No, Al Fateh have taken 6 points over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, 3.65 fewer than the 9.65 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Al Fateh create 1.20 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, 11.95 in all, and have scored 9 goals from those chances, 2.95 fewer than that xG would expect.
Al Fateh allow 1.87 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, 18.67 in all, and have conceded 20 goals from those chances, 1.33 more than that xGA would expect.
Wilfried Kanga has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Fateh over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, 2.52 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Faisal Al-Abdulwahed is next with 2.26 xG.
Al Fateh have taken 3.7 points fewer than their chances warranted over 10 games: -3.0 goals against their xG, and -1.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 11.95 | 9 | -2.95 | 18.67 | 20 | -1.33 | 9.65 | 6 | -3.65 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.24 | 8 | +1.76 | 9.66 | 15 | -5.34 | 4.84 | 3 | -1.84 |
| Home | 5 | 5.28 | 3 | -2.28 | 9.39 | 10 | -0.61 | 4.38 | 1 | -3.38 |
| Away | 5 | 6.67 | 6 | -0.67 | 9.28 | 10 | -0.72 | 5.27 | 5 | -0.27 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (H) | 2-3 | 0.92 | 0.97 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 15 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (A) | 2-3 | 2.13 | 1.87 | 1.55 | 3 | W |
| 9 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 0-4 | 0.39 | 1.82 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 4-2 | 1.53 | 2.69 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 9 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Draih (H) | 1-2 | 1.27 | 2.31 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (A) | 0-0 | 0.86 | 1.71 | 0.80 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (H) | 0-0 | 1.40 | 2.62 | 0.74 | 1 | L |
| 26 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Faisaly (A) | 1-1 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 0-1 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 1.13 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (A) | 3-0 | 0.73 | 1.62 | 0.74 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilfried Kanga | attacker | 10 | 819 | 2.52 | 3 | +0.48 | 0.28 |
| Mourad Batna | attacker | 9 | 810 | 1.65 | 2 | +0.35 | 0.18 |
| Lukas Haraslin | attacker | 10 | 829 | 1.98 | 2 | +0.02 | 0.21 |
| Faisal Al-Abdulwahed | attacker | 9 | 462 | 2.26 | 2 | -0.26 | 0.44 |
| Marwane Saadane | defender | 8 | 675 | 1.23 | 0 | -1.23 | 0.16 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |