Updated 5 November 2026.
Crewe Alexandra host AFC Wimbledon at the Alexandra Stadium on Saturday 7 November 2026 in the FA Cup 1st Round, kick-off 15:00 UK. Crewe play in League Two and Wimbledon a division higher in League One, and we make the home side the likeliest winner at 41%, against 30% for Wimbledon and 29% for the draw.
Wimbledon have lost four of their last five in League One and conceded 13 goals in those games, while Crewe drew 1-1 with Barnet last time out and have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten in League Two.
Crewe's last five league games began with a 1-0 win at Swindon and a 3-2 home win over Rochdale, followed by back-to-back away defeats at Exeter City (2-0) and Chesterfield (5-1) and then a 1-1 home draw with Barnet on 31 October. Crewe won two of those five and scored in four of them, with the only blank coming at Exeter.
Wimbledon lost 2-1 at Stockport last weekend, drew 1-1 with Wycombe, were beaten 3-0 at home by Mansfield and 5-0 at Sheffield Wednesday, and lost 2-1 at Plymouth before that. That is four defeats in five league games and a single point, against Wycombe. Across their last ten league games Wimbledon have won two, drawn three and lost five.
Our projection has the sides close. We have Crewe at 1.30 goals and 3.9 shots on target, and Wimbledon at 1.06 goals and 3.3. Wimbledon are projected 13.9 fouls to Crewe's 10.2, and 1.74 yellow cards to 1.52, with 15.04 tackles to Crewe's 14.05.
Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Booth; Billington, Offord, Stephenson, Hutchinson; Holicek, Thomas; Tabiner, Gibson, McNeill; March
AFC Wimbledon possible starting lineup:
Bursik; Tilley, Johnson, Yiadom, Seddon; Harrison, Sasu, Smith; Hippolyte, Cornick, Stockley
Josh March leads the Crewe line in their possible starting lineup, with Charlie McNeill in the attacking line behind him. Crewe have scored in four of their last five league games.
For Wimbledon, Jayden Stockley is the striker in the possible starting lineup, with Harry Cornick in the attacking line alongside him. Josef Bursik is in goal behind a side that has conceded 13 in its last five league games and scored three.
We make Crewe Alexandra the likeliest winner, and the best price on the home win is 2.50 at midnite. Wimbledon are 2.63 and the draw 3.40, both also at midnite. Over 2.5 goals is 2.00 at bet365 and both teams to score is 1.75 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 2.50 (midnite) | 41% |
| Draw | 3.40 (midnite) | 29% |
| Wimbledon win | 2.63 (midnite) | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (bet365) | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (midnite) | 69% |
Our prediction is Crewe Alexandra 1-1 AFC Wimbledon. 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, though we make Crewe the most likely winner in 90 minutes at 41%, against 30% for Wimbledon and 29% for the draw. A 1-0 home win is next at 12%, then 0-0 at 10%. Crewe keep a clean sheet in 35% of our simulations and Wimbledon in 27%, and four or more goals come up in 21% of them.
Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Alexandra Stadium. Crewe are in League Two and Wimbledon in League One, and we make Crewe 41% to win in 90 minutes.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, the likeliest scoreline at 14%. We still make Crewe the most likely winner, at 41% against 30% for Wimbledon and 29% for the draw.
Crewe Alexandra are our favourites at 41% to beat AFC Wimbledon in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, against 30% for Wimbledon and 29% for the draw. The best home price is 2.50 at midnite.
We give both teams to score a 48% chance in Crewe vs Wimbledon in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, with 1.75 at bet365. Over 2.5 goals is 42%, and over 1.5 goals is 69%.
Wimbledon have lost 4 of their last 5 League One games going into the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie with Crewe, while Crewe have won 2 of their last 5 in League Two, most recently drawing 1-1 with Barnet on 31 October.
Predicted lineups for Crewe vs Wimbledon in the 2026/27 FA Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026: Crewe Alexandra may start Booth; Billington, Offord, Stephenson, Hutchinson; Holicek, Thomas; Tabiner, Gibson, McNeill; March. AFC Wimbledon may start Bursik; Tilley, Johnson, Yiadom, Seddon; Harrison, Sasu, Smith; Hippolyte, Cornick, Stockley.