No, Sarpsborg 08 have taken 28 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 4.23 fewer than the 32.23 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Sarpsborg 08 create 1.69 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 38.98 in all, and have scored 28 goals from those chances, 10.98 fewer than that xG would expect.
Sarpsborg 08 allow 1.68 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 38.58 in all, and have conceded 34 goals from those chances, 4.58 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Daniel Karlsbakk has the most expected goals (xG) for Sarpsborg 08 over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 11.69 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Sondre Sörli is next with 4.64 xG.
Sarpsborg 08 have taken 4.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 23 games: -11.0 goals against their xG, and +4.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 23 | 38.98 | 28 | -10.98 | 38.58 | 34 | +4.58 | 32.23 | 28 | -4.23 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.92 | 14 | -3.92 | 18.24 | 18 | +0.24 | 13.24 | 10 | -3.24 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.59 | 8 | -0.59 | 8.65 | 11 | -2.35 | 6.68 | 5 | -1.68 |
| Home | 11 | 20.80 | 12 | -8.80 | 16.75 | 15 | +1.75 | 17.65 | 15 | -2.65 |
| Away | 12 | 18.18 | 16 | -2.18 | 21.83 | 19 | +2.83 | 14.58 | 13 | -1.58 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Eliteserien | Rosenborg (H) | 0-3 | 1.09 | 2.02 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Eliteserien | Aalesund (A) | 2-4 | 2.25 | 2.24 | 1.41 | 3 | W |
| 18 Sep | Eliteserien | KFUM (H) | 1-3 | 2.81 | 1.08 | 2.34 | 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Eliteserien | Fredrikstad (A) | 1-1 | 0.27 | 1.77 | 0.35 | 1 | L |
| 6 Sep | Eliteserien | Vålerenga (H) | 2-2 | 2.17 | 1.54 | 1.77 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Eliteserien | Tromsø (A) | 0-0 | 0.64 | 1.47 | 0.75 | 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Eliteserien | Sandefjord (H) | 1-2 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.09 | 0 | W |
| 8 Aug | Eliteserien | Viking (A) | 2-1 | 2.65 | 2.85 | 1.31 | 0 | L |
| 2 Aug | Eliteserien | Molde (A) | 3-3 | 1.34 | 1.86 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Eliteserien | HamKam (H) | 1-0 | 1.70 | 1.74 | 1.36 | 3 | L |
| 18 Jul | Eliteserien | Kristiansund (A) | 0-0 | 0.99 | 1.10 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 12 Jul | Eliteserien | Viking (H) | 1-0 | 1.71 | 0.98 | 1.88 | 3 | W |
| 29 May | Eliteserien | Brann (A) | 1-2 | 1.66 | 0.77 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 25 May | Eliteserien | Molde (H) | 2-1 | 1.40 | 1.71 | 1.18 | 3 | L |
| 16 May | Eliteserien | Vålerenga (A) | 3-2 | 2.22 | 2.77 | 1.13 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Eliteserien | Fredrikstad (H) | 2-1 | 1.84 | 0.82 | 2.07 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm (A) | 4-0 | 0.89 | 2.90 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Eliteserien | KFUM (A) | 1-0 | 1.81 | 1.03 | 1.90 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Eliteserien | Tromsø (H) | 0-1 | 1.13 | 1.66 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 15 Apr | Eliteserien | Bodø / Glimt (H) | 1-1 | 1.97 | 2.58 | 1.08 | 1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Eliteserien | Rosenborg (A) | 2-1 | 1.57 | 1.65 | 1.33 | 0 | L |
| 6 Apr | Eliteserien | Start (H) | 1-1 | 1.98 | 0.95 | 2.05 | 1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eliteserien | Sandefjord (A) | 0-2 | 1.89 | 1.42 | 1.69 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Hansen | midfielder | 23 | 1570 | 1.77 | 3 | +1.24 | 0.10 |
| Claus Niyukuri | defender | 22 | 1386 | 1.49 | 2 | +0.51 | 0.10 |
| Anders Hiim | defender | 23 | 1897 | 0.53 | 1 | +0.47 | 0.03 |
| Sondre Sörli | attacker | 23 | 1950 | 4.64 | 5 | +0.36 | 0.21 |
| Eirik Wichne | defender | 20 | 684 | 0.71 | 1 | +0.29 | 0.09 |
| Olaus Skarsem | midfielder | 11 | 707 | 2.08 | 2 | -0.08 | 0.26 |
| Aimar Sher | midfielder | 21 | 1603 | 1.11 | 1 | -0.11 | 0.06 |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | midfielder | 23 | 1293 | 3.32 | 3 | -0.32 | 0.23 |
| Peter Reinhardsen | defender | 7 | 253 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.19 |
| Menno Koch | defender | 9 | 475 | 0.78 | 0 | -0.78 | 0.15 |
| Noa Williams | attacker | 21 | 911 | 1.81 | 1 | -0.81 | 0.18 |
| M. Opoku | attacker | 8 | 307 | 0.90 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.27 |
| Sigurd Rosted | defender | 9 | 700 | 1.08 | 0 | -1.08 | 0.14 |
| Sander Christiansen | midfielder | 21 | 1662 | 2.83 | 1 | -1.83 | 0.15 |
| Bjørn Inge Utvik | defender | 22 | 1980 | 2.07 | 0 | -2.07 | 0.09 |
| Daniel Karlsbakk | attacker | 23 | 2032 | 11.69 | 7 | -4.69 | 0.52 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 23 | 55 | 59 | 32.8 | 22 | 43.7 | 56 | +12.3 |
| 2 | KFUM | 22 | 27.2 | 27 | 41.5 | 36 | 22.5 | 28 | +5.5 |
| 3 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 28.6 | 28 | 43.4 | 36 | 24.1 | 29 | +4.9 |
| 4 | Lillestrøm | 23 | 37.7 | 32 | 38.7 | 31 | 31.4 | 36 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Bodø / Glimt | 23 | 65.1 | 58 | 21.8 | 20 | 52.5 | 56 | +3.5 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 22 | 37.9 | 41 | 31.5 | 30 | 35.5 | 39 | +3.5 |
| 7 | Rosenborg | 23 | 42.7 | 43 | 35 | 31 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 8 | HamKam | 23 | 31.8 | 33 | 42.9 | 48 | 26 | 26 | -0 |
| 9 | Molde | 23 | 48.5 | 52 | 32.4 | 35 | 40.4 | 40 | -0.4 |
| 10 | Aalesund | 23 | 37.1 | 39 | 50.2 | 51 | 25.6 | 24 | -1.6 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 23 | 30.4 | 22 | 43.2 | 30 | 25.9 | 24 | -1.9 |
| 12 | Brann | 23 | 43.5 | 40 | 41.4 | 37 | 33 | 29 | -4 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 23 | 39 | 28 | 38.6 | 34 | 32.2 | 28 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 23 | 27.6 | 23 | 47 | 47 | 23.8 | 19 | -4.8 |
| 15 | Vålerenga | 23 | 42.2 | 38 | 42 | 46 | 32.1 | 26 | -6.1 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 34.9 | 25 | 46.5 | 54 | 26.2 | 16 | -10.2 |