No, NEOM SC have taken 29 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, within 2.74 of the 31.74 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
NEOM SC create 1.56 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 31.19 in all, and have scored 29 goals from those chances, 2.19 fewer than that xG would expect.
NEOM SC allow 1.29 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 25.76 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 0.76 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Saïd Benrahma has the most expected goals (xG) for NEOM SC over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 5.73 xG in 13 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Alexandre Lacazette is next with 5.12 xG.
NEOM SC's results and their chances agree, within 2.7 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 31.19 | 29 | -2.19 | 25.76 | 25 | +0.76 | 31.74 | 29 | -2.74 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.83 | 15 | -0.83 | 10.81 | 9 | +1.81 | 17.27 | 17 | -0.27 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.31 | 10 | +1.69 | 5.02 | 4 | +1.02 | 9.23 | 10 | +0.77 |
| Home | 11 | 18.14 | 17 | -1.14 | 11.33 | 13 | -1.67 | 19.73 | 18 | -1.73 |
| Away | 9 | 13.05 | 12 | -1.05 | 14.43 | 12 | +2.43 | 12.01 | 11 | -1.01 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 0-1 | 0.79 | 0.17 | 1.90 | 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (A) | 1-1 | 1.93 | 1.03 | 1.97 | 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (H) | 4-2 | 2.69 | 1.53 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (A) | 0-2 | 1.32 | 2.02 | 0.96 | 3 | L |
| 3 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (H) | 3-0 | 1.58 | 0.27 | 2.36 | 3 | W |
| 28 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (A) | 1-0 | 1.07 | 1.04 | 1.37 | 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (H) | 0-2 | 1.59 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 0 | L |
| 21 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Faisaly (A) | 0-2 | 1.24 | 0.82 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 14 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (H) | 2-1 | 1.66 | 1.57 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 1-1 | 1.96 | 0.69 | 2.23 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (A) | 2-0 | 0.77 | 1.85 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 11 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 2-1 | 2.07 | 1.19 | 1.94 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (A) | 2-2 | 1.41 | 2.27 | 0.90 | 1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (H) | 1-1 | 2.17 | 1.32 | 1.91 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Najma (A) | 2-1 | 2.45 | 0.62 | 2.48 | 0 | W |
| 8 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 3-4 | 2.26 | 1.61 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (H) | 1-0 | 1.43 | 1.02 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 12 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (H) | 2-2 | 1.06 | 0.91 | 1.46 | 1 | W |
| 7 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (A) | 1-0 | 0.60 | 3.17 | 0.22 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (H) | 1-2 | 1.14 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amadou Koné | midfielder | 19 | 1627 | 2.63 | 5 | +2.37 | 0.15 |
| Alaa Hejji | midfielder | 17 | 1214 | 2.13 | 4 | +1.87 | 0.16 |
| Saïd Benrahma | attacker | 13 | 902 | 5.73 | 7 | +1.27 | 0.57 |
| Alexandre Lacazette | attacker | 18 | 1496 | 5.12 | 6 | +0.88 | 0.31 |
| ValentÃn Vada | midfielder | 4 | 192 | 0.26 | 1 | +0.74 | 0.12 |
| Luciano RodrÃguez | attacker | 10 | 743 | 2.91 | 3 | +0.09 | 0.35 |
| Rayane Messi Tanfouri | attacker | 10 | 788 | 1.16 | 1 | -0.16 | 0.13 |
| Muhanad Al-Saad | attacker | 17 | 698 | 2.30 | 2 | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Ahmed Hegazy | defender | 8 | 667 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.09 |
| Abdoulaye Doucouré | midfielder | 5 | 450 | 0.92 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.18 |
| Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari | defender | 17 | 990 | 1.13 | 0 | -1.13 | 0.10 |
| Nathan Zézé | defender | 19 | 1710 | 1.26 | 0 | -1.26 | 0.07 |
| Georgios Masouras | attacker | 7 | 514 | 1.73 | 0 | -1.73 | 0.30 |
| Haroune Camara | attacker | 9 | 485 | 1.84 | 0 | -1.84 | 0.34 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |