Updated 5 November 2026.
Oxford United welcome Stevenage to the Kassam Stadium for an FA Cup first round tie on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 15:00 UK. Both clubs play in League One, and their recent records differ: Oxford have not lost in ten league games, while Stevenage have won four, drawn three and lost three of theirs.
Oxford beat Reading 2-0 at home on Wednesday. Stevenage were held 2-2 at Leicester last time out, and have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five in League One.
Oxford have won six and drawn four of their last ten league games, and their last nine results alternate between a win and a draw. The latest was a 2-0 home win over Reading, which followed a 1-1 draw at Barnsley. Before that came a 1-0 win over Stockport, a goalless draw with Bradford and a 2-1 win over Wigan. Oxford have kept three clean sheets in those five league games, scoring six and conceding two, and four of the five were at home.
Stevenage have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games. They beat Plymouth 3-0 at home and Wigan 1-0, but lost 2-0 at Bradford and 0-1 at home to MK Dons. Their most recent game was a 2-2 draw at Leicester. In their last five league games they scored six and conceded five, failed to score twice, both times in defeats, and kept two clean sheets.
Oxford United possible starting lineup:
Cumming; Kioso, Helik, Currie, Brown; Brannagan, Andrews; Sibley, Dembélé, Goodrham; Harris
Stevenage possible starting lineup:
Setford; James-Wildin, Piergianni, Vancooten, Earley; Sanderson, Phillips, Thompson; Patterson, Kemp; Magennis
Mark Harris is the striker in Oxford's possible starting lineup, and Cameron Brannagan plays in central midfield.
For Stevenage, Joshua Magennis is the number nine in the possible starting lineup, with Phoenix Patterson in the attacking line behind him.
Oxford United are the favourites at 2.00 with midnite, and we make them 44% to win in 90 minutes, against 29% for the draw and 27% for Stevenage. Both teams to score is 1.83 at ladbrokes, and we make it 46%, which leaves 54% for at least one side to keep a clean sheet.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to win | 2.00 (midnite) | 44% |
| Draw | 3.40 (bet365) | 29% |
| Stevenage to win | 3.60 (bet365) | 27% |
| Both teams to score | 1.83 (ladbrokes) | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (midnite) | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 40% |
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, though we make Oxford the more likely winner, 44% to 27%, and 1-0 to the hosts sits just behind it, with 0-0 third at 11%. We project 1.32 goals for Oxford and 0.96 for Stevenage. Oxford keep a clean sheet in 38% of our simulations and Stevenage in 27%, and four or more goals come up in 20% of them. We also project 10.7 shots for Oxford against 8.5 for Stevenage, with 3.8 and 3.0 on target. We project 4.6 corners for Oxford and 4.9 for Stevenage. Stevenage are projected 11.9 fouls to Oxford's 11.0, and 15.6 tackles to 14.9. In the cards market we project 2.0 yellow cards for Stevenage and 1.4 for Oxford.
Oxford United vs Stevenage in the 2026/27 FA Cup first round kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Kassam Stadium. It is a first round tie between two League One sides, and we make Oxford 44% to win in 90 minutes.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Oxford United vs Stevenage in the 2026/27 FA Cup first round, the likeliest scoreline at 14%. We still make Oxford slightly more likely to win, at 44% against 27% for Stevenage.
Oxford United are favourites against Stevenage in the 2026/27 FA Cup first round, priced at 2.00 with midnite and given a 44% chance by our model. Stevenage are 3.60 at bet365 and the draw is 3.40, also at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 46% chance in Oxford United vs Stevenage in the 2026/27 FA Cup first round, with ladbrokes offering 1.83. Over 2.5 goals is 40% in our model, while over 1.5 goals is 67%.
Oxford United have gone 10 league games unbeaten with six wins heading into this 2026/27 FA Cup first round tie against Stevenage. Stevenage have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, and drew 2-2 at Leicester last time out.
Predicted lineups for Oxford Utd vs Stevenage in the 2026/27 FA Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026: Oxford United may start Cumming; Kioso, Helik, Currie, Brown; Brannagan, Andrews; Sibley, Dembélé, Goodrham; Harris. Stevenage may start Setford; James-Wildin, Piergianni, Vancooten, Earley; Sanderson, Phillips, Thompson; Patterson, Kemp; Magennis.