Yes, Al Ettifaq have taken 27 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 3.58 more than the 23.42 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Al Ettifaq create 1.35 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 26.91 in all, and have scored 30 goals from those chances, 3.09 more than that xG would expect.
Al Ettifaq allow 1.71 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 34.16 in all, and have conceded 28 goals from those chances, 6.16 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Moussa Dembélé has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Ettifaq over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 8.60 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Georginio Wijnaldum is next with 3.62 xG.
Al Ettifaq have taken 3.6 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +3.1 goals against their xG, and +6.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 26.91 | 30 | +3.09 | 34.16 | 28 | +6.16 | 23.42 | 27 | +3.58 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.71 | 14 | +1.29 | 14.34 | 13 | +1.34 | 12.64 | 16 | +3.36 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.04 | 6 | +0.96 | 6.54 | 4 | +2.54 | 5.97 | 9 | +3.03 |
| Home | 10 | 15.52 | 14 | -1.52 | 17.85 | 18 | -0.15 | 12.78 | 10 | -2.78 |
| Away | 10 | 11.39 | 16 | +4.61 | 16.31 | 10 | +6.31 | 10.64 | 17 | +6.36 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 0-1 | 0.17 | 0.79 | 0.66 | 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (H) | 1-1 | 2.04 | 2.42 | 1.20 | 1 | L |
| 11 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (A) | 3-3 | 0.83 | 2.40 | 0.50 | 1 | L |
| 8 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Faisaly (H) | 0-0 | 0.98 | 0.16 | 2.07 | 1 | W |
| 4 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Abha (A) | 0-1 | 1.02 | 0.77 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Draih (H) | 0-3 | 1.80 | 1.84 | 1.37 | 0 | L |
| 25 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (H) | 2-3 | 0.71 | 1.90 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (A) | 0-1 | 1.67 | 1.30 | 1.63 | 3 | W |
| 14 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 4-2 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 2.49 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 1-1 | 0.69 | 1.96 | 0.57 | 1 | L |
| 14 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (H) | 1-3 | 1.37 | 2.61 | 0.73 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 0-5 | 2.31 | 0.57 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| 4 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Najma (H) | 0-0 | 2.14 | 1.14 | 2.01 | 1 | W |
| 30 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (A) | 1-3 | 1.72 | 2.68 | 0.89 | 3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (A) | 1-0 | 0.91 | 2.48 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 9 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 2-3 | 1.72 | 2.31 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (H) | 3-2 | 1.54 | 2.39 | 0.92 | 3 | L |
| 13 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 1-0 | 0.81 | 1.38 | 0.93 | 0 | L |
| 7 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 1-1 | 0.42 | 2.28 | 0.31 | 1 | L |
| 27 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (A) | 3-1 | 1.26 | 1.98 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalid Al-Ghannam | attacker | 20 | 1420 | 2.87 | 5 | +2.13 | 0.18 |
| Jack Hendry | defender | 16 | 1317 | 0.66 | 2 | +1.34 | 0.04 |
| Álvaro Medrán | midfielder | 17 | 1482 | 1.70 | 3 | +1.30 | 0.10 |
| Rayane Messi Tanfouri | attacker | 7 | 301 | 0.31 | 1 | +0.69 | 0.09 |
| Bersant Celina | midfielder | 9 | 533 | 1.38 | 2 | +0.62 | 0.23 |
| Ondrej Duda | midfielder | 18 | 1468 | 0.40 | 1 | +0.60 | 0.02 |
| Abdullah Khateeb | defender | 18 | 1505 | 0.48 | 1 | +0.52 | 0.03 |
| Georginio Wijnaldum | midfielder | 11 | 989 | 3.62 | 4 | +0.38 | 0.33 |
| Jordan Larsson | attacker | 7 | 438 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.33 | 0.14 |
| Ahmed Hassan | attacker | 4 | 120 | 0.69 | 1 | +0.31 | 0.52 |
| Francisco Calvo | defender | 10 | 900 | 1.32 | 1 | -0.32 | 0.13 |
| Radhi Al-Otaibi | defender | 15 | 1171 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.04 |
| João Costa | attacker | 8 | 663 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.08 |
| Yasir Al-Shammari | midfielder | 9 | 403 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.14 |
| Moussa Dembélé | attacker | 17 | 1351 | 8.60 | 7 | -1.60 | 0.57 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |