No, Al Hazm have taken 26 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, within 1.31 of the 24.69 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Al Hazm create 1.39 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 27.71 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 2.71 fewer than that xG would expect.
Al Hazm allow 1.74 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 34.70 in all, and have conceded 27 goals from those chances, 7.70 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Omar Al-Somah has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Hazm over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 3.34 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe is next with 3.17 xG.
Al Hazm's results and their chances agree, within 1.3 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 27.71 | 25 | -2.71 | 34.70 | 27 | +7.70 | 24.69 | 26 | +1.31 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.75 | 12 | -1.75 | 18.60 | 13 | +5.60 | 11.93 | 12 | +0.07 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.90 | 5 | -1.90 | 11.24 | 7 | +4.24 | 5.33 | 5 | -0.33 |
| Home | 11 | 17.01 | 16 | -1.01 | 17.58 | 12 | +5.58 | 14.69 | 20 | +5.31 |
| Away | 9 | 10.70 | 9 | -1.70 | 17.12 | 15 | +2.12 | 10.00 | 6 | -4.00 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (H) | 2-3 | 1.87 | 2.13 | 1.25 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (H) | 1-1 | 1.03 | 1.93 | 0.81 | 1 | L |
| 11 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (A) | 3-1 | 1.95 | 5.50 | 0.25 | 0 | L |
| 8 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (H) | 1-0 | 0.92 | 1.12 | 1.20 | 3 | L |
| 5 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Faisaly (A) | 0-0 | 1.13 | 0.56 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 1-1 | 1.08 | 1.46 | 1.10 | 1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 3-2 | 1.02 | 3.23 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 21 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Draih (H) | 0-1 | 0.30 | 1.24 | 0.56 | 0 | L |
| 13 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Abha (A) | 1-2 | 1.47 | 0.52 | 2.09 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (H) | 2-0 | 2.98 | 0.91 | 2.48 | 3 | W |
| 14 May | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (A) | 2-0 | 0.06 | 1.72 | 0.22 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Najma (A) | 2-2 | 1.64 | 0.56 | 2.15 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (H) | 0-3 | 1.06 | 2.84 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 28 Apr | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 1-1 | 1.32 | 2.17 | 0.89 | 1 | L |
| 24 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 2-1 | 1.92 | 2.82 | 0.94 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (H) | 2-0 | 1.59 | 1.20 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| 3 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 1-0 | 1.42 | 1.23 | 1.50 | 0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (H) | 2-1 | 2.28 | 0.67 | 2.38 | 3 | W |
| 6 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 2-1 | 0.69 | 1.63 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 27 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 3-1 | 1.98 | 1.26 | 1.84 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe | midfielder | 18 | 969 | 3.17 | 5 | +1.83 | 0.29 |
| Aboubacar Bah | midfielder | 20 | 1785 | 1.70 | 3 | +1.30 | 0.09 |
| Ahmed Al-Nakhli | defender | 14 | 939 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.02 |
| Ahmed Al-Shamrani | attacker | 17 | 920 | 0.36 | 1 | +0.64 | 0.04 |
| Nawaf Al-Habashi | attacker | 7 | 553 | 1.37 | 2 | +0.63 | 0.22 |
| L. Rosier | midfielder | 8 | 688 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.07 |
| Yousef Al-Shammari | attacker | 9 | 462 | 2.53 | 3 | +0.47 | 0.49 |
| Abdullah Al-Shanqiti | defender | 10 | 445 | 0.81 | 1 | +0.19 | 0.16 |
| Sofiane Bendebka | midfielder | 8 | 684 | 1.93 | 2 | +0.07 | 0.25 |
| Aboubacar Diakite | attacker | 7 | 176 | 1.37 | 1 | -0.37 | 0.70 |
| Mohammed Al-Hamdani | attacker | 9 | 187 | 0.50 | 0 | -0.50 | 0.24 |
| Elton Acolatse | attacker | 4 | 293 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.16 |
| Youssouf Oumarou | midfielder | 6 | 317 | 1.96 | 1 | -0.96 | 0.56 |
| Fábio Martins | attacker | 10 | 841 | 2.03 | 1 | -1.03 | 0.22 |
| Omar Al-Somah | attacker | 8 | 550 | 3.34 | 2 | -1.34 | 0.55 |
| Afimico Pululu | attacker | 6 | 535 | 2.44 | 1 | -1.44 | 0.41 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |