Yes, Belgrano have taken 48 points over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 8.91 more than the 39.09 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Belgrano create 1.22 expected goals (xG) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 35.30 in all, and have scored 31 goals from those chances, 4.30 fewer than that xG would expect.
Belgrano allow 1.23 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 35.54 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 12.54 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Nicolás Fernández has the most expected goals (xG) for Belgrano over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 8.21 xG in 26 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Lucas Passerini is next with 6.49 xG.
Belgrano have taken 8.9 points more than their chances warranted over 29 games: -4.3 goals against their xG, and +12.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 29 | 35.30 | 31 | -4.30 | 35.54 | 23 | +12.54 | 39.09 | 48 | +8.91 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.82 | 12 | -2.82 | 11.87 | 8 | +3.87 | 14.98 | 18 | +3.02 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.99 | 6 | -0.99 | 6.59 | 5 | +1.59 | 6.92 | 10 | +3.08 |
| Home | 15 | 19.46 | 19 | -0.46 | 14.62 | 14 | +0.62 | 23.09 | 24 | +0.91 |
| Away | 14 | 15.84 | 12 | -3.84 | 20.92 | 9 | +11.92 | 16.00 | 24 | +8.00 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | River Plate (H) | 0-3 | 1.14 | 1.68 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Racing Club (A) | 0-2 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.06 | 3 | L |
| 4 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (A) | 0-1 | 0.91 | 0.80 | 1.42 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (H) | 2-1 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Sarmiento (A) | 1-1 | 2.86 | 1.66 | 2.04 | 1 | W |
| 4 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Huracán (H) | 1-1 | 3.27 | 0.69 | 2.66 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Atlético Tucumán (A) | 0-0 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 23 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (H) | 1-2 | 1.38 | 1.09 | 1.57 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente Rivadavia (H) | 2-0 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.34 | 3 | W |
| 10 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Banfield (A) | 0-2 | 1.35 | 1.60 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 6 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Tigre (A) | 0-0 | 0.96 | 2.80 | 0.45 | 1 | L |
| 1 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Argentinos Juniors (H) | 0-1 | 0.64 | 0.91 | 1.09 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Rosario Central (H) | 2-1 | 1.83 | 1.23 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Sarmiento (H) | 4-0 | 1.66 | 0.67 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia La Plata (H) | 0-1 | 0.58 | 0.69 | 1.19 | 0 | D |
| 20 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Barracas Central (A) | 0-0 | 0.68 | 0.54 | 1.43 | 1 | D |
| 11 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Aldosivi (H) | 1-0 | 0.93 | 1.26 | 1.11 | 3 | L |
| 5 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | River Plate (A) | 3-0 | 1.11 | 2.07 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Racing Club (H) | 1-2 | 1.85 | 1.12 | 1.86 | 0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (H) | 0-0 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 1.29 | 1 | D |
| 12 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (A) | 0-1 | 0.87 | 0.99 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 3 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Huracán (A) | 3-1 | 1.05 | 1.64 | 0.97 | 0 | L |
| 25 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Atlético Tucumán (H) | 3-1 | 1.30 | 1.41 | 1.30 | 3 | L |
| 20 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (A) | 1-1 | 1.20 | 1.27 | 1.31 | 1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente Rivadavia (A) | 0-1 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| 8 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Banfield (H) | 1-0 | 1.43 | 0.53 | 2.05 | 3 | W |
| 3 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Argentinos Juniors (A) | 0-0 | 0.84 | 2.27 | 0.55 | 1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Tigre (H) | 1-1 | 0.64 | 0.55 | 1.38 | 1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Rosario Central (A) | 1-2 | 1.11 | 1.90 | 0.88 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Gutiérrez | attacker | 19 | 464 | 1.26 | 3 | +1.74 | 0.24 |
| Francisco González Metilli | midfielder | 21 | 898 | 1.43 | 3 | +1.57 | 0.14 |
| Ramiro Hernandes | midfielder | 28 | 1178 | 1.89 | 3 | +1.11 | 0.14 |
| Lucas Zelarayán | midfielder | 24 | 2034 | 4.12 | 5 | +0.88 | 0.18 |
| Julián Mavilla | midfielder | 6 | 264 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.06 |
| Franco Vázquez | midfielder | 26 | 1975 | 2.98 | 3 | +0.02 | 0.14 |
| Lisandro López | defender | 25 | 2190 | 1.01 | 1 | -0.01 | 0.04 |
| Adrián Spörle | defender | 24 | 1720 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.03 |
| Leonardo Morales | defender | 27 | 2254 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.03 |
| Emiliano Rigoni | attacker | 26 | 2055 | 3.83 | 2 | -1.83 | 0.17 |
| Lucas Passerini | attacker | 24 | 1130 | 6.49 | 3 | -3.49 | 0.52 |
| Nicolás Fernández | attacker | 26 | 1450 | 8.21 | 3 | -5.21 | 0.51 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sarsfield | 29 | 32.4 | 36 | 31.3 | 25 | 40.4 | 52 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 37.2 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 44.5 | 54 | +9.5 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 29 | 35.3 | 31 | 35.5 | 23 | 39.1 | 48 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 29 | 40.2 | 46 | 31.2 | 36 | 45.2 | 53 | +7.8 |
| 5 | Gimnasia La Plata | 29 | 39.2 | 38 | 35.1 | 37 | 40.7 | 48 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza | 29 | 28.7 | 29 | 41 | 35 | 31.7 | 39 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 29 | 42.2 | 40 | 31.9 | 27 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 29 | 29.8 | 35 | 42.2 | 39 | 33.1 | 40 | +6.9 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 29 | 26.2 | 21 | 34.9 | 26 | 33.4 | 39 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Independiente | 29 | 30.9 | 36 | 34.1 | 33 | 38.1 | 43 | +4.9 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 29 | 25.8 | 26 | 31 | 25 | 36.2 | 40 | +3.8 |
| 12 | Huracán | 29 | 32.1 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 39 | 41 | +2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes | 29 | 38.4 | 35 | 31.3 | 22 | 43.2 | 45 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Defensa y Justicia | 29 | 35.6 | 36 | 33.1 | 33 | 41.4 | 43 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Lanús | 29 | 37.6 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 45.8 | 47 | +1.2 |
| 16 | Boca Juniors | 29 | 41.7 | 43 | 21.7 | 23 | 53.2 | 54 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Newell's Old Boys | 29 | 28.1 | 28 | 37.3 | 37 | 34.6 | 35 | +0.4 |
| 18 | Instituto | 29 | 39.8 | 37 | 22.9 | 27 | 50.6 | 50 | -0.6 |
| 19 | Banfield | 29 | 33.1 | 31 | 46.7 | 38 | 32.8 | 31 | -1.8 |
| 20 | Central Cordoba SdE | 29 | 26.4 | 22 | 44.5 | 39 | 28 | 26 | -2 |
| 21 | Talleres Córdoba | 29 | 31.8 | 29 | 35.1 | 33 | 37.3 | 35 | -2.3 |
| 22 | River Plate | 29 | 48.3 | 40 | 22.8 | 25 | 54.5 | 49 | -5.5 |
| 23 | Unión Santa Fe | 29 | 37.9 | 42 | 35.8 | 42 | 41.6 | 35 | -6.6 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 29 | 35.8 | 31 | 35.1 | 35 | 40.2 | 33 | -7.2 |
| 25 | Platense | 29 | 31.2 | 22 | 33.7 | 34 | 37 | 27 | -10 |
| 26 | Atlético Tucumán | 29 | 31.1 | 27 | 31.9 | 33 | 38.1 | 28 | -10.1 |
| 27 | Tigre | 29 | 37.5 | 31 | 29.7 | 30 | 44.8 | 33 | -11.8 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 29 | 26.3 | 20 | 41.8 | 41 | 29.5 | 16 | -13.5 |
| 29 | Deportivo Riestra | 29 | 25.7 | 15 | 26.6 | 25 | 38.1 | 23 | -15.1 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 29 | 24.8 | 13 | 42.8 | 41 | 29.1 | 14 | -15.1 |