No, SC Cambuur have taken 9 points over their last 9 Eredivisie games, within 1.25 of the 10.25 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
SC Cambuur create 1.42 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 9 Eredivisie games, 12.79 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 0.21 more than that xG would expect.
SC Cambuur allow 1.81 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 9 Eredivisie games, 16.29 in all, and have conceded 21 goals from those chances, 4.71 more than that xGA would expect.
Rafik el Arguioui has the most expected goals (xG) for SC Cambuur over their last 9 Eredivisie games, 3.52 xG in 9 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Ilyes Hamache is next with 2.32 xG.
SC Cambuur's results and their chances agree, within 1.3 points of xPts over 9 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 9 | 9 | 12.79 | 13 | +0.21 | 16.29 | 21 | -4.71 | 10.25 | 9 | -1.25 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.74 | 9 | +1.26 | 7.28 | 5 | +2.28 | 6.94 | 9 | +2.06 |
| Home | 5 | 7.96 | 8 | +0.04 | 9.19 | 15 | -5.81 | 6.16 | 4 | -2.16 |
| Away | 4 | 4.83 | 5 | +0.17 | 7.10 | 6 | +1.10 | 4.09 | 5 | +0.91 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Eredivisie | AZ (H) | 2-2 | 1.91 | 1.36 | 1.73 | 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (A) | 0-1 | 0.98 | 1.07 | 1.28 | 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag (A) | 1-1 | 0.67 | 1.82 | 0.61 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (H) | 3-0 | 3.03 | 0.70 | 2.60 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Eredivisie | Telstar (A) | 2-2 | 1.15 | 2.33 | 0.72 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Eredivisie | FC Twente (H) | 1-4 | 0.64 | 2.02 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (H) | 2-5 | 1.59 | 2.60 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | Fortuna (A) | 3-1 | 2.03 | 1.88 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 7 Aug | Eredivisie | Excelsior (H) | 0-4 | 0.79 | 2.51 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilyes Hamache | attacker | 9 | 650 | 2.32 | 4 | +1.68 | 0.32 |
| Nicolas Binder | attacker | 7 | 343 | 1.33 | 3 | +1.67 | 0.35 |
| F. Kvam | attacker | 7 | 345 | 0.26 | 1 | +0.74 | 0.07 |
| Rafik el Arguioui | midfielder | 9 | 804 | 3.52 | 4 | +0.48 | 0.39 |
| Iwan Henstra | attacker | 7 | 376 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.17 |
| Sami Bouhoudane | attacker | 9 | 406 | 1.07 | 0 | -1.07 | 0.24 |
| Ismaël Baouf | defender | 9 | 762 | 1.11 | 0 | -1.11 | 0.13 |
| Devid Eugene Bouah | midfielder | 7 | 397 | 1.16 | 0 | -1.16 | 0.26 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 7.6 | 14 | 18.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 14 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.1 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.2 | 12 | 18.2 | 19 | +0.8 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 | FC Twente | 8 | 18.7 | 16 | 6.4 | 8 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 13.5 | 13 | 15.1 | 14 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| 12 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 11.2 | 14 | 15.4 | 25 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.5 | 11 | 17.5 | 20 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.5 | 10 | 20.4 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 18.9 | 22 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 11.8 | 9 | 20.3 | 26 | 7.9 | 2 | -5.9 |