No, Atlético Tucumán have taken 28 points over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 10.11 fewer than the 38.11 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Atlético Tucumán create 1.07 expected goals (xG) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 31.08 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 4.08 fewer than that xG would expect.
Atlético Tucumán allow 1.10 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 31.89 in all, and have conceded 33 goals from those chances, 1.11 more than that xGA would expect.
Leandro Díaz has the most expected goals (xG) for Atlético Tucumán over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 8.35 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez is next with 3.22 xG.
Atlético Tucumán have taken 10.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 29 games: -4.1 goals against their xG, and -1.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 29 | 31.08 | 27 | -4.08 | 31.89 | 33 | -1.11 | 38.11 | 28 | -10.11 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.51 | 10 | +0.49 | 11.24 | 13 | -1.76 | 12.13 | 9 | -3.13 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.69 | 6 | +1.31 | 6.46 | 10 | -3.54 | 5.60 | 1 | -4.60 |
| Home | 15 | 17.34 | 14 | -3.34 | 13.87 | 16 | -2.13 | 22.01 | 14 | -8.01 |
| Away | 14 | 13.74 | 13 | -0.74 | 18.02 | 17 | +1.02 | 16.10 | 14 | -2.10 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Rosario Central (H) | 2-3 | 1.64 | 0.99 | 1.82 | 0 | W |
| 9 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia La Plata (A) | 1-1 | 0.49 | 2.07 | 0.40 | 1 | L |
| 3 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Barracas Central (H) | 2-3 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 1.22 | 0 | L |
| 21 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Aldosivi (A) | 1-0 | 0.80 | 1.20 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | River Plate (H) | 1-2 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 7 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Racing Club (A) | 1-2 | 2.11 | 1.74 | 1.61 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Belgrano (H) | 0-0 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 1.40 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Instituto (H) | 0-0 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 1.09 | 1 | D |
| 17 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (A) | 0-1 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 1.27 | 3 | D |
| 8 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Sarmiento (H) | 1-2 | 1.01 | 1.28 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 4 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Huracán (A) | 0-0 | 1.64 | 1.00 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 31 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Central Cordoba SdE (A) | 0-2 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 1.41 | 3 | D |
| 26 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente Rivadavia (H) | 0-0 | 0.23 | 0.75 | 0.76 | 1 | L |
| 3 May | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | River Plate (A) | 0-1 | 0.77 | 1.72 | 0.73 | 3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Banfield (H) | 1-1 | 1.43 | 1.28 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 19 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Argentinos Juniors (A) | 1-0 | 0.63 | 0.73 | 1.22 | 0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Tigre (H) | 0-0 | 0.45 | 1.22 | 0.71 | 1 | L |
| 5 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Rosario Central (A) | 2-1 | 1.43 | 2.39 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia La Plata (H) | 1-0 | 0.97 | 0.67 | 1.58 | 3 | W |
| 16 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Barracas Central (A) | 2-1 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 1.32 | 0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Aldosivi (H) | 1-1 | 1.90 | 0.39 | 2.41 | 1 | W |
| 4 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Racing Club (H) | 0-3 | 0.80 | 1.55 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 25 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Belgrano (A) | 3-1 | 1.41 | 1.30 | 1.45 | 0 | W |
| 20 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Instituto (A) | 2-1 | 0.66 | 1.77 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 15 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (H) | 4-0 | 2.86 | 0.51 | 2.65 | 3 | W |
| 8 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Sarmiento (A) | 2-1 | 0.69 | 1.55 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 1 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Huracán (H) | 1-1 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.51 | 1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Central Cordoba SdE (H) | 0-0 | 1.41 | 0.27 | 2.27 | 1 | W |
| 24 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente Rivadavia (A) | 2-1 | 1.52 | 1.16 | 1.61 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Villa | defender | 19 | 1386 | 1.04 | 2 | +0.96 | 0.07 |
| Clever Ferreira | defender | 21 | 1733 | 2.12 | 3 | +0.88 | 0.11 |
| Lautaro Godoy | midfielder | 26 | 1585 | 1.42 | 2 | +0.58 | 0.08 |
| Alexis Canelo | attacker | 7 | 153 | 0.68 | 1 | +0.32 | 0.40 |
| Martín Benítez | midfielder | 3 | 94 | 0.86 | 1 | +0.14 | 0.82 |
| Luciano Andrés Vallejo | defender | 19 | 1510 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.05 |
| Franco Nicola | attacker | 26 | 1797 | 1.91 | 2 | +0.09 | 0.10 |
| Carlos Abeldano | attacker | 9 | 575 | 1.03 | 1 | -0.03 | 0.16 |
| Nicolás Laméndola | attacker | 27 | 1980 | 2.18 | 2 | -0.18 | 0.10 |
| Ignacio Galván | defender | 24 | 1750 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.03 |
| Renzo Tesuri | midfielder | 29 | 2134 | 2.64 | 2 | -0.64 | 0.11 |
| Manuel Brondo | attacker | 12 | 294 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.20 |
| Gianluca Ferrari | defender | 11 | 901 | 0.84 | 0 | -0.84 | 0.08 |
| Ezequiel Ham | midfielder | 18 | 831 | 0.97 | 0 | -0.97 | 0.11 |
| Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez | attacker | 17 | 780 | 3.22 | 2 | -1.22 | 0.37 |
| Leandro Díaz | attacker | 22 | 1681 | 8.35 | 7 | -1.35 | 0.45 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sarsfield | 29 | 32.4 | 36 | 31.3 | 25 | 40.4 | 52 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 37.2 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 44.5 | 54 | +9.5 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 29 | 35.3 | 31 | 35.5 | 23 | 39.1 | 48 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 29 | 40.2 | 46 | 31.2 | 36 | 45.2 | 53 | +7.8 |
| 5 | Gimnasia La Plata | 29 | 39.2 | 38 | 35.1 | 37 | 40.7 | 48 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza | 29 | 28.7 | 29 | 41 | 35 | 31.7 | 39 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 29 | 42.2 | 40 | 31.9 | 27 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 28 | 28.9 | 34 | 39.3 | 38 | 32.7 | 39 | +6.3 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 29 | 26.2 | 21 | 34.9 | 26 | 33.4 | 39 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 28 | 22.9 | 25 | 30.1 | 24 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 11 | Independiente | 29 | 30.9 | 36 | 34.1 | 33 | 38.1 | 43 | +4.9 |
| 12 | Huracán | 29 | 32.1 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 39 | 41 | +2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes | 29 | 38.4 | 35 | 31.3 | 22 | 43.2 | 45 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Defensa y Justicia | 29 | 35.6 | 36 | 33.1 | 33 | 41.4 | 43 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Lanús | 29 | 37.7 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 45.9 | 47 | +1.1 |
| 16 | Boca Juniors | 29 | 41.7 | 43 | 21.7 | 23 | 53.2 | 54 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Newell's Old Boys | 28 | 26 | 26 | 37.1 | 36 | 32 | 32 | -0 |
| 18 | Instituto | 29 | 39.8 | 37 | 22.9 | 27 | 50.6 | 50 | -0.6 |
| 19 | Central Cordoba SdE | 28 | 26.2 | 21 | 42.4 | 37 | 27.7 | 26 | -1.7 |
| 20 | Banfield | 29 | 33.1 | 31 | 46.7 | 38 | 32.8 | 31 | -1.8 |
| 21 | Talleres Córdoba | 29 | 31.8 | 29 | 35.1 | 33 | 37.3 | 35 | -2.3 |
| 22 | River Plate | 29 | 48.3 | 40 | 22.8 | 25 | 54.5 | 49 | -5.5 |
| 23 | Unión Santa Fe | 28 | 37.3 | 41 | 34.5 | 41 | 40.8 | 34 | -6.8 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 29 | 35.8 | 31 | 35.1 | 35 | 40.2 | 33 | -7.2 |
| 25 | Platense | 29 | 31.2 | 22 | 33.8 | 34 | 37 | 27 | -10 |
| 26 | Atlético Tucumán | 29 | 31.1 | 27 | 31.9 | 33 | 38.1 | 28 | -10.1 |
| 27 | Tigre | 29 | 37.5 | 31 | 29.7 | 30 | 44.8 | 33 | -11.8 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 29 | 26.3 | 20 | 41.8 | 41 | 29.5 | 16 | -13.5 |
| 29 | Deportivo Riestra | 28 | 24.3 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 36.2 | 22 | -14.2 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 29 | 24.8 | 13 | 42.8 | 41 | 29.1 | 14 | -15.1 |