No, Al-Fayha have taken 18 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, within 1.40 of the 19.40 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Al-Fayha create 1.03 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 20.68 in all, and have scored 22 goals from those chances, 1.32 more than that xG would expect.
Al-Fayha allow 1.77 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 35.44 in all, and have conceded 30 goals from those chances, 5.44 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Jason has the most expected goals (xG) for Al-Fayha over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 4.01 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Fashion Sakala is next with 3.49 xG.
Al-Fayha's results and their chances agree, within 1.4 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 20.68 | 22 | +1.32 | 35.44 | 30 | +5.44 | 19.40 | 18 | -1.40 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.17 | 8 | -1.17 | 20.59 | 15 | +5.59 | 7.47 | 7 | -0.47 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.05 | 4 | -0.05 | 9.34 | 7 | +2.34 | 3.60 | 3 | -0.60 |
| Home | 10 | 10.13 | 14 | +3.87 | 19.85 | 17 | +2.85 | 8.95 | 12 | +3.05 |
| Away | 10 | 10.55 | 8 | -2.55 | 15.59 | 13 | +2.59 | 10.45 | 6 | -4.45 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 2-0 | 1.11 | 1.55 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 1-1 | 0.61 | 1.51 | 0.71 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (A) | 0-0 | 0.57 | 1.21 | 0.84 | 1 | L |
| 8 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 2-1 | 0.97 | 2.59 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 3 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (H) | 2-2 | 0.79 | 2.48 | 0.46 | 1 | L |
| 28 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Abha (H) | 3-2 | 1.97 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 3 | W |
| 25 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (A) | 0-0 | 0.79 | 2.81 | 0.36 | 1 | L |
| 20 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (H) | 0-3 | 0.56 | 3.79 | 0.13 | 0 | L |
| 14 Aug | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 2-1 | 1.57 | 1.66 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (H) | 0-1 | 0.23 | 1.38 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 15 May | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (A) | 3-0 | 0.25 | 1.43 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (H) | 1-2 | 1.44 | 1.67 | 1.23 | 0 | L |
| 4 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 4-2 | 1.93 | 1.94 | 1.39 | 3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (A) | 1-1 | 0.71 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (A) | 2-0 | 1.20 | 1.59 | 1.11 | 0 | L |
| 8 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 1-1 | 1.09 | 1.45 | 1.11 | 1 | L |
| 4 Apr | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 1-0 | 1.02 | 1.43 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 13 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 1-0 | 1.38 | 0.81 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (A) | 0-5 | 2.36 | 0.25 | 2.66 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (H) | 1-3 | 0.13 | 3.21 | 0.07 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Moura | midfielder | 9 | 807 | 0.74 | 2 | +1.26 | 0.08 |
| Alfa Semedo | midfielder | 20 | 1598 | 1.19 | 2 | +0.81 | 0.07 |
| Fashion Sakala | attacker | 16 | 1431 | 3.49 | 4 | +0.51 | 0.22 |
| Chris Smalling | defender | 11 | 990 | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 | 0.05 |
| Lázaro | attacker | 9 | 581 | 2.56 | 3 | +0.44 | 0.40 |
| Makhir Al-Rashidi | defender | 16 | 1128 | 0.81 | 1 | +0.19 | 0.06 |
| Sabri Dahal | attacker | 10 | 683 | 0.91 | 1 | +0.09 | 0.12 |
| Y. Benzia | midfielder | 11 | 924 | 1.35 | 1 | -0.35 | 0.13 |
| Silvere Ganvoula | attacker | 14 | 476 | 2.56 | 2 | -0.56 | 0.48 |
| Abdullah Radif | attacker | 8 | 431 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.15 |
| Jason | attacker | 17 | 1168 | 4.01 | 3 | -1.01 | 0.31 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |