No, Celta Fortuna have taken 12 points over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, within 0.12 of the 11.88 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Celta Fortuna create 1.27 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 12.72 in all, and have scored 15 goals from those chances, 2.28 more than that xG would expect.
Celta Fortuna allow 1.59 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 15.87 in all, and have conceded 16 goals from those chances, 0.13 more than that xGA would expect.
Álvaro Marín has the most expected goals (xG) for Celta Fortuna over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 1.59 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Óscar Marcos is next with 0.98 xG.
Celta Fortuna's results and their chances agree, within 0.1 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 12.72 | 15 | +2.28 | 15.87 | 16 | -0.13 | 11.88 | 12 | +0.12 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.64 | 8 | +2.36 | 7.41 | 8 | -0.59 | 5.74 | 5 | -0.74 |
| Home | 6 | 7.71 | 11 | +3.29 | 8.81 | 11 | -2.19 | 7.62 | 8 | +0.38 |
| Away | 4 | 5.01 | 4 | -1.01 | 7.06 | 5 | +2.06 | 4.26 | 4 | -0.26 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | La Liga 2 | Tenerife (H) | 1-1 | 1.10 | 0.61 | 1.74 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | La Liga 2 | Real Sociedad II (H) | 4-1 | 1.99 | 1.95 | 1.42 | 3 | W |
| 4 Oct | La Liga 2 | Gijon (A) | 3-2 | 1.53 | 1.82 | 1.20 | 0 | L |
| 26 Sep | La Liga 2 | Sabadell (H) | 1-1 | 0.32 | 0.63 | 0.95 | 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | La Liga 2 | Almería (A) | 2-0 | 0.70 | 2.40 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 14 Sep | La Liga 2 | Eibar (H) | 0-4 | 1.47 | 0.78 | 1.87 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | La Liga 2 | Ceuta (A) | 0-2 | 2.13 | 1.27 | 1.92 | 3 | W |
| 31 Aug | La Liga 2 | Castellón (H) | 1-2 | 0.89 | 1.86 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 24 Aug | La Liga 2 | FC Andorra (H) | 4-2 | 1.94 | 2.98 | 0.89 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | La Liga 2 | Cádiz (A) | 0-0 | 0.65 | 1.57 | 0.71 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Marín | attacker | 10 | 679 | 1.59 | 6 | +4.41 | 0.21 |
| Bernard Somuah | attacker | 6 | 205 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Óscar Marcos | midfielder | 10 | 701 | 0.98 | 2 | +1.03 | 0.13 |
| A. Kibet | midfielder | 8 | 424 | 0.98 | 2 | +1.02 | 0.21 |
| Andrés Antañón | midfielder | 3 | 180 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Adrià Capdevila | midfielder | 10 | 820 | 0.02 | 1 | +0.98 | 0.00 |
| Ángel Arcos | attacker | 10 | 679 | 0.68 | 1 | +0.32 | 0.09 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 10 | 15 | 20 | 11.9 | 7 | 15.4 | 24 | +8.6 |
| 2 | SD Eibar | 10 | 13.2 | 20 | 11.6 | 11 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Sporting Gijón | 10 | 10.4 | 11 | 10.3 | 9 | 13.6 | 19 | +5.4 |
| 4 | Castellón | 10 | 19.1 | 18 | 10.6 | 4 | 18.5 | 23 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 10 | 11.6 | 12 | 11.8 | 5 | 13.5 | 18 | +4.5 |
| 6 | Girona | 10 | 12 | 17 | 13.5 | 9 | 13.8 | 18 | +4.2 |
| 7 | Burgos | 10 | 13.2 | 13 | 13.6 | 10 | 13.1 | 17 | +3.9 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 10 | 14.4 | 13 | 15.3 | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | +3.5 |
| 9 | Leganés | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 18.3 | 15 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Granada | 10 | 16.5 | 16 | 12.8 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 10 | 9.3 | 12 | 12.3 | 14 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 10 | 8.7 | 13 | 12.7 | 19 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 10 | 12.7 | 15 | 15.9 | 16 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Sabadell | 10 | 14.3 | 10 | 10.8 | 8 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 15 | Eldense | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 13.4 | 13 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 10 | 14.4 | 15 | 11.9 | 14 | 14.9 | 12 | -2.9 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 10 | 12.8 | 14 | 16.9 | 21 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 10 | 18.6 | 15 | 15.9 | 20 | 16 | 12 | -4 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 15.3 | 10 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 10 | 11.1 | 11 | 11.5 | 13 | 13.1 | 7 | -6.1 |
| 21 | Ceuta | 10 | 15.2 | 9 | 15.8 | 22 | 13.7 | 5 | -8.7 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 11.7 | 6 | 16.6 | 22 | 11.3 | 1 | -10.3 |