No, Al Kholood have taken 23 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, within 1.07 of the 24.07 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Al Kholood create 1.31 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 26.13 in all, and have scored 23 goals from those chances, 3.13 fewer than that xG would expect.
Al Kholood allow 1.69 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 33.70 in all, and have conceded 38 goals from those chances, 4.30 more than that xGA would expect.
Iker Kortajarena has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Kholood over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 5.64 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Julien Domingues is next with 5.60 xG.
Al Kholood's results and their chances agree, within 1.1 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 26.13 | 23 | -3.13 | 33.70 | 38 | -4.30 | 24.07 | 23 | -1.07 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.23 | 14 | -4.23 | 16.77 | 18 | -1.23 | 15.51 | 13 | -2.51 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.30 | 6 | -5.30 | 10.14 | 13 | -2.86 | 8.14 | 4 | -4.14 |
| Home | 9 | 11.89 | 12 | +0.11 | 14.63 | 16 | -1.37 | 11.69 | 13 | +1.31 |
| Away | 11 | 14.24 | 11 | -3.24 | 19.07 | 22 | -2.93 | 12.38 | 10 | -2.38 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Faisaly (A) | 3-2 | 3.02 | 2.40 | 1.71 | 0 | W |
| 9 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (H) | 0-5 | 2.69 | 5.16 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (A) | 2-0 | 0.89 | 1.20 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 9 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 2-1 | 2.22 | 0.59 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 3 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 2-2 | 2.48 | 0.79 | 2.38 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 3-1 | 1.07 | 1.47 | 1.09 | 3 | L |
| 26 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Draih (A) | 1-1 | 1.29 | 0.62 | 1.88 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (H) | 3-2 | 1.69 | 1.73 | 1.36 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 1-1 | 1.86 | 2.54 | 1.04 | 1 | L |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (H) | 0-0 | 1.02 | 0.27 | 2.00 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (A) | 3-0 | 0.46 | 1.43 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 12 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (H) | 0-0 | 0.79 | 0.43 | 1.64 | 1 | W |
| 4 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 0-0 | 0.86 | 1.57 | 0.87 | 1 | L |
| 30 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (H) | 1-1 | 1.07 | 0.71 | 1.63 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (A) | 1-2 | 1.14 | 1.97 | 0.86 | 3 | L |
| 8 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (A) | 6-0 | 0.58 | 3.13 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 3 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (H) | 2-2 | 0.87 | 1.86 | 0.74 | 1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (A) | 2-1 | 0.67 | 2.28 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 7 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (H) | 1-4 | 0.47 | 2.41 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 1-2 | 0.99 | 1.14 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramiro Enrique | attacker | 5 | 319 | 0.63 | 2 | +1.37 | 0.18 |
| Hattan Bahebri | attacker | 11 | 810 | 1.23 | 2 | +0.77 | 0.14 |
| Guga | attacker | 10 | 623 | 1.25 | 2 | +0.75 | 0.18 |
| Mohammed Sawaan | attacker | 18 | 628 | 0.33 | 1 | +0.67 | 0.05 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa | attacker | 16 | 1368 | 1.44 | 2 | +0.56 | 0.09 |
| Edgaras Utkus | defender | 18 | 1598 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.03 |
| Abdulrahman Al-Dawsari | midfielder | 20 | 1068 | 0.75 | 1 | +0.25 | 0.06 |
| Shaquille Pinas | defender | 19 | 1694 | 3.08 | 3 | -0.08 | 0.16 |
| Seydouba Cissé | midfielder | 9 | 810 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.06 |
| Iker Kortajarena | midfielder | 20 | 1599 | 5.64 | 5 | -0.64 | 0.32 |
| John Buckley | midfielder | 19 | 1653 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.04 |
| Julien Domingues | attacker | 9 | 708 | 5.60 | 4 | -1.60 | 0.71 |
| Coba da Costa | attacker | 9 | 787 | 2.50 | 0 | -2.50 | 0.29 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |