

Dylan Vente has the most expected goals (xG) for Heerenveen over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 5.90 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Jacob Trenskow is next with 5.85 xG.

Heerenveen expected goals 2026/2027: last 20

Games: 20
Expected goals (xG): 35.49
Goals scored: 33
Goals minus xG: -2.49
Expected goals against (xGA): 35.27
Goals conceded: 25
xGA minus goals conceded: +10.27
Expected points (xPts): 27.89
Points: 32
Points minus xPts: +4.11
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Heerenveen overperforming their expected goals?

Heerenveen have taken 4.1 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: -2.5 goals against their xG, and +10.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: ADO Den Haag expected goals

Games: 9
ADO Den Haag xG per game: 0.95
ADO Den Haag xGA per game: 1.94
Points minus xPts: -2.11
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Heerenveen results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 20	20	35.49	33	-2.49	35.27	25	+10.27	27.89	32	+4.11
Last 10	10	16.04	15	-1.04	16.04	11	+5.04	13.86	13	-0.86
Last 5	5	8.73	10	+1.27	6.69	5	+1.69	8.28	7	-1.28
Home	10	20.73	18	-2.73	13.83	8	+5.83	17.27	20	+2.73
Away	10	14.76	15	+0.24	21.44	17	+4.44	10.62	12	+1.38

Heerenveen expected goals match by match, last 20

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
16 Oct	Eredivisie	Excelsior (H)	4-0	2.42	1.06	2.20	3	W
9 Oct	Eredivisie	PSV (A)	2-0	1.15	2.26	0.74	0	L
19 Sep	Eredivisie	Sparta (A)	0-4	1.86	0.78	2.11	3	W
13 Sep	Eredivisie	Telstar (H)	0-0	1.78	1.08	1.85	1	W
6 Sep	Eredivisie	AZ (H)	2-3	1.52	1.51	1.38	0	W
30 Aug	Eredivisie	Willem II (A)	2-2	1.55	1.65	1.32	1	L
22 Aug	Eredivisie	PEC Zwolle (H)	0-2	1.15	1.79	0.96	0	L
16 Aug	Eredivisie	Ajax (A)	2-2	1.61	2.32	0.99	1	L
9 Aug	Eredivisie	FC Twente (H)	1-0	0.59	1.82	0.55	3	L
17 May	Eredivisie	Ajax (H)	0-0	2.41	1.77	1.76	1	W
11 May	Eredivisie	NAC Breda (A)	2-0	1.24	2.18	0.83	0	L
3 May	Eredivisie	FC Volendam (A)	0-2	2.00	1.33	1.81	3	W
25 Apr	Eredivisie	Fortuna (H)	2-1	2.45	0.74	2.40	3	W
12 Apr	Eredivisie	AZ (A)	3-0	0.73	2.40	0.45	0	L
5 Apr	Eredivisie	Heracles Almelo (H)	4-1	4.40	1.39	2.55	3	W
22 Mar	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen (A)	2-2	1.66	2.12	1.12	1	L
14 Mar	Eredivisie	Telstar (H)	3-0	1.82	1.89	1.35	3	L
7 Mar	Eredivisie	Excelsior (A)	1-2	1.83	2.74	0.93	3	L
28 Feb	Eredivisie	Sparta (H)	2-1	2.19	0.78	2.27	3	W
21 Feb	Eredivisie	PSV (A)	3-1	1.13	3.66	0.32	0	L

Heerenveen players: goals against expected goals, last 20

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Jacob Trenskow	attacker	20	1731	5.85	8	+2.15	0.30
Nolhan Courtens	midfielder	12	584	0.88	2	+1.12	0.13
Luca Oyen	attacker	17	529	1.93	3	+1.07	0.33
Luuk Brouwers	midfielder	12	334	0.93	2	+1.07	0.25
Oliver Braude	defender	18	1578	1.11	2	+0.89	0.06
Ringo Meerveld	midfielder	20	1412	2.72	3	+0.28	0.17
Joris van Overeem	midfielder	10	865	1.11	1	-0.11	0.12
Marcus Linday	midfielder	16	1393	1.22	1	-0.22	0.08
Maxence Rivera	attacker	15	1048	4.51	4	-0.51	0.39
Vasilios Zagaritis	defender	20	1636	0.69	0	-0.69	0.04
M. Willemsen	defender	20	1751	0.78	0	-0.78	0.04
Lasse Nordås	attacker	11	610	5.27	3	-2.27	0.78
Dylan Vente	attacker	19	1249	5.90	2	-3.90	0.42

Eredivisie 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Fortuna Sittard	8	7.6	14	18.5	15	6.5	14	+7.5
2	Feyenoord	9	25.1	31	9	10	20.5	23	+2.5
3	FC Groningen	9	15.2	22	18.2	19	11.6	14	+2.4
4	AZ	9	21.7	20	9.9	10	18.1	20	+1.9
5	PSV	9	22.2	27	11.2	12	18.2	19	+0.8
6	SC Heerenveen	9	13.6	15	14.3	11	12.1	12	-0.1
7	Excelsior	9	13.1	16	16.1	18	11.3	11	-0.3
8	PEC Zwolle	9	10.6	10	20.5	22	7.5	7	-0.5
9	Ajax	9	24	27	11.3	12	19	18	-1
10	FC Twente	8	18.7	16	6.4	8	18	17	-1
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	13.5	13	15.1	14	10.1	9	-1.1
12	SC Cambuur	9	12.8	13	16.3	21	10.2	9	-1.2
13	FC Utrecht	8	11.2	14	15.4	25	9.5	8	-1.5
14	Go Ahead Eagles	9	17	20	16.7	21	12.9	11	-1.9
15	ADO Den Haag	9	8.5	11	17.5	20	8.1	6	-2.1
16	Telstar	9	12.5	10	20.4	18	8.5	6	-2.5
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	16.9	16	18.9	22	11.7	9	-2.7
18	Willem II	9	11.8	9	20.3	26	7.9	2	-5.9

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