Yes, FC Twente have taken 41 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 3.74 more than the 37.26 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
FC Twente create 2.06 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 41.10 in all, and have scored 39 goals from those chances, 2.10 fewer than that xG would expect.
FC Twente allow 1.13 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 22.64 in all, and have conceded 24 goals from those chances, 1.36 more than that xGA would expect.
Sam Lammers has the most expected goals (xG) for FC Twente over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 7.37 xG in 14 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Wout Weghorst is next with 5.26 xG.
FC Twente have taken 3.7 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: -2.1 goals against their xG, and -1.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 41.10 | 39 | -2.10 | 22.64 | 24 | -1.36 | 37.26 | 41 | +3.74 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 24.85 | 21 | -3.85 | 9.38 | 13 | -3.62 | 21.75 | 20 | -1.75 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.07 | 9 | -3.07 | 4.52 | 5 | -0.48 | 10.93 | 11 | +0.07 |
| Home | 10 | 22.85 | 20 | -2.85 | 8.82 | 8 | +0.82 | 20.56 | 25 | +4.44 |
| Away | 10 | 18.25 | 19 | +0.75 | 13.82 | 16 | -2.18 | 16.70 | 16 | -0.70 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Eredivisie | Fortuna (A) | 1-1 | 1.12 | 1.01 | 1.44 | 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Eredivisie | PSV (H) | 3-2 | 2.32 | 0.98 | 2.20 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag (H) | 2-0 | 3.25 | 0.61 | 2.69 | 3 | W |
| 9 Sep | Eredivisie | Telstar (H) | 1-0 | 2.99 | 0.23 | 2.80 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (A) | 2-2 | 2.39 | 1.69 | 1.80 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Eredivisie | SC Cambuur (A) | 1-4 | 2.02 | 0.64 | 2.29 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (H) | 3-1 | 2.76 | 0.66 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Eredivisie | Heerenveen (A) | 1-0 | 1.82 | 0.59 | 2.23 | 0 | W |
| 17 May | Eredivisie | PSV (A) | 5-1 | 1.64 | 2.35 | 1.00 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Eredivisie | Sparta (H) | 4-0 | 4.54 | 0.62 | 2.75 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Eredivisie | AZ (A) | 2-2 | 0.88 | 1.60 | 0.87 | 1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (H) | 1-1 | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.43 | 1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Eredivisie | FC Volendam (H) | 2-1 | 2.05 | 0.74 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Eredivisie | Ajax (A) | 1-2 | 2.08 | 1.30 | 1.87 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Eredivisie | Fortuna (A) | 1-2 | 1.94 | 1.09 | 1.93 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Utrecht (H) | 0-2 | 1.66 | 1.54 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 8 Mar | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (A) | 1-4 | 2.18 | 2.08 | 1.45 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (H) | 2-0 | 1.46 | 0.92 | 1.76 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (H) | 2-1 | 0.39 | 1.18 | 0.69 | 3 | L |
| 15 Feb | Eredivisie | Telstar (A) | 1-1 | 2.18 | 1.47 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristian Hlynsson | midfielder | 15 | 1089 | 3.70 | 6 | +2.30 | 0.31 |
| Marko Pjaca | attacker | 18 | 616 | 1.30 | 3 | +1.70 | 0.19 |
| R. Nijstad | defender | 19 | 1611 | 0.94 | 2 | +1.06 | 0.05 |
| Younes Taha | attacker | 7 | 529 | 0.94 | 2 | +1.06 | 0.16 |
| Bart van Rooij | defender | 20 | 1759 | 0.78 | 1 | +0.22 | 0.04 |
| Sondre Ørjasæter | attacker | 18 | 1369 | 3.81 | 4 | +0.19 | 0.25 |
| Robin Pröpper | defender | 17 | 743 | 1.82 | 2 | +0.18 | 0.22 |
| Daouda Weidmann | midfielder | 16 | 732 | 2.15 | 2 | -0.15 | 0.26 |
| Ramiz Zerrouki | midfielder | 20 | 1722 | 1.27 | 1 | -0.27 | 0.07 |
| Daan Rots | attacker | 18 | 1324 | 4.39 | 4 | -0.39 | 0.30 |
| Ricky van Wolfswinkel | attacker | 10 | 202 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.25 |
| Mats Rots | defender | 12 | 1078 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.06 |
| Filip Thorvaldsen | attacker | 6 | 177 | 1.10 | 0 | -1.10 | 0.56 |
| Thomas van den Belt | midfielder | 18 | 974 | 3.25 | 2 | -1.25 | 0.30 |
| Wout Weghorst | attacker | 8 | 698 | 5.26 | 4 | -1.26 | 0.68 |
| Sam Lammers | attacker | 14 | 1053 | 7.37 | 3 | -4.37 | 0.63 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 7.6 | 14 | 18.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 14 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.1 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.2 | 12 | 18.2 | 19 | +0.8 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 | FC Twente | 8 | 18.7 | 16 | 6.4 | 8 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 13.5 | 13 | 15.1 | 14 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| 12 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 11.2 | 14 | 15.4 | 25 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.5 | 11 | 17.5 | 20 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.5 | 10 | 20.4 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 18.9 | 22 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 11.8 | 9 | 20.3 | 26 | 7.9 | 2 | -5.9 |