No, GA Eagles have taken 26 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, within 0.66 of the 25.34 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
GA Eagles create 1.66 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 33.28 in all, and have scored 41 goals from those chances, 7.72 more than that xG would expect.
GA Eagles allow 2.00 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 39.98 in all, and have conceded 35 goals from those chances, 4.98 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson has the most expected goals (xG) for GA Eagles over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 7.55 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Mathis Suray is next with 5.09 xG.
GA Eagles's results and their chances agree, within 0.7 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 33.28 | 41 | +7.72 | 39.98 | 35 | +4.98 | 25.34 | 26 | +0.66 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.70 | 21 | +3.30 | 21.87 | 23 | -1.13 | 12.92 | 11 | -1.92 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.92 | 9 | -1.92 | 8.70 | 12 | -3.30 | 8.31 | 4 | -4.31 |
| Home | 10 | 18.11 | 28 | +9.89 | 15.03 | 14 | +1.03 | 15.92 | 18 | +2.08 |
| Away | 10 | 15.17 | 13 | -2.17 | 24.95 | 21 | +3.95 | 9.42 | 8 | -1.42 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (A) | 4-1 | 3.19 | 2.26 | 1.86 | 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | Eredivisie | Sparta (H) | 3-3 | 1.45 | 2.20 | 0.95 | 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (A) | 1-1 | 1.90 | 1.30 | 1.76 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (H) | 1-1 | 2.32 | 0.27 | 2.65 | 1 | W |
| 8 Sep | Eredivisie | FC Utrecht (A) | 3-3 | 2.06 | 2.67 | 1.09 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Eredivisie | AZ (A) | 5-2 | 1.38 | 2.72 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag (H) | 3-1 | 0.90 | 0.81 | 1.40 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (A) | 2-2 | 1.37 | 2.80 | 0.66 | 1 | L |
| 8 Aug | Eredivisie | Willem II (H) | 4-1 | 2.44 | 1.72 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (A) | 2-1 | 0.69 | 5.12 | 0.06 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Eredivisie | PSV (H) | 1-4 | 1.19 | 2.76 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Eredivisie | Sparta (A) | 2-2 | 2.02 | 2.31 | 1.24 | 1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Eredivisie | AZ (H) | 0-0 | 1.55 | 1.49 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (A) | 0-0 | 1.17 | 2.16 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 5 Apr | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (H) | 5-0 | 2.12 | 1.51 | 1.76 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Utrecht (A) | 2-0 | 0.71 | 1.75 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Eredivisie | NAC Breda (H) | 6-0 | 1.95 | 1.23 | 1.84 | 3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Twente (H) | 1-4 | 2.08 | 2.18 | 1.35 | 0 | L |
| 1 Mar | Eredivisie | Excelsior (A) | 0-1 | 0.68 | 1.86 | 0.60 | 3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Eredivisie | Heracles Almelo (H) | 4-0 | 2.11 | 0.86 | 2.18 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Søren Tengstedt | midfielder | 20 | 1393 | 4.09 | 10 | +5.91 | 0.26 |
| Jakob Breum | midfielder | 11 | 930 | 2.33 | 5 | +2.67 | 0.23 |
| Mathis Suray | attacker | 20 | 1678 | 5.09 | 7 | +1.91 | 0.27 |
| Julius Dirksen | defender | 17 | 1391 | 0.62 | 2 | +1.38 | 0.04 |
| Victor Edvardsen | attacker | 20 | 1722 | 3.81 | 5 | +1.19 | 0.20 |
| Aske Adelgaard | defender | 10 | 882 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.02 |
| Erik Flataker | attacker | 7 | 243 | 1.59 | 2 | +0.41 | 0.59 |
| Joris Kramer | defender | 20 | 1756 | 1.13 | 1 | -0.13 | 0.06 |
| Richonell Margaret | attacker | 8 | 262 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.19 |
| Giovanni van Zwam | defender | 11 | 480 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.12 |
| Thibo Baeten | attacker | 16 | 331 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.19 |
| Finn Stokkers | attacker | 6 | 110 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.59 |
| Melle Meulensteen | midfielder | 19 | 1681 | 3.22 | 2 | -1.22 | 0.17 |
| Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson | attacker | 20 | 1161 | 7.55 | 6 | -1.55 | 0.59 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 7.6 | 14 | 18.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 14 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.1 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.2 | 12 | 18.2 | 19 | +0.8 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 | FC Twente | 8 | 18.7 | 16 | 6.4 | 8 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 13.5 | 13 | 15.1 | 14 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| 12 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 11.2 | 14 | 15.4 | 25 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.5 | 11 | 17.5 | 20 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.5 | 10 | 20.4 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 18.9 | 22 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 11.8 | 9 | 20.3 | 26 | 7.9 | 2 | -5.9 |