Brann xG 2026/2027

Brann xG Questions

Are Brann overperforming their xG this season?

No, Brann have taken 29 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 3.99 fewer than the 32.99 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Brann's xG per game this season?

Brann create 1.89 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 43.48 in all, and have scored 40 goals from those chances, 3.48 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Brann's xGA per game this season?

Brann allow 1.80 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 41.36 in all, and have conceded 37 goals from those chances, 4.36 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Brann this season?

Noah Holm has the most expected goals (xG) for Brann over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 9.20 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Kristian Eriksen is next with 6.33 xG.

Brann expected goals 2026/2027: 2026/2027

Games: 23
Expected goals (xG): 43.48
Goals scored: 40
Goals minus xG: -3.48
Expected goals against (xGA): 41.36
Goals conceded: 37
xGA minus goals conceded: +4.36
Expected points (xPts): 32.99
Points: 29
Points minus xPts: -3.99
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Brann overperforming their expected goals?

Brann have taken 4.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 23 games: -3.5 goals against their xG, and +4.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Brann results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	23	43.48	40	-3.48	41.36	37	+4.36	32.99	29	-3.99
Last 10	10	18.95	14	-4.95	17.55	16	+1.55	14.33	13	-1.33
Last 5	5	10.49	4	-6.49	10.46	10	+0.46	6.95	3	-3.95
Home	12	25.04	20	-5.04	17.08	18	-0.92	20.78	18	-2.78
Away	11	18.44	20	+1.56	24.28	19	+5.28	12.21	11	-1.21

Brann expected goals match by match, 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (A)	3-1	3.11	3.01	1.45	0	W
9 Oct	Eliteserien	Viking (H)	0-2	2.84	1.70	2.00	0	W
20 Sep	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (H)	2-1	0.97	1.68	0.90	3	L
13 Sep	Eliteserien	Start (A)	2-0	1.15	2.78	0.55	0	L
5 Sep	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (H)	1-2	2.42	1.29	2.05	0	W
30 Aug	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (A)	0-0	0.91	1.05	1.24	1	L
16 Aug	Eliteserien	HamKam (H)	3-0	3.04	0.54	2.68	3	W
2 Aug	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (H)	3-2	1.19	2.24	0.78	3	L
26 Jul	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (H)	2-3	2.54	2.02	1.68	0	W
18 Jul	Eliteserien	Molde (A)	1-2	0.78	1.24	1.00	3	L
12 Jul	Eliteserien	Start (H)	2-1	2.19	1.22	1.98	3	W
29 May	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (H)	1-2	0.77	1.66	0.76	0	L
24 May	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (A)	3-1	0.20	3.11	0.10	0	L
20 May	Eliteserien	Aalesund (A)	2-1	1.47	2.94	0.66	0	L
16 May	Eliteserien	KFUM (H)	2-1	1.93	0.76	2.16	3	W
2 May	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (H)	3-1	3.12	0.82	2.57	3	W
29 Apr	Eliteserien	Tromsø (A)	0-5	2.87	1.61	2.07	3	W
25 Apr	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (A)	1-1	1.23	1.76	1.04	1	L
18 Apr	Eliteserien	Viking (A)	3-2	1.40	2.29	0.88	0	L
12 Apr	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (H)	0-1	2.73	1.15	2.27	0	W
6 Apr	Eliteserien	HamKam (A)	1-5	3.09	1.86	2.02	3	W
22 Mar	Eliteserien	Tromsø (H)	1-2	1.30	2.00	0.95	0	L
15 Mar	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (A)	3-2	2.23	2.63	1.20	0	L

Brann players: goals against expected goals, 2026/2027

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
K. Ingason	midfielder	18	1122	3.72	6	+2.28	0.30
Bård Finne	attacker	19	639	3.09	5	+1.91	0.43
Markus Haaland	attacker	10	248	0.72	2	+1.28	0.26
Rasmus Holten	defender	6	355	0.15	1	+0.86	0.04
V. Dragsnes	defender	18	1284	0.41	1	+0.59	0.03
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson	midfielder	7	498	0.81	1	+0.19	0.15
Joachim Soltvedt	defender	22	1695	3.84	4	+0.16	0.20
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson	attacker	12	833	2.15	2	-0.15	0.23
Denzel De Roeve	defender	12	947	1.15	1	-0.15	0.11
Felix Horn Myhre	midfielder	15	1350	2.28	2	-0.28	0.15
Niklas Castro	attacker	10	750	2.30	2	-0.30	0.28
Jacob Lungi Sørensen	midfielder	20	1592	0.82	0	-0.82	0.05
Ulrik Mathisen	attacker	18	944	2.07	1	-1.07	0.20
Sævar Atli Magnússon	attacker	7	291	1.22	0	-1.22	0.38
Kristian Eriksen	midfielder	21	1237	6.33	5	-1.33	0.46
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen	defender	21	1747	1.53	0	-1.53	0.08
Noah Holm	attacker	22	1653	9.20	6	-3.20	0.50

Eliteserien 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Viking	23	55	59	32.8	22	43.7	56	+12.3
2	KFUM	22	27.2	27	41.5	36	22.5	28	+5.5
3	Fredrikstad	23	28.6	28	43.4	36	24.1	29	+4.9
4	Lillestrøm	23	37.7	32	38.7	31	31.4	36	+4.6
5	Bodø / Glimt	23	65.1	58	21.8	20	52.5	56	+3.5
6	Tromsø	22	37.9	41	31.5	30	35.5	39	+3.5
7	Rosenborg	23	42.7	43	35	31	37	37	0
8	HamKam	23	31.8	33	42.9	48	26	26	-0
9	Molde	23	48.5	52	32.4	35	40.4	40	-0.4
10	Aalesund	23	37.1	39	50.2	51	25.6	24	-1.6
11	Sandefjord	23	30.4	22	43.2	30	25.9	24	-1.9
12	Brann	23	43.5	40	41.4	37	33	29	-4
13	Sarpsborg 08	23	39	28	38.6	34	32.2	28	-4.2
14	Kristiansund	23	27.6	23	47	47	23.8	19	-4.8
15	Vålerenga	23	42.2	38	42	46	32.1	26	-6.1
16	Start	23	34.9	25	46.5	54	26.2	16	-10.2

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