Yes, Elversberg have taken 10 points over their last 6 Bundesliga games, 3.88 more than the 6.12 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Elversberg create 1.84 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Bundesliga games, 11.02 in all, and have scored 12 goals from those chances, 0.98 more than that xG would expect.
Elversberg allow 2.36 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Bundesliga games, 14.18 in all, and have conceded 11 goals from those chances, 3.18 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Lukas Petkov has the most expected goals (xG) for Elversberg over their last 6 Bundesliga games, 2.15 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Maurice Krattenmacher is next with 2.14 xG.
Elversberg have taken 3.9 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: +1.0 goals against their xG, and +3.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 11.02 | 12 | +0.98 | 14.18 | 11 | +3.18 | 6.12 | 10 | +3.88 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.77 | 9 | -0.77 | 12.27 | 9 | +3.27 | 5.15 | 7 | +1.85 |
| Home | 3 | 6.83 | 8 | +1.17 | 8.60 | 7 | +1.60 | 3.00 | 6 | +3.00 |
| Away | 3 | 4.19 | 4 | -0.19 | 5.58 | 4 | +1.58 | 3.12 | 4 | +0.88 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Bundesliga | Augsburg (H) | 4-3 | 4.55 | 4.23 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Bundesliga | U Berlin (A) | 1-0 | 0.25 | 1.59 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Bundesliga | Schalke (A) | 0-0 | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.35 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Bundesliga | Bayern (H) | 1-2 | 1.03 | 2.46 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Bundesliga | Gladbach (A) | 3-4 | 2.70 | 2.74 | 1.38 | 3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Bundesliga | Leverkusen (H) | 3-2 | 1.25 | 1.91 | 0.97 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Keidel | midfielder | 6 | 523 | 0.11 | 1 | +0.89 | 0.02 |
| Maurice Krattenmacher | midfielder | 6 | 248 | 2.14 | 3 | +0.86 | 0.78 |
| Maximilian Rohr | defender | 6 | 532 | 0.33 | 1 | +0.67 | 0.06 |
| Lasse Günther | defender | 6 | 492 | 0.41 | 1 | +0.59 | 0.08 |
| Cole Campbell | attacker | 5 | 282 | 0.46 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.15 |
| David Mokwa | attacker | 6 | 408 | 1.57 | 2 | +0.43 | 0.35 |
| Lukas Petkov | attacker | 6 | 533 | 2.15 | 2 | -0.15 | 0.36 |
| Noah Darvich | midfielder | 5 | 261 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.25 |
| Noel Futkeu | attacker | 5 | 129 | 1.39 | 0 | -1.39 | 0.97 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 5.8 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 4.6 | 9 | +4.4 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 6 | 11 | 12 | 14.2 | 11 | 6.1 | 10 | +3.9 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 10 | 11 | 5.5 | 4 | 11.3 | 14 | +2.7 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 6 | 12.9 | 16 | 18.9 | 12 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 8.5 | 12 | 9.6 | 12 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 11.5 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 13.5 | 16 | 7.4 | 9 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | 13.9 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 9 | Schalke 04 | 6 | 6.6 | 4 | 11.5 | 7 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Paderborn | 6 | 6.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 9 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 11 | FC Bayern München | 6 | 19.2 | 22 | 5.1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 8.7 | 10 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 | FC Köln | 6 | 10.3 | 8 | 11.3 | 11 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 13.1 | 16 | 9.9 | 11 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin | 6 | 7.5 | 5 | 11.2 | 17 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 12 | 8 | 11.4 | 10 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | TSG Hoffenheim | 6 | 11 | 11 | 8.9 | 14 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 5.2 | 0 | -5.2 |