No, Al Riyadh have taken 23 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, within 1.20 of the 24.20 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Al Riyadh create 1.42 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 28.48 in all, and have scored 23 goals from those chances, 5.48 fewer than that xG would expect.
Al Riyadh allow 1.85 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 37.03 in all, and have conceded 39 goals from those chances, 1.97 more than that xGA would expect.
Leandro Antunes has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Riyadh over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 7.13 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Tozé is next with 4.29 xG.
Al Riyadh's results and their chances agree, within 1.2 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 28.48 | 23 | -5.48 | 37.03 | 39 | -1.97 | 24.20 | 23 | -1.20 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.84 | 11 | +1.16 | 17.33 | 18 | -0.67 | 10.19 | 13 | +2.81 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.03 | 4 | -1.03 | 6.47 | 6 | +0.47 | 6.28 | 8 | +1.72 |
| Home | 9 | 12.59 | 9 | -3.59 | 14.30 | 11 | +3.30 | 12.31 | 16 | +3.69 |
| Away | 11 | 15.89 | 14 | -1.89 | 22.73 | 28 | -5.27 | 11.89 | 7 | -4.89 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 1-1 | 1.51 | 0.61 | 2.04 | 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (H) | 2-0 | 1.20 | 0.89 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 0-0 | 0.34 | 0.57 | 1.01 | 1 | D |
| 4 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (A) | 5-0 | 0.94 | 3.33 | 0.31 | 0 | L |
| 28 Aug | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (H) | 1-0 | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.33 | 3 | L |
| 25 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (A) | 3-3 | 1.11 | 3.43 | 0.36 | 1 | L |
| 21 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (H) | 0-4 | 0.61 | 1.62 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 14 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (A) | 4-2 | 0.80 | 2.80 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (H) | 1-0 | 1.07 | 0.45 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 15 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (A) | 1-1 | 1.22 | 2.56 | 0.67 | 1 | L |
| 10 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (H) | 1-0 | 1.97 | 0.79 | 2.16 | 3 | W |
| 4 May | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 4-2 | 1.94 | 1.93 | 1.40 | 0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (H) | 0-4 | 0.92 | 4.92 | 0.11 | 0 | L |
| 24 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (A) | 2-1 | 2.82 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 0 | W |
| 9 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (A) | 2-3 | 2.31 | 1.72 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 1-1 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.37 | 1 | L |
| 13 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (H) | 3-1 | 3.24 | 1.22 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 5 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (A) | 3-0 | 0.68 | 1.10 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 26 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 0-1 | 0.79 | 1.55 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 23 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (A) | 3-1 | 2.22 | 2.76 | 1.13 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Trezeguet | attacker | 6 | 396 | 0.63 | 2 | +1.37 | 0.14 |
| Kader Keita | midfielder | 5 | 421 | 0.09 | 1 | +0.91 | 0.02 |
| Bernard Mensah | midfielder | 5 | 450 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.57 | 0.09 |
| Mamadou Sylla | attacker | 10 | 446 | 3.61 | 4 | +0.39 | 0.73 |
| Rodrigo Abascal | defender | 7 | 546 | 0.68 | 1 | +0.32 | 0.11 |
| Tozé | midfielder | 12 | 1069 | 4.29 | 4 | -0.29 | 0.36 |
| Yoann Barbet | defender | 11 | 916 | 1.31 | 1 | -0.31 | 0.13 |
| Teddy Okou | attacker | 20 | 1658 | 3.47 | 3 | -0.47 | 0.19 |
| Enes Sali | attacker | 7 | 350 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.18 |
| Mohammed Al-Khaibari | defender | 17 | 1339 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.06 |
| Leandro Antunes | attacker | 17 | 1334 | 7.13 | 6 | -1.13 | 0.48 |
| Victor Lekhal | midfielder | 19 | 1689 | 2.01 | 0 | -2.01 | 0.11 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |