No, OH Leuven have taken 17 points over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 5.08 fewer than the 22.08 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
OH Leuven create 1.18 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 23.66 in all, and have scored 18 goals from those chances, 5.66 fewer than that xG would expect.
OH Leuven allow 1.74 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 34.74 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 3.74 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Siebe Schrijvers has the most expected goals (xG) for OH Leuven over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 2.27 xG in 18 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Abdoul Karim Traoré is next with 2.13 xG.
OH Leuven have taken 5.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -5.7 goals against their xG, and +3.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 23.66 | 18 | -5.66 | 34.74 | 31 | +3.74 | 22.08 | 17 | -5.08 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.89 | 7 | -5.89 | 19.96 | 17 | +2.96 | 10.86 | 6 | -4.86 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.25 | 4 | -2.25 | 7.63 | 6 | +1.63 | 6.05 | 5 | -1.05 |
| Home | 10 | 11.41 | 9 | -2.41 | 16.12 | 15 | +1.12 | 11.87 | 10 | -1.87 |
| Away | 10 | 12.25 | 9 | -3.25 | 18.62 | 16 | +2.62 | 10.21 | 7 | -3.21 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (A) | 1-1 | 1.91 | 1.64 | 1.55 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Belgian Pro League | La Louvière (H) | 2-0 | 1.22 | 0.70 | 1.76 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Belgian Pro League | C Brugge (H) | 1-1 | 0.90 | 1.68 | 0.84 | 1 | L |
| 6 Sep | Belgian Pro League | SK Beveren (A) | 3-0 | 1.38 | 2.46 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 3 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Gent (A) | 1-0 | 0.84 | 1.15 | 1.11 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Standard (H) | 1-2 | 1.98 | 1.23 | 1.86 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge (H) | 0-3 | 1.00 | 4.63 | 0.14 | 0 | L |
| 9 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (A) | 3-1 | 1.27 | 3.65 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 23 May | Belgian Pro League | Genk (H) | 0-2 | 1.46 | 1.27 | 1.50 | 0 | W |
| 19 May | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (A) | 1-1 | 0.93 | 1.55 | 0.94 | 1 | L |
| 15 May | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (H) | 3-0 | 1.07 | 0.84 | 1.53 | 3 | W |
| 8 May | Belgian Pro League | Standard (A) | 2-1 | 1.31 | 1.45 | 1.28 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (A) | 3-3 | 1.74 | 1.62 | 1.46 | 1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (H) | 0-2 | 0.29 | 1.52 | 0.44 | 0 | L |
| 21 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (H) | 0-2 | 0.84 | 1.71 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (A) | 2-0 | 0.35 | 1.53 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 12 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Genk (A) | 0-0 | 0.97 | 0.83 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Standard (H) | 1-3 | 0.76 | 2.30 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (H) | 1-0 | 1.89 | 0.24 | 2.52 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (A) | 0-2 | 1.55 | 2.74 | 0.77 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wouter George | midfielder | 18 | 1159 | 1.19 | 3 | +1.81 | 0.09 |
| Davis Opoku | defender | 13 | 794 | 0.67 | 2 | +1.33 | 0.08 |
| Henok Teklab | attacker | 14 | 958 | 1.29 | 2 | +0.71 | 0.12 |
| Roggerio Nyakossi | defender | 16 | 1411 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.05 |
| William Balikwisha | midfielder | 12 | 591 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.12 |
| Sory Kaba | attacker | 11 | 496 | 1.00 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Óscar Gil | defender | 15 | 1066 | 2.07 | 2 | -0.07 | 0.17 |
| Abdoul Karim Traoré | attacker | 12 | 639 | 2.13 | 2 | -0.13 | 0.30 |
| Kyan Vaesen | attacker | 16 | 589 | 1.35 | 1 | -0.35 | 0.21 |
| Noë Dussenne | defender | 12 | 987 | 1.47 | 1 | -0.47 | 0.13 |
| Lukasz Lakomy | midfielder | 16 | 654 | 0.50 | 0 | -0.50 | 0.07 |
| Jamie Lawrence | defender | 5 | 450 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.11 |
| Youssef Maziz | midfielder | 11 | 720 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.12 |
| Ewoud Pletinckx | defender | 19 | 1547 | 1.03 | 0 | -1.03 | 0.06 |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | attacker | 17 | 716 | 1.15 | 0 | -1.15 | 0.15 |
| Siebe Schrijvers | midfielder | 18 | 1332 | 2.27 | 1 | -1.27 | 0.15 |
| Mathieu Maertens | midfielder | 9 | 246 | 1.32 | 0 | -1.32 | 0.48 |
| Robin Mirisola | attacker | 4 | 270 | 1.68 | 0 | -1.68 | 0.56 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.6 | 4 | 14.8 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 16.3 | 16 | 8.3 | 7 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Club Brugge | 8 | 22.6 | 19 | 9.7 | 4 | 16.7 | 21 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 8 | 8.8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SK Beveren | 8 | 8.4 | 8 | 15.8 | 14 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 8 | 13.3 | 20 | 13.9 | 17 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 8 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.2 | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 9 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11.4 | 9 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 11 | 12 | 18.8 | 20 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 11 | Genk | 8 | 14.3 | 16 | 10.2 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liège | 8 | 14.6 | 13 | 12.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Mechelen | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 8 | 10.2 | 8 | 18.1 | 18 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 10.5 | 6 | 17.1 | 14 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| 16 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 8.1 | 2 | 15.3 | 18 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| 17 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | 15.8 | 15 | 12.7 | 16 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 11.8 | 9 | 12.4 | 16 | 10.5 | 3 | -7.5 |