No, FC Utrecht have taken 34 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, within 2.69 of the 31.31 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
FC Utrecht create 1.70 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 33.99 in all, and have scored 36 goals from those chances, 2.01 more than that xG would expect.
FC Utrecht allow 1.50 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 29.99 in all, and have conceded 38 goals from those chances, 8.01 more than that xGA would expect.
Artem Stepanov has the most expected goals (xG) for FC Utrecht over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 8.49 xG in 16 appearances, and has scored 9 goals; Ángel Alarcón is next with 4.75 xG.
FC Utrecht's results and their chances agree, within 2.7 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 33.99 | 36 | +2.01 | 29.99 | 38 | -8.01 | 31.31 | 34 | +2.69 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.30 | 18 | +2.70 | 17.31 | 26 | -8.69 | 13.64 | 14 | +0.36 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.38 | 9 | +2.62 | 9.77 | 16 | -6.23 | 5.71 | 7 | +1.29 |
| Home | 10 | 18.27 | 21 | +2.73 | 13.19 | 16 | -2.81 | 17.32 | 20 | +2.68 |
| Away | 10 | 15.72 | 15 | -0.72 | 16.80 | 22 | -5.20 | 13.99 | 14 | +0.01 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Eredivisie | Willem II (H) | 3-1 | 1.39 | 0.72 | 1.87 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (A) | 5-0 | 0.62 | 3.19 | 0.22 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Eredivisie | Excelsior (A) | 1-2 | 1.48 | 0.91 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 8 Sep | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (H) | 3-3 | 2.67 | 2.06 | 1.73 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Eredivisie | PSV (H) | 1-6 | 0.22 | 2.89 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Eredivisie | Sparta (A) | 3-3 | 2.13 | 1.41 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | AZ (H) | 1-4 | 1.06 | 2.69 | 0.53 | 0 | L |
| 9 Aug | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (A) | 2-1 | 1.65 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 17 May | Eredivisie | Fortuna (H) | 2-0 | 2.35 | 0.60 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Eredivisie | Ajax (A) | 1-2 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.68 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Eredivisie | NAC Breda (H) | 2-0 | 3.07 | 0.53 | 2.69 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Eredivisie | Excelsior (A) | 5-0 | 0.87 | 2.76 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Eredivisie | Telstar (H) | 4-1 | 1.53 | 1.05 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Eredivisie | PSV (A) | 4-3 | 1.27 | 2.74 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (H) | 2-0 | 1.75 | 0.71 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Twente (A) | 0-2 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 1.31 | 3 | L |
| 6 Mar | Eredivisie | Heracles Almelo (A) | 0-0 | 2.38 | 0.36 | 2.61 | 1 | W |
| 1 Mar | Eredivisie | AZ (H) | 2-0 | 1.48 | 0.97 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (H) | 1-1 | 2.75 | 0.97 | 2.38 | 1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (A) | 1-2 | 2.05 | 0.93 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matisse Didden | defender | 15 | 1224 | 0.81 | 3 | +2.19 | 0.06 |
| D. de Wit | midfielder | 19 | 1666 | 3.96 | 6 | +2.04 | 0.21 |
| Adrian Blake | attacker | 12 | 338 | 1.07 | 3 | +1.93 | 0.29 |
| Jesper Karlsson | attacker | 12 | 310 | 1.08 | 3 | +1.92 | 0.31 |
| Gjivai Zechiël | midfielder | 12 | 1054 | 2.21 | 3 | +0.79 | 0.19 |
| Mike van der Hoorn | defender | 12 | 1043 | 0.41 | 1 | +0.59 | 0.04 |
| Artem Stepanov | attacker | 16 | 1147 | 8.49 | 9 | +0.51 | 0.67 |
| David Min | attacker | 12 | 231 | 0.97 | 1 | +0.03 | 0.38 |
| Niklas Vesterlund | defender | 17 | 1387 | 1.08 | 1 | -0.08 | 0.07 |
| Siebe Horemans | defender | 16 | 807 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.06 |
| Sébastien Haller | attacker | 7 | 194 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.35 |
| Davy van den Berg | midfielder | 8 | 441 | 0.85 | 0 | -0.85 | 0.17 |
| Souffian El Karouani | defender | 12 | 1036 | 0.94 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.08 |
| Yoann Cathline | attacker | 20 | 1480 | 4.49 | 3 | -1.49 | 0.27 |
| Ángel Alarcón | attacker | 18 | 1289 | 4.75 | 3 | -1.75 | 0.33 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 7.6 | 14 | 18.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 14 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.1 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.2 | 12 | 18.2 | 19 | +0.8 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 | FC Twente | 8 | 18.7 | 16 | 6.4 | 8 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 13.5 | 13 | 15.1 | 14 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| 12 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 11.2 | 14 | 15.4 | 25 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.5 | 11 | 17.5 | 20 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.5 | 10 | 20.4 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 18.9 | 22 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 11.8 | 9 | 20.3 | 26 | 7.9 | 2 | -5.9 |