No, Genk have taken 33 points over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, within 0.19 of the 33.19 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Genk create 1.81 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 36.16 in all, and have scored 33 goals from those chances, 3.16 fewer than that xG would expect.
Genk allow 1.25 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 24.96 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 1.96 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Aaron Bibout has the most expected goals (xG) for Genk over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 6.23 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Daan Heymans is next with 4.81 xG.
Genk's results and their chances agree, within 0.2 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 36.16 | 33 | -3.16 | 24.96 | 23 | +1.96 | 33.19 | 33 | -0.19 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 19.11 | 18 | -1.11 | 12.48 | 12 | +0.48 | 16.81 | 16 | -0.81 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.70 | 8 | +0.30 | 6.71 | 4 | +2.71 | 7.41 | 8 | +0.59 |
| Home | 10 | 21.53 | 17 | -4.53 | 10.36 | 5 | +5.36 | 19.28 | 20 | +0.72 |
| Away | 10 | 14.63 | 16 | +1.37 | 14.60 | 18 | -3.40 | 13.91 | 13 | -0.91 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Belgian Pro League | KV Kortrijk (H) | 3-0 | 1.61 | 0.68 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge (A) | 3-0 | 1.57 | 2.85 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Gent (H) | 1-1 | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.40 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Anderlecht (A) | 0-0 | 0.45 | 1.27 | 0.70 | 1 | L |
| 28 Aug | Belgian Pro League | SK Beveren (H) | 4-0 | 2.89 | 0.79 | 2.52 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (A) | 4-4 | 1.62 | 1.84 | 1.25 | 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (H) | 3-2 | 4.09 | 1.08 | 2.62 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Zulte-Waregem (A) | 2-1 | 0.91 | 0.55 | 1.64 | 0 | W |
| 23 May | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (A) | 0-2 | 1.27 | 1.46 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 19 May | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (H) | 0-0 | 3.52 | 0.84 | 2.64 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Belgian Pro League | Standard (A) | 0-0 | 1.80 | 0.96 | 1.94 | 1 | W |
| 10 May | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (H) | 3-0 | 1.18 | 1.64 | 1.07 | 3 | L |
| 2 May | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (A) | 2-0 | 1.32 | 1.71 | 1.13 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Standard (H) | 1-1 | 2.65 | 0.86 | 2.40 | 1 | W |
| 21 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (H) | 1-1 | 2.81 | 1.60 | 2.05 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (A) | 1-2 | 2.01 | 1.30 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (H) | 0-0 | 0.83 | 0.97 | 1.23 | 1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (A) | 1-2 | 1.92 | 1.09 | 1.92 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Belgian Pro League | La Louvière (A) | 5-5 | 1.76 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Sint-Truiden (H) | 1-0 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 1.31 | 3 | D |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josué Kongolo | defender | 17 | 1495 | 0.58 | 2 | +1.42 | 0.03 |
| Rafiu Durosinmi | attacker | 8 | 594 | 4.59 | 6 | +1.41 | 0.69 |
| Junya Ito | attacker | 20 | 1584 | 3.07 | 4 | +0.93 | 0.17 |
| Zakaria El Ouahdi | defender | 16 | 1398 | 2.48 | 3 | +0.52 | 0.16 |
| Joris Kayembe | defender | 18 | 1300 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.04 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | attacker | 15 | 650 | 2.19 | 2 | -0.19 | 0.30 |
| Aaron Bibout | attacker | 20 | 839 | 6.23 | 6 | -0.23 | 0.67 |
| Robin Mirisola | attacker | 12 | 557 | 2.33 | 2 | -0.33 | 0.38 |
| Noah Adedeji-Sternberg | attacker | 12 | 573 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.12 |
| Jeppe Erenbjerg | midfielder | 8 | 537 | 0.79 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.13 |
| Daan Heymans | midfielder | 18 | 1046 | 4.81 | 4 | -0.81 | 0.41 |
| Konstantinos Karetsas | midfielder | 8 | 469 | 1.09 | 0 | -1.09 | 0.21 |
| Ibrahima Bangoura | midfielder | 17 | 1369 | 1.23 | 0 | -1.23 | 0.08 |
| Bryan Heynen | midfielder | 20 | 1784 | 2.90 | 1 | -1.90 | 0.15 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.6 | 4 | 14.8 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 16.3 | 16 | 8.3 | 7 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Club Brugge | 8 | 22.6 | 19 | 9.7 | 4 | 16.7 | 21 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 8 | 8.8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SK Beveren | 8 | 8.4 | 8 | 15.8 | 14 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 8 | 13.3 | 20 | 13.9 | 17 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 8 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.2 | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 9 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11.4 | 9 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 11 | 12 | 18.8 | 20 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 11 | Genk | 8 | 14.3 | 16 | 10.2 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liège | 8 | 14.6 | 13 | 12.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Mechelen | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 8 | 10.2 | 8 | 18.1 | 18 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 10.5 | 6 | 17.1 | 14 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| 16 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 8.1 | 2 | 15.3 | 18 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| 17 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | 15.8 | 15 | 12.7 | 16 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 11.8 | 9 | 12.4 | 16 | 10.5 | 3 | -7.5 |