Yes, Hartberg have taken 21 points over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 3.95 more than the 17.05 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Hartberg create 0.90 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 17.98 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 9.02 more than that xG would expect.
Hartberg allow 1.75 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 34.99 in all, and have conceded 36 goals from those chances, 1.01 more than that xGA would expect.
Marco Hoffmann has the most expected goals (xG) for Hartberg over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 5.70 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Lukas Fridrikas is next with 1.90 xG.
Hartberg have taken 4.0 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +9.0 goals against their xG, and -1.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 17.98 | 27 | +9.02 | 34.99 | 36 | -1.01 | 17.05 | 21 | +3.95 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.81 | 18 | +7.19 | 17.21 | 20 | -2.79 | 10.07 | 14 | +3.93 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.94 | 13 | +6.06 | 7.04 | 13 | -5.96 | 6.42 | 8 | +1.58 |
| Home | 11 | 12.40 | 17 | +4.60 | 17.75 | 27 | -9.25 | 11.44 | 9 | -2.44 |
| Away | 9 | 5.58 | 10 | +4.42 | 17.24 | 9 | +8.24 | 5.61 | 12 | +6.39 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | SK Rapid (A) | 3-1 | 0.60 | 0.91 | 1.05 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | Lustenau (H) | 4-3 | 2.80 | 1.29 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | LASK Linz (H) | 3-3 | 0.71 | 1.49 | 0.80 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | WSG Tirol (A) | 2-2 | 0.59 | 1.77 | 0.57 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Ried (H) | 3-2 | 2.24 | 1.58 | 1.78 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Altach (A) | 1-2 | 0.73 | 2.18 | 0.51 | 3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (H) | 0-2 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 8 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (H) | 0-2 | 0.21 | 1.48 | 0.40 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (A) | 1-0 | 0.47 | 3.96 | 0.09 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (A) | 1-3 | 1.58 | 1.63 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| 10 May | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (H) | 2-4 | 1.29 | 1.57 | 1.19 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (A) | 1-0 | 0.35 | 0.96 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | LASK Linz (H) | 1-5 | 0.58 | 1.76 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 22 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | SK Rapid (A) | 0-2 | 0.34 | 2.13 | 0.30 | 3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | SK Rapid (H) | 2-2 | 0.44 | 2.64 | 0.24 | 1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (A) | 0-0 | 0.76 | 1.58 | 0.78 | 1 | L |
| 5 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (H) | 1-2 | 1.55 | 2.67 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (H) | 0-1 | 0.05 | 1.37 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 13 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | LASK Linz (A) | 0-0 | 0.16 | 2.12 | 0.20 | 1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | Blau-Weiß Linz (H) | 1-1 | 1.65 | 0.98 | 1.84 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Pazourek | defender | 12 | 812 | 0.34 | 2 | +1.66 | 0.04 |
| Andrija Radulovic | attacker | 3 | 90 | 0.43 | 2 | +1.57 | 0.43 |
| Marco Hoffmann | attacker | 20 | 1436 | 5.70 | 7 | +1.30 | 0.36 |
| Elias Havel | attacker | 9 | 613 | 1.79 | 3 | +1.21 | 0.26 |
| Nikolaus Feldhofer | midfielder | 7 | 159 | 0.06 | 1 | +0.94 | 0.03 |
| Lukas Spendlhofer | defender | 12 | 818 | 0.13 | 1 | +0.87 | 0.01 |
| Jed Drew | attacker | 11 | 341 | 0.15 | 1 | +0.85 | 0.04 |
| Jonas Karner | midfielder | 4 | 100 | 0.16 | 1 | +0.84 | 0.14 |
| Oliver Lukić | midfielder | 8 | 426 | 0.28 | 1 | +0.72 | 0.06 |
| Damjan Kovacevic | defender | 8 | 300 | 0.29 | 1 | +0.71 | 0.09 |
| Magnus Dalpiaz | defender | 6 | 417 | 0.36 | 1 | +0.64 | 0.08 |
| Jürgen Heil | midfielder | 11 | 920 | 0.46 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.04 |
| Benjamin Markus | midfielder | 20 | 1762 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.04 |
| Fabian Wilfinger | defender | 18 | 1614 | 0.87 | 1 | +0.13 | 0.05 |
| Angelo Gattermayer | attacker | 9 | 628 | 1.07 | 1 | -0.07 | 0.15 |
| Dominic Vincze | defender | 3 | 233 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.28 |
| Lukas Fridrikas | attacker | 11 | 650 | 1.90 | 1 | -0.90 | 0.26 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 9 | 18.2 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 16.7 | 24 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 20.3 | 21 | 10.1 | 4 | 18 | 21 | +3 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | 14.3 | 17 | +2.7 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 9 | 9.2 | 15 | 15.6 | 19 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 16.6 | 16 | 14.6 | 15 | 12.9 | 14 | +1.1 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 9 | 10.3 | 11 | 17.9 | 19 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 7 | LASK Linz | 9 | 18.9 | 23 | 7.4 | 9 | 19.4 | 19 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 9 | 9.1 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 9 | Austria Wien | 9 | 9.5 | 9 | 15.3 | 18 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 9.5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| 11 | WSG Tirol | 9 | 15.8 | 12 | 14.4 | 14 | 13.6 | 11 | -2.6 |
| 12 | Rheindorf Altach | 9 | 10.6 | 8 | 12.1 | 15 | 12 | 6 | -6 |